Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Reds vs Washington Nationals Prediction 7/21/2024

The Cincinnati Reds (47-52) travel to face off against the Washington Nationals (46-53) on Sunday, July 21st. This game will be played at Nationals Park in Washington and televised on MASN. The Nationals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Reds are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Nationals. First pitch is set for 12:35 CT.

Reds vs. Nationals Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Nationals (-115)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
  • The Nationals have won their last 2 games against the Reds, scoring a total of 13 runs in those games.
  • In their last 15 games, the Nationals have scored 5 or more runs in 7 games, showing strong offensive performance.
  • The Nationals have a better home record (22-24) compared to the Reds’ away record (22-24), indicating a home-field advantage.
  • In the last 15 games, the Nationals have won 6 games at home, demonstrating recent success at their home ballpark.
  • The Nationals have a winning streak of 2 games, while the Reds are on a losing streak of 3 games, indicating momentum in favor of the Nationals.

Reds vs Nationals

cincinnati reds nba

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Nationals vs Reds series. Washington went into the matchup as +100 underdogs and squeaked out a 5-4 win. Both teams scored two runs in the first inning, and the Reds could only muster one more run off the Nationals’ bullpen.

Cincinnati had a chance to tie or take the lead in the 9th inning, but Kyle Finnegan closed things out for the Nationals. Justin Wilson took the loss for the Reds out of the bullpen.

MacKenzie Gore only went two innings for the Nationals but gave up just two hits and three earned runs. Derek Law got the win out of the bullpen.

On the run line, the Reds have a 30-16 record on the road and are 32-20 as underdogs. The Reds are 47-52 overall and are looking to end a three-game losing streak today against the Nationals.

For the season, the Reds’ over/under record is 45-50, and they are currently on a two-game over streak. Today’s over/under line is set at 9 runs, and their O/U record when the line is 9 runs is 2-16-3.

Andrew Abbott Gets The Start For The Reds

Cincinnati is sending left-hander Andrew Abbott to the mound today vs. the Nationals. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 9-6. Abbott’s ERA is 3.39, along with a WHIP of 1.21. In his 19 appearances, he has turned in seven quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Abbott finished with a no-decision vs. the Marlins, giving up five earned runs in 3 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts. So far, he has been much better at home, with an ERA of 4.08 compared to 3.42 on the road.

Reds Offense Breakdown

Elly De La Cruz has been on a tear of late, as he is currently on an eight-game hitting streak and has gone deep 17 times this season, which is 10th best in the league. De La Cruz’s 44 RBIs is also the 3rd best mark in the league. Over his last seven games, Tyler Stephenson has four home runs while going 7/26.

As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. Overall, they are batting just .230 and are also near the bottom of the league in terms of strikeouts. So far, they have been a solid home run hitting team and are 13th in the league in terms of slugging percentage.

Washington is 46-53 overall this season and they have won two straight games after losing four in a row. The Nationals are 16.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East and have a 16-15 record against divisional opponents. Their overall series record is 12-17-2, and they are 4-6 in their last 10 games.

Against the run line, the Nationals have a strong 56-43 record this season and are 26-20 at home. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs, resulting in a 48-47 over/under record. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 9 runs, and Washington’s over streak is currently at 4 games.

Jake Irvin Gets The Start For The Nationals

Washington is starting right-hander Jake Irvin vs. the Reds today, and he comes into the game with a record of 7-8 and an ERA of 3.49. In his 20 starts, Irvin has turned in 12 quality starts and is averaging 7.68 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his last outing, Irvin took the loss vs. the Brewers, giving up six earned runs in four innings of work. He has lost each of his last two outings. Before that, he had won three straight starts.

Nationals Offense Breakdown

washington nationals

Washington’s offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game this season, which is 20th in the league. They have been a bit better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, the Nationals are batting just .239, and their 83 home runs are 25th in the MLB. However, they do have three players with at least 11 homers, including CJ Abrams, who is 12th in the league with 15 long balls.

Jesse Winker and Luis Garcia Jr. are both batting over .260 for the season and have 11 homers and 43 and 45 RBIs, respectively. Winker is batting .381 this season and has gone deep in one of his last five games. Luis Garcia Jr. has also hit one home run in his last four games while going 4/14 overall in that stretch.

Reds vs Nationals Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Reds vs. Nationals game is to take the Nationals on the money line, with the payout being -115. We have the Nationals winning this one by a final score of 6-5.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Jake Irvin is projected to finish with five strikeouts, and he is 11th among starters in terms of strikeout projections. As for Andrew Abbott, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which has him 13th among starters.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.