The San Diego Padres (44-41) travel to face off against the Boston Red Sox (43-37) on Friday, June 28th. This game will be played at Fenway Park in Boston and televised on APLTV. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Red Sox are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Blue Jays. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.
Padres vs Red Sox
Heading into their last game vs. the Nationals, the Padres closed out the series with an 8-5 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -190. Offensively, the Padres scored their eight runs on nine hits and only hit two home runs.
Dylan Cease put together a good start for the Padres, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out nine Nationals batters. Kyle Higashioka was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with two homers and six RBIs.
San Diego is on the road today to take on the Red Sox, and they are 44-41 overall, putting them 8.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Padres are on a three-game winning streak, and they closed out their series vs. the Nationals with three straight wins.
As the underdog, the Padres have won three straight, and they are 12-11 as the road underdog this season. Their overall series record is 15-10-3, and they have won two straight series.
San Diego is 44-41 against the run line this season, with a +0.2 run differential. They are 27-12 against the run line on the road, and have covered in their last two games. They are 23-10 against the run line as an underdog, and have a +0.7 run differential on the road.
The San Diego Padres are on the road against the Boston Red Sox today. The over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs, which is higher than their combined run average of 9.0 runs per game. The Padres have a 45-39 over/under record on the season, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs. When the line is set at 9.5 runs, they have gone over in five out of six games. Overall, only 3.5% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs, and they have gone over in seven straight games.
Randy Vásquez Gets The Start For The Padres
Randy Vásquez gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. He has made 10 starts this season and has a record of 2-4 with an ERA of 5.10. Vásquez’s WHIP for the season is 1.68, and opponents are batting .324 off the right-hander this year. In his 10 starts, he has turned in two quality starts and is averaging 5.85 strikeouts per nine innings. Vásquez’s most recent outing came on June 22nd, where he picked up the win and didn’t allow a run in five innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight outings.
Padres Offense Breakdown
San Diego’s offense has been one of the league’s best so far this season, as they are 2nd in batting average and have the 7th most home runs in the league. They also do a good job of putting the ball in play, as they have the league’s 2nd fewest strikeouts. The Padres have a few hitters who have been swinging the bat well of late, including Manny Machado, who is on a four-game hitting streak and has gone 13/35 in his last nine games.
Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth have been two of the Padres’ top power threats this season, with Profar leading the team with 11 homers and Cronenworth right behind him with 12. Profar also comes into the game with a 10-game hitting streak and is 8/20 in his last six games. Luis Arraez and Jurickson Profar come into the game with batting averages of .316 and .310, respectively.
Boston closed out their series vs. the Blue Jays with a 9-4 loss. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were the slight favorite at -129 on the money line. Things really got away from the Red Sox in the 3rd inning, as the Blue Jays scored seven runs in the inning. Boston’s offense scored their only four runs in the 2nd.
Brayan Bello got the start for the Red Sox and took the loss. He only lasted 2 1/3 innings, giving up seven earned runs. Rafael Devers had a big game at the plate, going 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
Boston is 43-37 overall and trails the Orioles and Yankees in the AL East. They are 7.5 games behind the Yankees for the division lead. The Red Sox are 11-10 against other AL East teams this year. The Red Sox have gone 8-2 across their last ten games and split their most recent series vs. the Blue Jays.
At home, the Red Sox are 19-21 this year and 24-16 on the road. As the favorite, the Red Sox are 22-16, and they are 21-21 as the underdog. So far, they have gone 12-13 as the favorite at home. Boston’s overall series record is 12-9-5 and they have won two straight series on the road.
When betting on the run line in Red Sox games, it’s been better to take them on the road, as they’re 23-17 against the run line away from Fenway Park. They’ve been a better bet as the underdog (25-17) than as the favorite (12-26) on the run line.
The Red Sox have played 75 games this season, and only three of them have had higher over/under lines than today’s 9.5. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record is 37-38. Their over streak is at three games.
Nick Pivetta Gets The Start For The Red Sox
Through 11 starts, Nick Pivetta has a record of 4-4 and an ERA of 4.06. He has made four quality starts this year and is averaging 9.99 strikeouts per nine innings. Pivetta’s most recent outing came on June 22nd against the Reds, where he went 4 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs, and taking a no-decision. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The right-hander has been much better on the road, coming in with an ERA of 4.06 compared to 5.81 at home.
Red Sox Offense Breakdown
Over the Red Sox’s last five games, Jarren Duran has gone 10/23 with five runs scored and one home run. For the season, he is batting .288 and has gone deep seven times. Rafael Devers and Tyler O’Neill are tied for the team lead in homers, with 16 apiece. Devers is also the Red Sox’s leader in RBIs, with 42.
As a team, the Red Sox are 6th in the league in home runs and are averaging 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Boston comes into the game with a collective batting average of .253, which is 6th in the league.
Padres vs Red Sox Prediction
Our pick for this Padres vs. Red Sox matchup is to take the Red Sox on the money line at -154. We have the Red Sox winning this one by a score of 5-4, which means there is some value in taking them on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Nick Pivetta finishing with five strikeouts, which has him 19th among all starters today. As for Randy Vásquez, he is projected to finish with five K’s, which has him 15th.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:June 28, 2024 Padres, Red Sox