Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Reds vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 9/25/2024

The Cincinnati Reds (76-82) travel to face off against the Cleveland Guardians (91-67) on Wednesday, September 25th. This game will be played at Progressive Field in Cleveland and televised on BSGL. The Guardians are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Reds are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Guardians. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.

Reds vs. Guardians Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Guardians (-148)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
  • Guardians have won 10 out of their last 15 games.
  • Guardians have a 7-3 record in their last 10 home games.
  • Guardians have scored 5 or more runs in 10 of their last 15 games.
  • Guardians have a 6-1 record in their last 7 home games against teams with a losing record.
  • Guardians have outscored their opponents by 20 runs in their last 15 games.

Reds vs Guardians

cincinnati reds nba

Cleveland cruised to a 6-1 win over the Reds in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a huge 1st inning, scoring three of their six runs. As for the Reds, they scored their only run in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Guardians were favored at -202 on the money line.

Tanner Bibee pitched well for the Guardians in this one, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued two walks. On the other side, Carson Spiers only went four innings for the Reds, giving up three earned runs on five hits.

Cleveland’s two homers came from Lane Thomas and Kyle Manzardo. Thomas, Josh Naylor, Jose Ramirez, and Will Brennan each had two RBIs for the Guardians’ offense.

Cincinnati has a 76-82 record and is 4th in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by 14.5 games. The Reds have lost two straight games, including the series opener vs. the Guardians.

On the run line, the Reds are 47-30 on the road and 56-33 as underdogs. Their games this season have had an average of 8.7 runs, and the under has hit in their last 3 games. The O/U record for games with an 8-run line is 7-13.

Jakob Junis Gets The Start For The Reds

Jakob Junis gets the start for the Reds today as he faces off against the Guardians on the road. So far, he has made 23 appearances and five starts. Junis’ ERA is 2.61, and he has a record of 4-0. The right-hander has made one quality start this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up one earned run in six innings of work. In that outing, he didn’t give up a homer. Looking back at his last three outings, Junis has finished with a no-decision in all three. Opponents are batting .197 off Junis this season.

Reds Offense Breakdown

Elly De La Cruz has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Reds, going 10/34 in his last eight games with a home run and five RBIs. De La Cruz is also the Reds’ leader in homers this season, with 25, and is 2nd on the team with 74 RBIs. Spencer Steer and Jeimer Candelario are also tied for 2nd on the team with 20 homers, but both are batting under .230 for the season.

As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. They are also 14th in home runs and have the 19th ranked batting average in the MLB. So far, they have been a very streaky team, as they are 14th in home runs but just 18th in slugging percentage.

Cleveland has been a strong favorite this season, going 63-34, and they have an overall record of 91-67, leading the AL Central by 7.5 games. The Guardians have a 49-28 home record and have covered the run line in their last two home games. Their series record this season is 28-16-6.

For the season, Cleveland games have averaged 8.3 runs, and their over/under record is 68-79. The under has hit in their last two games, and the under when the total is set at 8 runs is 13-20-6. The Guardians’ run line record is 81-77, with a 43-38 record on the road and 38-39 at home.

Joey Cantillo Gets The Start For The Guardians

Left-hander Joey Cantillo gets the start for the Guardians today as he faces the Reds at home. Cantillo has made seven starts this year and has a record of 2-3 with an ERA of 4.63. In his 35 innings of work, Cantillo has a WHIP of 1.20 and has issued 3.34 walks per nine innings compared to 9.51 strikeouts. One of his appearances was a quality start, and he is coming off an outing in which he went 4 1/3 innings and gave up one earned run on three hits. Cantillo has not allowed more than two earned runs in any of his last three outings.

Guardians Offense Breakdown

cleveland guardians

Jose Ramirez has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 37 home runs are 7th in the league and the most on the Guardians roster. He also comes into the game with a batting average of .275 and has driven in 112 runs, which is 3rd best in the league. Over his last five games, Ramirez has gone 7/20 and has two homers and five RBIs. Kyle Manzardo and Lane Thomas have also homered twice in their last five games.

As a team, the Guardians are averaging 4.4 runs per game and are batting .238, which is 15th in the league. They have been a better offensive team at home, where they are averaging 4.7 runs per game. Overall, they are 10th in the league in home runs.

Reds vs Guardians Prediction

Our prediction for this game is that the Guardians will pick up a 5-4 win over the Reds. With the Guardians picking up the win, we recommend taking them on the money line, where the payout is -148.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Joey Cantillo finishing with seven strikeouts, which is good for fourth among all starters today. As for Jakob Junis, we have him finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for eighth.

Offensively, the Reds are projected to finish with eight strikeouts, while the Guardians are predicted to finish with eight. However, the Guardians are projected to finish with five home runs, compared to the Reds, who are predicted to finish with just one.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.