San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins MLB Betting Prediction

MLB San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins Prediction 8/9/2024

The San Diego Padres (64-52) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (43-73) on Friday, August 9th. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on BSFL. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Reds. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.

Padres vs. Marlins Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Padres (-140)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • The Padres have won 8 of their last 10 games, showcasing strong recent performance.
  • In their last 5 away games, the Padres have scored an average of 7.4 runs per game.
  • The Padres have a better away record (34-23) compared to the Marlins’ home record (23-37).
  • In the last 15 games, the Padres have scored 6 or more runs in 10 games.
  • The Padres have a current winning streak of 5 games, indicating strong momentum.

Padres vs Marlins

san diego padres nba

The Padres Are Coming Off A Win

Heading into their last game vs. the Pirates, the Padres closed out the series with a 7-6 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -113 on the money line. It was a big 3rd inning that turned things in their favor, as they scored two runs to take the lead and added another two runs in the 2nd.

Randy Vasquez put the Padres on his back, going 5 2/3 innings, and giving up just three runs on six hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

San Diego has won six straight series and is on a five-game winning streak, heading into today’s game against the Marlins. Their overall season record is 64-52, and they are 2nd in the NL West, 2.5 games behind the Dodgers. The Padres have a 19-18 record in divisional matchups this season.

On the run line, the Padres are 61-55 overall and 39-18 on the road. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, resulting in a 62-53 over/under record. When the O/U line has been set at 8.5 runs, the over has hit in 15 of 27 games, accounting for 18.1% of their total games played.

Martín Pérez Gets The Start For The Padres

Martín Pérez gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Marlins on the road. So far this season, he has made 17 starts and has a record of 2-5 with an ERA of 4.96. Opponents are batting .295 off Pérez this season, and his WHIP is 1.57. The left-hander has made six quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. In that outing, he didn’t give up a homer. Before that, he had given up a homer in three straight starts.

Padres Offense Breakdown

San Diego comes into today’s game as the league’s top hitting team, with a batting average of .265. They are also the top home run hitting team in the league and have been very good at limiting strikeouts. Overall, they are averaging 4.7 runs per game, but that number jumps up to 5.0 when they are on the road.

Jurickson Profar and Manny Machado have been the Padres’ top power threats this season, with Profar leading the team with 19 homers and Machado right behind him at 18. Profar’s 71 RBIs are also the best mark on the team, while Machado is 2nd at 64. Machado has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/24 in his last six games.

The Marlins Took The Last Game Of This Series

Miami is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 10-4 loss to the Reds, Derek Hill went 2/5 with two RBIs and a run scored. The Marlins also got two hits from Xavier Edwards and Jhonny Pereda. Kyle Tyler got the start for the Marlins and took the loss. He only lasted 4 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs.

Emmanuel Ramirez out of the bullpen was charged with seven runs in the 10th inning. Miami was the +154 underdog at home going into this game.

This season, the Marlins have gone 54-62 against the run line, and they have a 52-47 record when playing as underdogs. Overall, Miami is 43-73, and they are currently 5th in the NL East, 26.5 games behind the Phillies. The Marlins have a 23-37 home record and a 20-36 road record.

Miami’s over/under record is 64-49 this season, and the over has hit in four straight games. The O/U line for today’s game is 8.5 runs, slightly lower than their average of 8.6 runs per game. Heading into this game, Miami lost their series vs. the Reds, 3-1.

Edward Cabrera Gets The Start For The Marlins

Miami is sending Edward Cabrera to the mound today vs. the Padres, and he will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run. Against the Braves on August 4th, he picked up the win, going five innings and giving up just three hits. Cabrera finished with eight strikeouts in the outing. Looking back over his last four starts, he has finished with a no-decision in each outing. Cabrera has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 2-3, along with a 5.96 ERA. The right-hander’s WHIP for the season is 1.49.

Marlins Offense Breakdown

miami marlins

The Marlins have been one of the worst offensive teams in the league this season, averaging only 3.6 runs per game. They have been even worse on the road, averaging just 3.2 runs per contest. Miami’s team batting average is just .238, and they are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage and slugging. Jake Burger has been one of the few bright spots in the lineup, as he leads the team with 49 RBIs and is hitting .240 with 19 homers.

Over his last 10 games, Burger has gone 12/41 with six homers and 10 RBIs. Xavier Edwards has also been swinging a hot bat, going 15/41 in his last 10 games. Josh Bell is currently on a seven-game hitting streak for the Marlins.

Padres vs Marlins Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Padres vs. Marlins matchup is to take the Padres on the money line at -140. We have the Padres winning this one by a score of 5-4. At -140, there is some solid value in taking the Padres on the money line, given that you could also look to take them on the run line.

Looking at today’s starting pitchers, we have Martín Pérez finishing with a total of five strikeouts. As for Edward Cabrera, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts. Offensively, the Padres are predicted to finish with nine hits, while the Marlins are projected to finish with eight.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.