Philadelphia Phillies vs Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Prediction
PublishedSeptember 4, 2024,            Posted By: Maria Uebelhor
Last updated:September 4, 2024 ,

MLB Phillies vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 9/4/2024

The Philadelphia Phillies (82-56) travel to face off against the Toronto Blue Jays (67-73) on Wednesday, September 4th. This game will be played at Rogers Centre in Toronto and televised on NBC10. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Blue Jays are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Phillies. First pitch is set for 2:07 CT.

Phillies vs. Blue Jays Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Blue Jays (+110)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
  • The Blue Jays have scored an average of 6.1 runs per game in their last 15 home games.
  • The Blue Jays have won 6 out of their last 7 home games.
  • The Blue Jays have a 5-2 record in their last 7 games against teams with winning records.
  • The Blue Jays have outscored their opponents by 25 runs in their last 15 home games.
  • The Blue Jays have a 4-1 record in their last 5 home games against National League teams.

Phillies vs Blue Jays

philadelphia phillies nba

Philadelphia rallied for three runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Phillies vs. Blue Jays series. The Phillies scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up three in the top of the 9th, picking up a 10-9 win. Heading into the game, the Phillies were at +100 on the money line.

Toronto wasted a good outing from Chris Bassitt, as he gave up just three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work for the Blue Jays. Chad Green took the loss. Orion Kerkering got the win out of the bullpen for the Phillies as Tyler Phillips went just two-thirds of an inning, giving up one earned run.

Kyle Schwarber hit three home runs for the Phillies while going 5/6 with six RBIs. Trea Turner also had a three-hit game and scored three times for Philadelphia’s offense.

Philadelphia has been a strong run line bet on the road, with a 34-32 record. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 64-67. When the O/U line is set at 8, their record is 17-16-1.

The Phillies lead the NL East with a record of 82-56, putting them seven games ahead of the Braves. They have won three straight series and are currently on a three-game winning streak.

Cristopher Sánchez Gets The Start For The Phillies

Left-hander Cristopher Sánchez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Blue Jays on the road. He has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 9-9 with a 3.49 ERA. Sánchez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.28. In his 26 appearances, he has turned in 14 quality starts and is averaging 7.34 strikeouts per nine innings. Sánchez has pitched well at home this season, coming in with a record of 7-3 and an ERA of 2.46. On the road, his record is 2-6 with a 5.86 ERA.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Phillies are 6th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.8 runs per game. At home, they have been even better, putting up 5.1 runs per contest, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. Overall, they are 4th in team batting average and have the 4th best on-base percentage in the league.

Philadelphia has three players with over 85 RBIs this season, with Alec Bohm leading the team with 89. Bohm is also batting .290 for the season. Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have been two of the league’s top power threats, as Harper has 26 homers and Schwarber has gone deep 31 times. Harper is batting .282 and Schwarber is at .245. Harper has also gone 10/27 in his last seven games.

Overall, the Blue Jays have a 67-73 record, and they are 5th in the AL East, trailing the Rays by two games for the 4th spot. Against the run line, they are 71-69, with a 25-43 record at home and 46-26 on the road.

When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, Toronto’s O/U record is 23-14-1. This season, their games have averaged 8.9 runs, and their overall O/U record is 74-63.

Bowden Francis Gets The Start For The Blue Jays

Toronto is sending right-hander Bowden Francis to the mound today vs. the Phillies. He has made 23 appearances this year and has a record of 8-3 with a 3.66 ERA. Francis has made four straight quality starts and has not lost since July 27th. In his last outing, he pitched seven scoreless innings, picking up the win vs. the Red Sox. Francis has been especially tough on right-handed hitters this year, holding them to a .201 batting average. Overall, opponents are batting .201 vs. Francis this year.

Blue Jays Offense Breakdown

toronto blue jays

So far this season, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. As a team, they are batting a collective .242, and their team on-base percentage of .314 is 9th in the league. Toronto’s offense is led by Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who is hitting .328 for the season with 28 homers and 91 RBIs, both of which are the best marks on the team and 10th in the league.

Guerrero Jr. is also swinging a hot bat right now, going 10/21 in his past five games. Addison Barger has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 6/21 with two homers in his last six games. Justin Turner is currently on a four-game hitting streak. George Springer is 2nd on the team with 19 homers but is batting just .221 for the season.

Phillies vs Blue Jays Prediction

Our predicted final score for this Phillies vs. Blue Jays matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Blue Jays. Given that the Blue Jays are the underdogs at +110, we see this as a great opportunity to take them on the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Bowden Francis is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and he has the Blue Jays finishing with eight strikeouts as a team. On the other side, Christopher Sanchez is projected to finish with six strikeouts as well.

Offensively, the Blue Jays are projected to finish with nine hits compared to the Phillies with eight. However, the Phillies are projected to finish with more home runs, but with the Blue Jays having a better payout and being our predicted winner, we would recommend sticking with them on the money line.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.