Philadelphia Phillies vs Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Phillies vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 8/4/2024

The Philadelphia Phillies (65-45) travel to face off against the Seattle Mariners (59-53) on Sunday, August 4th. This game will be played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle and televised on NSPPH. The Mariners are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Phillies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mariners. First pitch is set for 3:10 CT.

Phillies vs. Mariners Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Mariners (+114)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 7 Runs
  • Mariners have won 6 of their last 10 games, indicating strong recent form.
  • Mariners have scored an average of 6.3 runs per game in their last 3 home games.
  • Mariners have a home record of 33-23, showing strong performance at home.
  • Phillies are on a 6-game losing streak, indicating poor recent form.
  • Mariners have won both of their last two head-to-head games against the Phillies, scoring a total of 16 runs.

Phillies vs Mariners

philadelphia phillies nba

Seattle picked up a 6-5 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a huge 6th inning, scoring four of their six runs. As for the Phillies, they scored four of their five runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Mariners were favored at -118.

Orion Kerkering only went one inning for the Phillies but gave up no hits and no earned runs. He did finish the game with just one strikeout and allowed one walk. Carlos Estevez took the loss. Bryce Miller only went 4 1/3 innings for the Mariners, giving up four earned runs on six hits.

Mitch Haniger hit the game’s only home run while going 2/3 with two RBIs. Jorge Polanco also had a two-hit game for Seattle. As for the Phillies, Brandon Marsh went 2/3 with two RBIs.

Philadelphia’s over/under record is 51-54, and the over has hit in five straight games. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, with an average total line of 8 runs. The Phillies have a 54-56 run line record, but are 26-25 vs. the run line on the road.

The Phillies are looking to snap a five-series losing streak today, as they have dropped six straight games overall. They lead the NL East by five games with a 65-45 record. This season, they are 57-35 as favorites and 8-10 as underdogs.

Zack Wheeler Gets The Start For The Phillies

Right-hander Zack Wheeler is on the mound for the Phillies today as he gets the start on the road vs. the Mariners. Wheeler has made 21 starts this year and has a record of 10-5 with a 2.94 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Wheeler has a WHIP of 1.02 and has issued just 2.8 walks per nine innings compared to 9.72 strikeouts. He has turned in 15 quality starts this year. In his last outing, Wheeler took the loss, giving up seven earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had not allowed more than two earned runs in four straight starts.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

Philadelphia’s offense has been one of the most productive units in the league this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game (8th) and batting a collective .255 (5th). They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, the Phillies are 8th in home runs and have the league’s 6th best OPS. Alec Bohm comes into the game with a five-game hitting streak, and over his last five games, he has gone 7/23 with four runs scored.

Bohm is batting .296 for the season, and his 76 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 6th best in the MLB. Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have also been big run producers for the Phillies, as Harper has 67 RBIs and Schwarber has driven in 63 runs. Harper’s 24 homers are 9th best in the league, and Schwarber is right behind him with 22 homers.

Seattle has a 59-53 overall record and leads the AL West by 1 game over the Astros. The Mariners have won two straight games in this series vs. the Phillies, and their overall series record is 15-18-2. Their average run differential is just 0.3 runs per game, and they have been outscored by 3.1 runs per game in their losses.

Against the run line, the Mariners are 29-44 as favorites and 26-30 on the road. Their over/under record for the season is 49-58, and the average total runs per game is 7.7. The over has hit in two straight games, and the Mariners’ games have averaged 7.7 runs this season.

Logan Gilbert Gets The Start For The Mariners

Right-hander Logan Gilbert is on the mound for the Mariners today as he faces the Phillies at home. Gilbert has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 6-7. His ERA is 3.11, along with a WHIP of .90. Gilbert’s last outing came on July 29th, where he took the loss, giving up seven earned runs in 2 2/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had gone three straight starts without giving up a homer. Gilbert has allowed at least one homer in four of his last five outings. Opponents are batting .192 off Gilbert this season.

Mariners Offense Breakdown

seattle mariners

Seattle’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 28th in the MLB. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.6 runs per game. The Mariners are also near the bottom of the league in strikeouts, but they do a good job of drawing walks. As a team, they are batting just .219.

Cal Raleigh has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 23 home runs lead the Mariners and is 10th in the MLB. However, he is batting just .213. Julio Rodriguez has also been a solid power threat, with 11 homers and a batting average of .263. Over his last eight games, Jorge Polanco is hitting .345 with four homers.

Phillies vs Mariners Prediction

We see the Mariners coming away with a 6-5 win over the Phillies, and with them being the underdogs at +114, they are our recommended pick for this game. Offensively, we have the Mariners finishing with nine hits compared to the Phillies with eight.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Zack Wheeler finishing with seven strikeouts compared to Logan Gilbert with six. However, Wheeler is projected to give up more hits and have a higher ERA than Gilbert.

Another reason we like the Mariners to win this one is that they are projected to finish with more home runs than the Phillies, and they are also predicted to finish with more strikeouts as a team.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.