The Cincinnati Reds (38-44) travel to face off against the St. Louis Cardinals (42-39) on Saturday, June 29th. This game will be played at Busch Stadium in St. Louis and televised on BSMW. The Cardinals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Reds are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Cardinals. First pitch is set for 1:15 CT.
Reds vs Cardinals
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Cardinals vs Reds series. St. Louis went into the matchup as -128 favorites and squeaked out a 1-0 win. Heading into the game, the Cardinals had lost the previous game of the series.
Cincinnati wasted a good outing from Frankie Montas, as he gave up just one run in six innings of work for the Reds. Andre Pallante got the win for the Cardinals, going five and one-third innings and not giving up a run.
The only run of the game came in the 3rd inning when Jonathan India scored on a Tucker Barnhart groundout. India finished the game with two hits and was the only Reds player to reach base more than once.
Cincinnati is 38-44 overall, putting them 4th in the NL Central. Currently, they trail the Brewers by 11 games for the division lead. The Reds are 1-1 in their series vs. the Cardinals and have an overall record of 8-16-2 in series this year.
At home, the Reds are 20-23 this year, and they have gone 18-21 on the road. As the underdog, the Reds are 18-28 this year compared to 20-16 as the favorite. Their overall record has come with a division mark of 11-13.
The Reds have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 44-38 overall. They have been particularly good on the run line on the road, where they are 26-13 this season. They are currently on a three-game run line win streak on the road and have covered the run line in five straight games as the underdog. Overall, they have a run line record of 28-18 as the underdog this season.
The Cincinnati Reds are on the road today against the St. Louis Cardinals. The O/U line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is slightly below their combined run average of 8.4 runs per game. The Reds have an O/U record of 35-44 on the season, and their average O/U line for games this season has been set at 9 runs. When the O/U line has been set at 8 runs, the Reds have gone 3-7 on the season. So far this season, 67.1% of their games have had O/U lines set higher than 8 runs.
Carson Spiers Gets The Start For The Reds
Right-hander Carson Spiers is starting for the Reds today as he faces the Cardinals on the road. So far, he has made two starts and one of them was a quality start. Spiers’ record for the season is 1-1, and he most recently pitched on June 24th, where he picked up the win. In that outing, he went six innings and gave up three earned runs. Looking at his overall numbers, Spiers has an ERA of 3.45 and a WHIP of 1.25. Opposing batters are hitting .262 off Spiers this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.18 strikeouts and just 1.72 walks.
Reds Offense Breakdown
Elly De La Cruz has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Reds, going 13/38 in his last nine games with two homers and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting .252 with a team-high 14 homers. Spencer Steer and Jeimer Candelario are also tied for the team lead in homers, with Steer batting .242 and Candelario at .245.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They are also 20th in batting average and have a below-average on-base percentage and slugging percentage. Cincinnati’s offense is led by De La Cruz, who is 3rd on the team with 36 RBIs.
St. Louis is 42-39 overall and is 6.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Cardinals are 10-10 in divisional games and have gone 6-4 across their last 10 games. At home, the Cardinals are 23-17 this season.
As the favorite, the Cardinals are 21-18 this season and 15-12 when favored at home. St. Louis has been an even 21-21 as the underdog this year. The Cardinals’ series record is 14-11-1 this year, and they have won two straight series.
When betting the run line with the Cardinals, it’s best to take them as the underdog. They have a 26-16 run line record in those games, compared to a 15-24 mark as the favorite. St. Louis has a negative run differential overall (-0.5 runs per game) and on the road (-0.8 runs per game), but it’s just -0.2 runs per game at home. Their run line record is 41-40 overall and 23-17 at home.
The St. Louis Cardinals are playing at home today against the Cincinnati Reds. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is right around the teams’ combined run average for the season. The Cardinals have played to the over in 35 of their 78 games this season, and when the line is set at 8 runs, they have gone over the total in just over 35% of those games.
Sonny Gray Gets The Start For The Cardinals
Sonny Gray gets the start for the Cardinals today and comes in with a record of 9-4 and an ERA of 2.81. So far, he has made 14 starts and seven of them have been quality starts. Gray’s ERA at home is 1.6 compared to 4.89 on the road. In his last outing, he gave up just one earned run in seven innings of work, picking up the win. Looking back further, Gray has allowed just one earned run in three of his last four starts. His WHIP for the season is currently .95.
Cardinals Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Cardinals are averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 26th in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.2 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .239, which is 16th in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .306 is also below average. The Cardinals have been getting on base at an average rate, and their slugging percentage of .378 is 17th in the MLB.
Over his last six games, Brendan Donovan has gone 8/22, and for the season, he is batting .269 with a team-leading 41 RBIs. Alec Burleson is 2nd on the team with 37 RBIs and has 12 homers. Nolan Gorman has struggled with a batting average of just .188 but is leading the team with 16 homers.
Reds vs Cardinals Prediction
Our predictions for this Reds vs. Cardinals matchup is to take the over, with the line being set at 8 runs. Offensively, we have the Cardinals finishing with nine hits and the Reds with eight.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Sonny Gray finishing with six strikeouts compared to Carson Spiers with eight. However, we have Gray finishing with a higher ERA than Spiers, as Gray is projected to finish with a 4.16 ERA compared to Spiers at 3.78.
If you’re looking for a money line pick, we would take the Cardinals, as we have them winning this one 5-4. However, with the payout being +157 for the Reds, we prefer the over at -117.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 29, 2024 Cardinals, Reds