The San Diego Padres (37-36) travel to face off against the New York Mets (31-37) on Saturday, June 15th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on None. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Padres are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 3:10 CT.
Padres vs Mets
New York picked up a 2-1 win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a two-run 3rd inning, and the Padres scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -115 on the money line.
Sean Manaea started for the Mets and picked up the win, going five innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued a season-high five walks. As for the Padres, Matt Waldron got the start and took the loss, giving up two earned runs in seven innings of work.
Brandon Nimmo went 2/3 with a run scored for the Mets, while J.D. Martinez also had an RBI single. Jackson Merrill hit the game’s only home run while going 1/3. Jurickson Profar and Luis Arraez each had two hits for San Diego.
San Diego is 37-36 overall and trails the Dodgers by seven games in the NL West. So far, they are 14-15 in divisional games. The Padres are on the road today, and they are 19-15 on the road compared to 18-21 at home.
As the road underdog, the Padres have gone 11-8 this year, and they have dropped five straight on the road overall. San Diego is 24-22 as the favorite and 13-14 when favored. Their overall series record is 13-8-3.
When the Padres are on the road, they have a run line record of 25-9, which includes a 4-0 run line win streak as the underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.8 runs per game, compared to -3.2 runs per game in losses.
The San Diego Padres are on the road today against the New York Mets. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Padres have an over/under record of 36-36 on the season, and their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Padres have an even 8-8 record. So far this season, 61.6% of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s 8.5-run line.
Adam Mazur Gets The Start For The Padres
Adam Mazur and the Padres are on the road to take on the Mets. Mazur has made 2 starts this season and is still looking for his first win. His last start was a loss against the Diamondbacks, where he went 3 innings and gave up 8 runs on 8 hits. In his first start, he went 6 innings and only gave up 1 run.
Padres Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Padres are the league’s top hitting team, with a team batting average of .261. They also come into the game as the league’s 7th best scoring offense, averaging 4.5 runs per game. The Padres have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. San Diego’s top two home run hitters are Jurickson Profar and Fernando Tatis Jr., who have 13 and 10 homers, respectively.
Over his last seven games, Fernando Tatis Jr. has three home runs, but is batting just .214 in that stretch. Overall, he is hitting .276 for the season. Luis Arraez is batting .329 for the season and is currently on a three-game hitting streak. Jake Cronenworth and Jurickson Profar are also near the top of the Padres’ home run leaderboard, with 10 homers apiece.
The Mets are 31-37 overall and trail the Phillies by 15.5 games in the NL East. New York has won three straight games, and they are 7-3 over their last 10. In divisional matchups, the Mets are 11-10 this season.
At home, the Mets are 16-23 this season compared to 15-14 on the road. As the home favorite, the Mets are 13-13 this year and 18-17 as the favorite overall. New York has won two straight series and has an overall series record of 9-12-3 this year.
When betting the Mets on the run line, you should consider them as the underdog. They are 18-15 against the run line as the underdog compared to 12-23 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.8, while it’s -3.1 in losing games. They are 30-38 against the run line overall, with an average run margin of -0.4 runs per game.
When the New York Mets play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season. Their over/under record on the year is 34-32, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over the total 8 times and under 6 times. Overall, 20.6% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher, and their current under streak is at 2 games.
Jose Quintana Gets The Start For The Mets
Jose Quintana gets the start for the Mets today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Phillies. In that start, he went 3 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs, six hits, and two homers. He finished with a no-decision in the outing. Looking back further, Quintana has made 13 starts and has a record of 1-5 with a 5.29 ERA. Opponents are batting .273 off Quintana this season. The left-hander has allowed at least one homer in three of his last four outings.
Mets Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Mets are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 14th in the majors. However, they have been better on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. New York is 11th in home runs this season and have the league’s 3rd ranked home run hitter in Pete Alonso, who also leads the team with 32 RBIs.
Starling Marte has been swinging a hot bat for the Mets, going 7/17 in his last five games with one home run. Overall, he is batting .286 for the season. Francisco Lindor, who leads the team with 32 RBIs, has gone just 4/24 in his last six games, and is batting just .229 for the season. J.D. Martinez comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak and has eight RBIs in his last six games.
Padres vs Mets Prediction
Our predicted score for this Padres and Mets matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Padres. With the Padres having a +100 money line, we see this as a great opportunity to take advantage of the higher payout.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Adam Mazur finishing with five strikeouts compared to Jose Quintana with five as well. However, Quintana is projected to go 1.2 fewer innings than Mazur.
If you’re looking for a home run prediction, the Mets are projected to hit more home runs than the Padres, with the Mets finishing with seven compared to the Padres with just six.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 15, 2024 Mets, Padres