The San Diego Padres (45-41) travel to face off against the Boston Red Sox (43-38) on Saturday, June 29th. This game will be played at Fenway Park in Boston and televised on NESN. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Red Sox are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 3:10 CT.
Padres vs Red Sox
San Diego cruised to a 9-2 win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 5th inning, scoring nine of their nine runs. As for the Red Sox, they scored their only two runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Padres were at +134 on the money line.
Randy Vásquez only went four innings for the Padres but gave up just one hit and one earned run. Stephen Kolek got the win out of the bullpen. Nick Pivetta had a rough outing for the Red Sox, going just four innings and giving up five earned runs on seven hits.
At the plate, Jackson Merrill and Kyle Higashioka each homered for the Padres. Merrill, Manny Machado, and Jake Cronenworth each had two RBIs. Rafael Devers hit a home run for the Red Sox, going 1/2.
San Diego is 45-41 overall and 2nd in the NL West, 7.5 games behind the Dodgers. The Padres have won four straight games, and they are 8-2 over their last 10. The Padres took the series opener vs. the Red Sox and have an overall series record of 15-10-3 this year.
At home, the Padres are 24-22 this season, and they have gone 21-19 on the road. As the road underdog, the Padres are 13-11 this year, and they have won four straight as the underdog overall. San Diego’s overall record as the favorite is 28-24.
San Diego has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 45-41 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 28-12, including a current streak of three straight wins. They have been an underdog in 34 of their games and are 24-10 on the run line in those contests.
The San Diego Padres are on the road today against the Boston Red Sox. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is lower than their season average of 9.0 runs per game. The Padres have hit the over in 46 of their 85 games this season, and their current over streak is at 8 games.
Michael King Gets The Start For The Padres
Right-hander Michael King gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. King has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 5-5 with a 3.75 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, King has a WHIP of 1.29 and opponents are batting .229 this season. In his 16 starts, King has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 10.47 strikeouts per nine innings. King’s last outing came on June 23rd, where he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without taking the loss.
Padres Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Padres are batting .261 this season, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. They have also been one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, coming into the game ranked 8th in the league. Currently, they are 10th in the league in scoring at 4.7 runs per contest.
Jurickson Profar has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 11 home runs is 3rd on the team and 15th in the league. Profar also comes into the game with a team-high 55 RBIs and is batting .316. Over his last seven games, Manny Machado has gone 11/28, and he is also on a five-game hitting streak.
Boston is 43-38 overall and trails the Orioles by 8.5 games in the AL East. The Red Sox have dropped two straight games, and they lost the first game of this series vs. the Padres. So far, they are 11-10 in AL East play.
At home, the Red Sox are 19-22 this season, and they have gone 24-16 on the road. As the favorite, the Red Sox are 22-17 and 21-21 as the underdog. So far, they have an overall series record of 12-9-5, and they have won two straight series on the road.
While the Red Sox are just 37-44 against the run line this season, they have been much better on the road, going 23-17. Their average run differential on the season is just +0.5 runs per game, but they have been outscored by 0.4 runs per game at home, where they are just 14-27 against the run line. They have covered the run line in 25 of 42 games as the underdog this season.
The Boston Red Sox are playing at home today against the San Diego Padres. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly lower than their combined run average of 8.8 runs per game this season. The Red Sox have a 38-38 over/under record this season, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs per game. However, when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, the over has hit in 14 of their 25 games. The over has also hit in their last four games.
Tanner Houck Gets The Start For The Red Sox
Tanner Houck gets the start for the Red Sox today and comes in with a record of 7-5 and an ERA of 2.18. So far this year, he has made 16 starts, and opponents are batting .207 off the right-hander. Houck has turned in 13 quality starts, one shutout, and one complete game this year. In his last outing, he went 6 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, and finished with a no-decision. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Houck has been tough to beat at home, coming in with a 2.57 ERA compared to 1.89 on the road.
Red Sox Offense Breakdown
Heading into the game, the Red Sox are 11th in scoring at 4.6 runs per game. Boston has been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .253, which is 7th in the league, and are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS. The Red Sox are also the top team in the league in BABIP.
Rafael Devers and Tyler O’Neill have been two of the Red Sox’s top power threats this season, with Devers leading the team with 17 homers and O’Neill right behind him with 16. Devers is also on a five-game hitting streak and has three homers in his last seven games, while O’Neill has gone deep twice in his last seven games. Jarren Duran has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 13/33 in his last seven games with two homers.
Padres vs Red Sox Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Padres vs. Red Sox game is to take the Red Sox on the money line at -148. We have the Red Sox winning this one by a final score of 5-4. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also take the over, as the line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and we have this one finishing with nine runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Tanner Houck finishing with five strikeouts compared to Michael King with six. However, we have King going longer into the game, finishing with 5.1 innings compared to Houck at 4.2.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:June 29, 2024 Padres, Red Sox