The Cincinnati Reds (39-44) travel to face off against the St. Louis Cardinals (42-40) on Sunday, June 30th. This game will be played at Busch Stadium in St. Louis and televised on BSOH. The Reds are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Cardinals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Reds. First pitch is set for 1:15 CT.
Reds vs Cardinals
Cincinnati cruised to a 9-4 win over the Cardinals in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a huge 5th inning, scoring six of their nine runs. As for the Cardinals, they scored their four runs in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Reds were the +172 underdogs.
Sonny Gray only went 4 1/3 innings for the Reds but gave up just three hits and one earned run. Carson Spiers came out of the bullpen for the win. As for the Cardinals, Adam Wainwright got tagged for five runs in five innings of work.
Paul Goldschmidt hit the game’s only home run while going 1/4 with three RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Austin Wynns had a three-hit game for the Reds, scoring twice and driving in a run.
Cincinnati is 39-44 overall and trails the Brewers by 10 games in the NL Central. The Reds have gone 12-13 in divisional games this year, and they are leading the Cardinals 2-1 in their current series. So far, they are 4-6 across their last 10 games.
At home, the Reds are 20-23 this year, and they have gone 19-21 on the road. As the road favorite, the Reds are 7-1 this season, and they are 20-16 as the favorite overall. Cincinnati has dropped four straight series and has an overall series record of 8-16-2 this year.
The Reds have been a strong bet on the run line this season, going 45-38 overall. They’ve been especially profitable on the road, where they are 27-13 on the run line. Their average run margin on the road is +0.8, and they’ve covered the run line in four straight road games. They’ve been a better bet as the underdog, going 29-18 on the run line in those games.
The Cincinnati Reds are on the road today against the St. Louis Cardinals. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 8 runs. The Reds have had a combined run average of 8.4 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 36-44, and their average over/under line is 9 runs per game. When the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 4-7. Overall, 55 of their games this season have had over/under lines set above 8 runs, which accounts for 66.3% of their games. Only 17 of their games have had over/under lines set below 8 runs, which accounts for 20.5% of their games.
Hunter Greene Gets The Start For The Reds
Hunter Greene is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Pirates, as he gets the start for the Reds today. In that June 25th start, he took the loss, giving up six earned runs in four innings of work. Looking back further, Greene has made six straight starts without giving up more than two earned runs. His record for the season is 5-3, and he has an ERA of 3.79. Opponents have hit .202 off Greene this year, and his WHIP is 1.17. Per nine innings, he is averaging 10 strikeouts compared to 3.79 walks.
Reds Offense Breakdown
Elly De La Cruz has been swinging a hot bat for the Reds, hitting .349 over his last 10 games, including two home runs. For the season, he is batting .255 with a team-leading 14 homers. De La Cruz’s 37 RBIs are the 3rd most in the league right now. Jeimer Candelario and Spencer Steer are also tied with De La Cruz for the team lead in homers, with Candelario hitting .245 and Steer coming in at .243.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.3 runs per game and have been a better offensive team on the road this season. Overall, they are just 17th in home runs and have a team batting average of just .231. Jonathan India is on an 11-game hitting streak and is batting .514 over his last 10 games.
St. Louis will take on the Reds today with an overall record of 42-40, which has them 2nd in the NL Central. Currently, they trail the Brewers by 6.5 games and are 10-11 in the division. The Cardinals are looking to pick up a win today, as they are losing the series vs. the Reds 1-2.
This season, the Cardinals have been good at home, going 23-18 compared to 19-22 on the road. St. Louis has been good as the home underdog this year, going 8-5, and they are 21-19 as the favorite. St. Louis’ overall series record is 14-11-1, and they have won two straight series.
When betting the run line on the Cardinals, it’s been best to take them as the underdog, as they’re 26-16 against the run line in those games. They have an overall run line record of 41-41, with a -0.5 run differential per game. They’re 23-18 against the run line at home, where they’ve been outscored by 0.3 runs per game.
The St. Louis Cardinals are playing at home against the Cincinnati Reds today, with the Over/Under line set at 8 runs. The combined run average in Cardinals games this season is 8.5, and their Over/Under record is 36-43. When the O/U line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 6-9-1. The O/U line has been set at 8 runs in 52.4% of their games this season.
Lance Lynn Gets The Start For The Cardinals
Lance Lynn will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in 6 2/3 innings of work. In that outing vs. the Braves, he only gave up four hits and issued one walk. Lynn ended up with the win in that start. Overall, he has made 16 appearances and 16 starts this season, coming in with a record of 3-3 and an ERA of 3.86. Opponents are batting .245 off Lynn this season. The right-hander has made four quality starts this year and is averaging 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed 10 home runs.
Cardinals Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Cardinals offense is averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 26th in the league. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4.1 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .239, which is 13th in the league, and are also near the top of the league in terms of home runs. However, they have been below average in terms of on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS.
Brendan Donovan has been the Cardinals’ top run producer this season, with 41 RBIs, and is also 4th on the team with a batting average of .267. Alec Burleson and Nolan Gorman are the team’s top home run hitters, with 12 and 16 homers, respectively. Gorman is batting just .190 this season. In his last six games, Michael Siani is hitting .533, and Nolan Arenado is on a five-game hitting streak, going 5/18 in that stretch.
Reds vs Cardinals Prediction
Our pick for today’s Reds vs. Cardinals matchup is to take the Cardinals to win at home. The money line for the Cardinals is currently at -103, and with our predicted final score being 5-4 in favor of the Cardinals, there is some good value in taking them on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Hunter Greene finishing with six strikeouts compared to Lance Lynn with five. However, Lynn is projected to go six innings, while Greene is projected to go just over five.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:June 30, 2024 Cardinals, Reds