The Cincinnati Reds (35-38) travel to face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates (35-38) on Wednesday, June 19th. This game will be played at PNC Park in Pittsburgh and televised on SN PT. The Reds are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Pirates are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Reds. First pitch is set for 11:35 CT.
Reds vs Pirates
Cincinnati picked up a 2-1 road win over the Pirates in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a two-run 5th inning, and the Pirates scored their only run in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Reds were favored at -125 on the money line.
Nick Lodolo pitched well for the Reds in this one, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but didn’t factor into the decision. Alexis Díaz got the win out of the bullpen, and Heath Hembree got the save.
Bailey Falter had a good outing for the Pirates, going seven innings and giving up two earned runs on seven hits. He took the loss in the game. Ke’Bryan Hayes hit the game’s only home run and went 1/4.
Cincinnati is 35-38 overall and is in 4th place in the NL Central, eight games behind the Brewers. The Reds are 9-9 in divisional games this year. They will be on the road today, taking on the Pirates, who are also 8.0 games out of the division lead.
At home, the Reds are 18-19 this year and 17-19 on the road. Cincinnati has won two straight games as the favorite, and they are 19-13 overall as the favorite. As the underdog, the Reds are 16-25 this year. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 8-13-2, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games overall.
One interesting trend for the Reds this season has been their run line record. Overall, they are 38-35 against the run line, but they have been much better on the road, where they are 23-13. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 23-18 against the run line in those games.
In their last 4 games, the Reds have gone under the total, and their games have averaged 8.3 runs per game this season. The Reds have gone over in 31 of their 70 games this season, and the average over/under line in their games this season has been 9 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the Reds have gone over in 5 of 11 games.
Hunter Greene Gets The Start For The Reds
Hunter Greene has been pitching well for the Reds and comes into the game with a record of 5-2 and an ERA of 3.61. So far, he has made 14 starts and has one complete game shutout. Greene has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 9.73 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he went five innings and got the win, giving up two earned runs on five hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Greene has been especially good on the road, going 3-0 with a 3.13 ERA compared to 2-2 with a 3.98 ERA at home.
Reds Offense Breakdown
Over the past eight games, Jeimer Candelario has been on a tear for the Reds, going 11/32 with three home runs and nine RBIs. This has helped him move into a tie with Elly De La Cruz and Spencer Steer for the team lead in home runs. Candelario also has the team’s 2nd best batting average at .252. Steer comes into the game with a team-high 43 RBIs.
As a team, the Reds are 17th in the league in scoring at 4.2 runs per game. They have been better on the road (4.5 RPG) than at home (4.0 RPG). Overall, the Reds are batting just .227, which is 21st in the league.
Pittsburgh will take on the Reds today with an overall record of 35-38, and they are eight games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. This season, they are 9-10 in divisional matchups. The Pirates are 17-18 at home compared to an 18-20 mark on the road.
As the underdog, the Pirates have dropped two straight, and they are 22-21 as the underdog overall. Pittsburgh has been better at home as the underdog, putting together a mark of 10-7. The Pirates are 9-10-4 in series this year, and they are 1-1 vs. the Reds heading into today’s game. Looking at their recent performance, the Pirates are 5-5 over their last ten games.
When the Pirates win, they do so by an average of 3.1 runs, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.5 runs. Pittsburgh is 41-32 against the run line overall this season, including a 19-16 mark at home. They are 22-16 against the run line on the road, and they have covered in two straight games. The Pirates are 30-13 against the run line as the underdog, but just 11-19 as the favorite. Their average run margin for the season is -0.4 runs per game.
At home, the Pittsburgh Pirates have an over/under record of 35-37, with the average line set at 8 runs per game. The over/under line for today’s game against the Cincinnati Reds is 8.5 runs, which is the same as the combined run average for Pirates games this season. In games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, the Pirates have a record of 13-10, and the over has hit in three straight games for Pittsburgh.
Mitch Keller Gets The Start For The Pirates
Mitch Keller will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Cardinals, as he gets the start for the Pirates today vs. the Reds. In that last start, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that outing, he had picked up the win in three straight starts. Keller’s record for the season is 8-4, and his ERA is 3.36. Opposing batters are hitting .252 off Keller this season. The right-hander has made eight quality starts and is averaging 8.19 strikeouts per nine innings.
Pirates Offense Breakdown
Andrew McCutchen has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/26 in his last seven games with two homers. McCutchen is currently 13th in the league with 10 home runs and is 5th on the Pirates with 22 RBIs. Bryan Reynolds has also been swinging a hot bat, going 12/33 in his last eight games and is on a 16-game hitting streak.
For the season, the Pirates are averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. As a team, they are batting just .231 and have an on-base percentage of only .300. The Pirates are also near the bottom of the league in terms of slugging percentage and OPS.
Reds vs Pirates Prediction
Our predicted score for this Reds vs. Pirates matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Reds. With the Reds on the money line, you can get them at -101, and this is our recommended bet for today’s game.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Hunter Greene is projected to finish with eight strikeouts, which is the highest among all starters today. As for Mitch Keller, he is projected to finish with six K’s, which is the fourth-best among starters.
Offensively, the Reds are projected to finish with eight hits, while the Pirates are predicted to finish with eight. However, the Pirates are projected to finish with fewer runs, as they are predicted to finish with four compared to the Reds with five.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 19, 2024 Pirates, Reds