The San Diego Padres (37-35) travel to face off against the New York Mets (30-37) on Friday, June 14th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on None. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.
Padres vs Mets
Donovan Solano and the Padres’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Athletics, closing out their series with a 5-4 win. Solano went 2/4 with two homers and three RBIs. The Padres really needed those runs, as the Athletics scored three times in the 6th to tie things up. San Diego’s Robert Suarez closed things out in the 9th, and the Padres picked up the win as the -222 favorite at home.
Michael King got the start for the Padres, going five innings and giving up just two runs on four hits. He also issued two walks and struck out 12 Athletics batters. However, King didn ‘t get the win, as the Padres’s bullpen blew the lead. Donovan Solano was the Padres’s big bat, going 2/4 with two homers and three RBIs.
San Diego is on the road today to take on the Mets, and they come in having won three straight games. In the NL West, they are six games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. So far, they are 14-15 against other teams in the NL West.
The Padres are 37-35 overall, and they closed out their series with the Athletics with three straight wins. At home, the Padres are 18-21 this year, and they have gone 19-14 on the road. As the road favorite, the Padres are 8-7 this year, and they are 24-22 as the favorite overall.
When betting on the Padres’ run line, it’s been a good idea to take them on the road, where they’ve been 24-9 against the run line. Their average run margin on the road is 1.3 runs per game, compared to -0.5 at home. They’ve been a better bet as the underdog, going 18-8 against the run line, compared to 19-27 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.8 runs per game, compared to -3.3 in losses.
San Diego is on the road today against the New York Mets, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The Padres have a combined run average of 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 36-35. The average over/under line for their games is also 8 runs, and their record when the line is set at 8 runs is 7-8-1. So far this season, 38.9% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs.
Matt Waldron Gets The Start For The Padres
San Diego is sending right-hander Matt Waldron to the mound today vs. the Mets. He has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 4-5 with a 3.76 ERA. Waldron’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.23. In his 13 appearances, he has turned in four quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Waldron picked up the win vs. the Diamondbacks, going six innings and giving up one earned run on three hits. He has only given up one earned run in each of his last three outings.
Padres Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Padres are the league’s top-hitting team, with a team batting average of .262. They are also one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams and are averaging 4.5 runs per game. The Padres have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5 runs per contest.
Fernando Tatis Jr. has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 16/41 in his last 10 games with three homers and four RBIs. For the season, he is batting .280 with 13 homers and 35 RBIs. Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth are both tied for the team lead with 10 homers, with Profar’s 45 RBIs leading the team and ranking 8th in the MLB.
The Mets’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Marlins, closing out their series with a 3-2 win. After allowing two runs to the Marlins in the top of the first, the Mets responded with three runs of their own. New York went on to close out the 3rd inning with a score of 3-2. The Mets were the heavy favorite at -206 going into the game.
Luis Severino put together a good start for the Mets, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. The Mets’s offense was carried by J.D. Martinez, who went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
The Mets are 30-37 overall and trail the Phillies by 15.5 games in the NL East. New York will be at home today, taking on the Padres, and they are 15-23 at home this season. The Mets have been a bit better on the road, going 15-14.
So far, the Mets have gone 11-10 in divisional games, and they are 4th in the division. New York heads into today’s game having won two straight, and they took the final two games of their series vs. the Marlins. This year, the Mets are 17-17 as the favorite and 13-20 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 9-12-3, and they have won two straight series.
When betting the run line on the New York Mets, it’s best to do so on the road. The Mets have a run line record of 18-11 away from home, compared to just 12-26 at Citi Field. The Mets have an average run margin of -0.4 runs per game on the season, but that number is slightly better on the road at +0.1 runs per game. The Mets have an average run margin of -0.8 runs per game at home, and their run line record as the favorite is just 12-22.
The Mets have played 65 games this season, and 28 of them have had over/under lines set at more than 8 runs. That’s 41.8% of their games. The over/under line for today’s game against the Padres is set at 8 runs, and the Mets are 6-4 in games with that line. Their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game this season, and their overall over/under record is 34-31.
Sean Manaea Gets The Start For The Mets
Sean Manaea gets the start for the Mets today as he faces off against the Padres. So far this season, he has made 12 starts and has a record of 3-3 with an ERA of 4.30. Looking at his overall numbers, Manaea has a WHIP of 1.35 and opponents are batting .242 this season. Manaea has made three quality starts this year and is coming off a rough outing where he gave up six earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Before that, he had given up a homer in three straight starts.
Mets Offense Breakdown
Over his last six games, Starling Marte has been on fire for the Mets, going 10/22 with seven runs scored and five RBIs. For the season, Marte is batting .286 and is 3rd on the team with seven home runs. Pete Alonso, Francisco Lindor, and Brandon Nimmo are all tied for the team lead with 32 RBIs. Alonso and Nimmo have seven homers apiece, while Lindor has 11.
As a team, the Mets are 13th in scoring at 4.4 runs per game. They have been a much better offensive team on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .241 and have the 12th on-base percentage in the league. One area they have struggled in is at home, where they are averaging just 3.6 runs per game.
Padres vs Mets Prediction
Based on the money line, we like the Padres to pick up a win over the Mets. At -113, there is some good value in picking up the Padres to win straight up, as our predicted score is 5-4 in favor of the Padres.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Sean Manaea finishing with four strikeouts compared to Matt Waldron with five. Manaea is projected to go six innings, while Waldron is projected to go five.
If you’re looking for a home run prop bet, the Mets are projected to hit more home runs than the Padres, but the Padres have a better chance of picking up the win.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 14, 2024 Mets, Padres