The San Diego Padres (66-52) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (43-75) on Sunday, August 11th. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on None. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 12:40 CT.

Padres vs. Marlins Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Padres (-210)
• Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs

• Padres have won 7 of their last 7 games, indicating strong recent form.
• Padres have scored an average of 7.2 runs per game in their last 5 away games.
• Padres have a 9-1 record in their last 10 games, showcasing their current winning momentum.
• Padres have a better away record (36-23) compared to Marlins’ home record (23-39).
• Padres have outscored the Marlins 15-10 in their last two head-to-head games.

Padres vs Marlins

It was a wild game in the most recent game of this Padres vs Marlins series. San Diego went into the matchup as -193 favorites and squeaked out a 9-8 win. Miami had a late rally, scoring six runs in the 5th and another two in the 8th, but John McMillon took the loss. Robert Suarez got the win out of the bullpen for the Padres as Matt Waldron only went 4 1/3 innings.

Offensively, the Padres actually had fewer hits than the Marlins in the game 12 to 11. San Diego also had more strikeouts and left eight more runners on base. Heading into the game, the Padres were averaging just 3.6 runs per game on the road.

One of the key moments in the game came in the 10th inning when the Padres scored the go-ahead run on a wild pitch. Jake Cronenworth then added an insurance run with an RBI single. As for the Marlins, they got two runs back in the bottom of the 10th but fell just short.

San Diego has been on a roll, winning seven straight games and six consecutive series. They are 66-52 overall this season and trail the Dodgers by 2.5 games in the NL West. The Padres have a 36-23 record on the road and are 40-30 as the favorite.

On the run line, the Padres are 62-56 overall and 40-19 on the road. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, resulting in a 63-54 over/under record. In games with a total of 7.5 runs, San Diego’s O/U record is 18-20.

Dylan Cease Gets The Start For The Padres

Dylan Cease is looking to keep his strong season going as he gets the start for the Padres today. He comes into the game with a record of 11-8 and an ERA of 3.40. Cease has made 24 starts this year and has pitched well on the road, coming in with a record of 6-3 and an ERA of 4.6. In his 13 road appearances, Cease has a WHIP of 1.12 compared to 0.88 at home. Cease has a total of 176 strikeouts this year, and he leads the league with 11.51 strikeouts per nine innings. His last outing came on August 6th, where he finished with a no-decision, going just one inning and not giving up a run. Before that, he had won three straight starts.

Padres Offense Breakdown

Over the Padres’ last 10 games, Jackson Merrill has been on fire, going 14/36 with five homers and 12 RBIs. Manny Machado has also been hot, batting .349 with four homers and 12 RBIs in that stretch. Machado’s 18 homers are the 2nd most on the team, and he is batting .271 for the season.

As a team, the Padres are the top hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .265. They are also one of the top home run hitting teams in the league and are averaging 4.8 runs per game. So far, they have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest.

Marlins games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, leading to a 65-50 over/under record. When the total is 7.5 runs, their record is 18-6. Miami is 39-62 as underdogs and 4-13 as favorites this season. The Marlins are 3-7 in their last 10 games and trail the Padres 0-2 in the current series.

Miami is 43-75 overall, sitting in 5th place in the NL East, 26.5 games behind the Phillies. They have a 23-39 home record and are 20-36 on the road. The Marlins’ average run margin is -1.4 runs per game, and they have been outscored by 1.6 runs per game at home.

Max Meyer Gets The Start For The Marlins

Right-hander Max Meyer is starting for the Marlins today and comes into the game with a record of 2-2 and ERA of 5.10. Looking back at his last outing, Meyer took the loss after giving up six earned runs in four innings of work. In that start, he gave up two homers. Meyer has made two straight starts, and in each outing, he has given up at least four earned runs. The Marlins starter has made six appearances this year and has allowed a total of seven homers. Meyer has a WHIP of 1.30 for the season.

Marlins Offense Breakdown

The Marlins offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which is 29th in the MLB. They have been even worse in terms of home runs, as their 107 homers are 22nd in the league. Miami’s team batting average of .237 is 16th in the league, and they have the worst on-base percentage in the league. However, they do have a few hitters on some nice streaks right now, including Josh Bell, Jake Burger, and Bryan De La Cruz.

Jake Burger has been on a tear of late, going 13/40 with six homers over his last 10 games. For the season, he is batting .245 with a team-high 51 RBIs and 21 homers. Jesús Sánchez is also near the top of the Marlins home run leaderboard, with 13 homers this season.

Padres vs Marlins Prediction

Our predicted final score for this Padres and Marlins matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Padres. However, we will be looking to the over/under line, as we are predicting this game to go over with a line of 7.5 runs. This would give you a payout of -115.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Dylan Cease finishing with seven strikeouts compared to Max Meyer, who we have finishing with six. Offensively, the Padres are predicted to finish with nine hits compared to the Marlins with eight.

However, if you are looking for a money line pick, the Padres are predicted to pick up the win. And with a payout of -210, there is still some value in taking the Padres on the money line.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.