The Cincinnati Reds (76-81) travel to face off against the Cleveland Guardians (90-67) on Tuesday, September 24th. This game will be played at Progressive Field in Cleveland and televised on BSGL. Both the Reds and Guardians are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.
Reds vs. Guardians Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Guardians (-163)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
- The Guardians have won 7 out of their last 10 home games.
- The Guardians have scored an average of 4.2 runs per game in their last 15 games.
- The Guardians have a 6-4 record in their last 10 games, indicating strong recent form.
- The Guardians have won 5 out of their last 7 home games.
- The Guardians have scored 5 or more runs in 8 of their last 15 games.
Reds vs Guardians
The Guardians Took The Last Game Of This Series
The Reds will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Pirates with a 2-0 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Pirates scored two runs in the top of the 9th. Cincinnati was the -110 favorite at home going into the game.
Hunter Greene got the start for the Reds and took the loss. He only lasted three innings, giving up one earned run, and issued three walks. Jonathan India was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with two singles. However, the Reds couldn’t get him home, and he didn’t score a run.
On the road, the Reds are 47-29 vs. the run line this season, with an average run margin of +0.6 runs per game. In games with an over/under line of 8 runs, they are 7-13. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 20-28-3, and they are 76-81 for the season, 13.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central.
As underdogs, the Reds are 41-47 this season and have lost two straight games in that role. When favored, they are 35-34. The under has hit in the last two Reds games, and their over/under record for the season is 73-77.
Jakob Junis Gets The Start For The Reds
Jakob Junis is getting the start for the Reds today as he faces off against the Guardians on the road. He has made 23 appearances this season to go along with five starts. Junis’ record for the season is 4-0, and he has an ERA of 2.61. Looking at his numbers, Junis has a WHIP of .84 and has issued just 1.02 walks per nine innings. One of his 23 appearances was a quality start, and he is averaging 6.97 strikeouts per nine innings. The right-hander has allowed a total of seven home runs this season.
Reds Offense Breakdown
Elly De La Cruz has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Reds, going 10/30 in his last seven games, including one home run and five RBIs. He is also Cincinnati’s home run leader this season, with 25 long balls. Spencer Steer and Jeimer Candelario are also tied for 2nd on the team with 20 homers apiece, but both are batting under .230 for the season.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They are also 11th in the league in home runs. Overall, the Reds are batting just .233, which is 19th in the MLB right now. Cincinnati’s most recent lineup has seen Blake Dunn go 3/4 in his last two games, including a home run.
The Guardians Took The Last Game Of This Series
The Guardians will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Cardinals with a 2-1 loss. This was Cleveland’s third straight loss, as they also dropped their final two games vs. the Brewers. Heading into the game, the Guardians were the +109 underdog on the money line.
Gavin Williams got the start for the Guardians and took the loss. He only gave up one run on four hits but issued two walks and took the loss. Cleveland’s offense scored their only run in the 6th inning and it was Tim Lopes who brought them home with a single.
Cleveland has a 90-67 record and is 6-4 in their last 10 games, but they lost the final two games of their series against the Cardinals. They are 7.5 games ahead in the AL Central.
On the run line, the Guardians are 43-38 on the road and 37-39 at home. Their over/under record is 68-78, and when the O/U line is 8 runs, they have a 13-20-6 record.
Tanner Bibee Gets The Start For The Guardians
Cleveland is sending Tanner Bibee to the mound today vs. the Reds, and he will be looking to build off his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. Against the Twins, Bibee went 6 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on five hits. Looking back further, he has made 30 starts this season and has a record of 11-8. Bibee’s ERA for the season is 3.56, along with a WHIP of 1.13. Opposing batters have a batting average of .227 vs. Bibee this season. Out of his 30 starts, he has 11 quality starts and is averaging 9.72 strikeouts per nine innings.
Guardians Offense Breakdown
Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been the Guardians’ top power threats this season, as Ramirez’s 37 home runs are 6th in the league, and Naylor’s 31 homers are 10th in the MLB. Ramirez is also 3rd in the league with 112 RBIs. However, Naylor has struggled of late, batting just .130 over his last six games, while Ramirez has gone 7/24 in that stretch.
Andrés Giménez has been hot of late, batting .400 over his last five games with a home run. This has pushed his season average to .274. He has also gone deep in four straight games. Lane Thomas and Jose Ramirez have also both homered twice in their last six games.
Reds vs Guardians Prediction
With the Guardians at -163 to pick up the win, there is not enough value on the money line for us to recommend taking them. Instead, we are recommending taking the over, with the line sitting at 8 runs. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Guardians.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Tanner Bibee is projected to finish with six strikeouts compared to Jakob Junis at five. Bibee is also predicted to finish with a better ERA than Junis, and we have him finishing with a win today.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 24, 2024 Guardians, Reds