The San Diego Padres (46-41) travel to face off against the Boston Red Sox (43-39) on Sunday, June 30th. This game will be played at Fenway Park in Boston and televised on None. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Red Sox are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 12:35 CT.
Padres vs Red Sox
San Diego cruised to an easy 11-1 win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 5th inning, scoring six of their eleven runs. As for the Red Sox, they scored their only run in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Padres were at +119 on the money line.
Michael King pitched well for the Padres in this one, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts and got the win. On the other side, Tanner Houck had a rough outing for the Red Sox, giving up seven earned runs in just 4 1/3 innings of work.
Manny Machado and Jackson Merrill each homered for the Padres, while Brett Sullivan went 2/5 with two RBIs and two runs scored. Luis Arraez also had a three-hit game and scored two runs.
The Padres are on a five-game winning streak, and they are 46-41 overall this season. San Diego is 7.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead, and they are 14-15 in divisional games this year. The Padres have taken two straight games in this series vs. the Red Sox, and they are 9-1 over their last 10 games.
San Diego has been good at home and slightly above .500 on the road. As the road underdog, the Padres have gone 14-11 this season. They have also won three straight games as the road team. So far, they have been good as the favorite, putting up a mark of 28-24, and they are 18-17 as the underdog this year.
The Padres have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 46-41 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 29-12 against the run line. They have covered in four straight road games and in six straight games as an underdog. Overall, they are 25-10 against the run line as an underdog.
The Padres are on the road in Boston tonight, where the over/under line is set at 10 runs. San Diego’s games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 47-39. The over has hit in nine straight games for the Padres, but this is the first time this season their over/under line has been set at 10 runs.
Matt Waldron Gets The Start For The Padres
Right-hander Matt Waldron is starting for the Padres today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 5-6 with a 3.42 ERA. Waldron’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.16, and opponents are batting .221 off him this year. In his last outing, Waldron finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Waldron has allowed a total of seven homers this season.
Padres Offense Breakdown
Over the last five games, Manny Machado has been on fire for the Padres, going 8/21 with three homers and seven RBIs. This has pushed his season average to .279. Machado also comes into the game on a six-game hitting streak. Jurickson Profar has also been swinging a hot bat of late, as he has gone deep three times in his last five games and is 2nd on the team with 55 RBIs. Profar’s 11 homers is 3rd on the team and 15th in the league.
As a team, the Padres are 5th in the league in home runs and have the 2nd best team batting average in the league. They are also one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts. Overall, they are 9th in runs scored (4.7 per game).
Boston will be looking to snap a three-game losing streak today, as they are down 0-2 in their series vs. the Padres. The Red Sox are 43-39 overall and trail the Orioles by 9.5 games in the AL East. So far, they are 11-10 in divisional matchups.
At home, the Red Sox are 19-23 this year compared to a 24-16 mark on the road. Boston has dropped three straight at home, and they are 12-15 as the home favorite this year. Their overall record as the favorite is 22-18, and they are 21-21 when going into a game as the underdog.
When betting the run line on the Red Sox, it’s been a better idea to take them on the road than at home. They have a 23-17 run line record on the road compared to 14-28 at home. The average run margin in their winning games is +4.3, while it’s -4.0 in their losses.
The Boston Red Sox have an over/under record of 39-38 this season, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game. Their over/under record when the line is set at 10 runs is 0-2, and their games have had an average line of 8 runs. They have gone over the total in five straight games, and this season, only one of their games has had an over/under line set at 10 runs.
Josh Winckowski Gets The Start For The Red Sox
Through 13 appearances, Josh Winckowski has made three starts for the Red Sox. He has a record of 1-1 and an ERA of 3.26. Winckowski’s WHIP for the season is 1.48. The last time he pitched was on June 25th out of the bullpen. In that outing, he went six innings and gave up two earned runs, coming away with a no-decision. Looking back at his last three outings, Winckowski has finished with a no-decision in each one. Opposing batters are hitting .270 off the right-hander this season.
Red Sox Offense Breakdown
Over his last nine games, Jarren Duran has been on fire, going 15/41 with three homers and seven RBIs. For the season, he is batting .287 and is 3rd on the team with eight homers. Rafael Devers has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 10/35 in his last nine games with three homers and five RBIs. Devers is 9th in the league with 17 homers and leads the Red Sox with 43 RBIs.
As a team, the Red Sox are 6th in batting average and are averaging 4.6 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 9th in home runs and have the league’s best BABIP at .31.
Padres vs Red Sox Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Padres vs. Red Sox matchup is to take the Red Sox on the money line at -125. We have the Red Sox winning this one by a final score of 6-5. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also take the over, as the line is sitting at 10 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Josh Winckowski is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which is the second-lowest among all starters. As for Matt Waldron, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is right in the middle of the pack.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 30, 2024 Padres, Red Sox