The Cincinnati Reds (34-36) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (41-29) on Sunday, June 16th. This game will be played at American Family Field in Milwaukee and televised on BSWI. The Brewers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Reds are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Brewers. First pitch is set for 1:10 CT.
Reds vs Brewers
It was all Milwaukee in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the Reds by a score of 3-1. The Brewers offense only had four hits in the game but still picked up a win thanks to a strong outing from Jared Koenig, who went just two-thirds of an inning but didn’t give up a run or a hit.
Cincinnati’s only run came in the 9th inning, and they finished the game with just five hits. Andrew Abbott got the start for the Reds, going five innings and giving up three earned runs on four hits.
Jeimer Candelario was the only player in the game to have more than one hit, as he went 2/4 with an RBI. Joey Ortiz and Christian Yelich each had two hits for the Brewers.
Cincinnati is 34-36 overall and trails the Brewers by seven games for the NL Central lead. The Reds are 8-7 in divisional games and have a two-game winning streak on the road. So far, they are 16-17 on the road and 18-19 at home.
As the road underdog, the Reds are 10-16 this year and 16-23 overall as the underdog. Cincinnati has an overall series record of 8-12-2 and has won two straight series on the road. Their overall record as the favorite is 18-13.
When betting the run line on the Reds, it has been more profitable to take them on the road this season. Cincinnati has a run line record of 22-11 on the road compared to 15-22 at home. The Reds have an average run margin of 0.2 runs per game this season, with a scoring margin of 0.7 runs per game on the road and -0.3 runs per game at home. Cincinnati’s average run margin in winning games is 3.6 runs per game, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.0 runs per game.
The Cincinnati Reds are on the road against the Milwaukee Brewers today, with the Over/Under line set at 9 runs. The combined run average in Reds games this season is 8.4, and their Over/Under record is 31-36. The average Over/Under line for Reds games is also 9 runs, and when the line has been set at 9 runs, their record is 1-12-2. In total, 21 of their games have had Over/Under lines set higher than 9 runs, accounting for 30.0% of their games, while 34 games have had lines set lower than 9 runs, making up 48.6% of their games.
Frankie Montas Gets The Start For The Reds
Cincinnati is sending Frankie Montas to the mound today vs. the Brewers, and he comes in with a record of 3-5 and an ERA of 4.55. Montas has made 12 starts this year and has a WHIP of 1.39. In his last outing, Montas got the start vs. the Cubs and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in 1 1/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had pitched well, going 7 innings vs. the Rockies and not giving up a run. Montas has given up at least one homer in four of his last five outings.
Reds Offense Breakdown
Jeimer Candelario has been on a tear for the Reds of late, going 10/29 with four homers and nine RBIs over his last seven games. For the season, he is batting .251 with 12 homers, which is 10th in the league. Spencer Steer has also been a good power threat for the Reds, as his 41 RBIs are 13th in the league, and he has seven homers.
Overall, the Reds are 16th in the league in scoring at 4.3 runs per game. This season, the Reds have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.7 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .226 and are near the bottom of the league in most offensive categories.
Milwaukee currently leads the NL Central with a record of 41-29, which has them 6.5 games ahead of the Cardinals. So far, they have gone 17-9 against other teams in the NL Central. The Brewers will be playing at home today, where they are 21-12 this year.
The Brewers have gone 20-17 on the road this year. They have also been good as the favorite this year, going 22-13. As the underdog, Milwaukee is 19-16 this year. The team’s overall series record is 13-7-2, and they have won two straight series.
When the Brewers win, they tend to do so by a comfortable margin, as their average run differential in victories is 3.6. However, when they lose, they tend to lose by a wider margin, with an average run differential of -2.9. As a result, their overall run line record is 36-34, with a run line record of 15-18 at home and 21-16 on the road. They have been a better bet against the run line as the underdog, going 23-12 compared to 13-22 as the favorite.
The Milwaukee Brewers are playing at home against the Cincinnati Reds today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The combined run average for Brewers games this season is 8.8 runs, and their over/under record is 38-30. The average over/under line for Milwaukee games is 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9 runs is 2-3-1. So far this season, just 5.7% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher.
Colin Rea Gets The Start For The Brewers
Colin Rea gets the start for the Brewers today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in seven innings of work. In that outing, he only gave up three hits and issued three walks. Looking back further, Rea has made 11 starts and four of them have been quality starts. His record for the season is 5-2, and he has an ERA of 3.31. Rea’s WHIP for the season is 1.26. Overall, he has allowed nine home runs this year. Per nine innings, Rea is averaging 6.11 strikeouts and 2.93 walks.
Brewers Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Brewers offense has been one of the league’s best, averaging 4.8 runs per game (7th). They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s 3rd best hitting team, with a team batting average of .254. Milwaukee also does a good job of avoiding strikeouts and are 4th in the league in walks.
William Contreras and Willy Adames have been the Brewers top power threats this season, with Contreras hitting 9 homers and Adames at 11. Contreras comes into the game with a team-high 48 RBIs, while Adames is also tied for 1st on the team in RBIs. Christian Yelich is also swinging a hot bat right now, as he is 8/20 in his last five games.
Reds vs Brewers Prediction
Getting the Brewers at -134 on the money line is a great value, as we have them winning this game 6-5. Offensively, we have the Brewers finishing with nine hits compared to the Reds with nine as well.
Looking at today’s starters, we have Colin Rea finishing with six strikeouts compared to Frankie Montas with six as well. Montas has a better chance of picking up a win, but we have him going just five innings, compared to Rea, who we have going 5.2 innings.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:June 16, 2024 Brewers, Reds