San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins MLB Betting Prediction

MLB San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins Prediction 8/10/2024

The San Diego Padres (65-52) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (43-74) on Saturday, August 10th. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on None. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 3:10 CT.

Padres vs. Marlins Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Padres (-175)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • Padres have won 8 of their last 10 games, indicating strong recent performance.
  • Padres have scored an average of 6.8 runs per game in their last 15 games.
  • Padres have a 6-game winning streak, showcasing their current momentum.
  • Padres have a better away record (35-23) compared to the Marlins’ home record (23-38).
  • Padres won their last head-to-head game against the Marlins with a score of 6-2.

Padres vs Marlins

san diego padres nba

San Diego rallied for four runs in the 10th inning in the most recent game of this series. The Padres scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up four in the top of the 10th, picking up a 6-2 win over the Marlins. Heading into the game, the Padres were favored at -136 on the money line.

Martin Perez only went seven innings for the Padres but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished with six strikeouts but issued two walks. Jason Adam got the win out of the bullpen. Edward Cabrera had a good outing for the Marlins, going seven innings and giving up four hits and no earned runs.

Jackson Merrill was the difference for the Padres, as he went 3/4 with a home run and two RBIs. Manny Machado and Jurickson Profar each drove in two runs for San Diego’s offense.

San Diego has won six straight games, bringing their overall record to 65-52 and placing them 2.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Padres have won six straight series, including six on the road, and their overall series record is 23-13-3. They are 8-2 in their last 10 games.

As underdogs, the Padres are 33-15 vs. the run line, with an average run differential of +3.8 runs per win. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, resulting in a 62-54 over/under record. The over/under record for games with an 8.5 run line is 15-13.

Matt Waldron Gets The Start For The Padres

Right-hander Matt Waldron gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Marlins on the road. He has made 23 starts this year and has a record of 7-9 with a 3.79 ERA. Waldron’s WHIP for the season is 1.15, and opponents are batting .223 off him this year. In his last outing, Waldron picked up the win, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up one earned run on two hits. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Waldron has made 10 quality starts this year and is averaging 8.14 strikeouts per nine innings.

Padres Offense Breakdown

Over the Padres’ last nine games, both Manny Machado and Jackson Merrill have four homers apiece, with Machado hitting .368 and Merrill batting .406. Machado has also driven in 11 runs during this stretch, and Merrill has 10 RBIs. Machado comes into the game with a three-game hitting streak, while Merrill has a five-game streak going.

San Diego’s offense is averaging 4.7 runs per game, and they are the league’s top hitting team with a batting average of .265. They also have the fewest strikeouts in the league and are 1st in home runs. Jurickson Profar has been the Padres’ top power hitter this season, as his 19 homers is the best mark on the team and 15th in the league. He is also 14th in the league with 71 RBIs.

Miami has a 43-74 record this season, and they are currently 5th in the NL East, 26.5 games behind the Phillies. The Marlins have gone 4-6 in their last 10 games and have lost their last two games. In the series vs. the Padres, they are down 0-1.

On the run line, the Marlins have been a better bet on the road, going 28-28, compared to 26-35 at home. In games with an 8.5 run total, the over has hit in 20 out of 38 games, accounting for 16.2% of their total games played this season.

Roddery Muñoz Gets The Start For The Marlins

Roddery Muñoz is looking to bounce back from a rough outing, as he gets the start for the Marlins today vs. the Padres. In his most recent outing, Muñoz took the loss, going just 3 2/3 innings and giving up four earned runs. He finished with two homers allowed in that outing. Looking back over his last four starts, Muñoz has given up at least two homers in three of them. Muñoz’s ERA for the season is 5.68, along with a record of 2-6. Opposing batters have a batting average of .237 vs. Muñoz this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 4.52 walks compared to 7.62 strikeouts.

Marlins Offense Breakdown

miami marlins

Currently, the Marlins are 29th in the league in scoring at 3.6 runs per game. This number is even worse on the road, where they are averaging just 3.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .237, which is 16th in the league, and their team on-base percentage is just .292 (23rd). One of the reasons for their struggles is their team walk rate, as they are 28th in the league in this category.

Jake Burger has been on a tear of late, going 12/40 in his last 10 games with six homers and 10 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .242 with a team-high 20 home runs. Jesús Sánchez is 2nd on the team with 13 homers but is batting just .234 for the season.

Padres vs Marlins Prediction

Our predicted final score for this Padres and Marlins matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Padres. However, with the payout for a Padres win being just -175, we recommend taking the over at 8.5 runs. You can get the over at -120, and we have the Padres and Marlins combining for nine runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Matt Waldron going 5 innings and finishing with five strikeouts. As for Marlins starter Roddery Muñoz, we have him going just three innings and finishing with four strikeouts.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.