The San Diego Padres (37-37) travel to face off against the New York Mets (32-37) on Sunday, June 16th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on WPIX. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Padres are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 12:40 CT.
Padres vs Mets
New York cruised to a 5-1 win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 4th inning, scoring all five of their runs. As for the Padres, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -133 on the money line.
J.D. Martinez was the difference for the Mets, as he homered twice, scored three times, and finished with three RBIs. Brandon Nimmo also had a two-hit game and drove in two runs. For the Padres, Jackson Merrill hit a home run and drove in their only run.
Jose Quintana pitched well for the Mets in this one, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished with six strikeouts but issued two walks. As for the Padres, Adam Mazur got the start and took the loss, giving up two earned runs in just 3 2/3 innings of work.
With a record of 37-37, the Padres are seven games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. The Padres have dropped two straight games, and they are losing the series vs. the Mets 0-2. So far, they have gone 14-15 in divisional games.
At home, the Padres are 18-21 this year and 19-16 on the road. San Diego has won three straight games as the favorite, and their overall record as the favorite is 24-22. As the underdog, the Padres are 13-15 this season and have dropped six straight on the road.
San Diego is on the road against the Mets, and they have a run line record of 38-36 this season. They have a run line record of 25-10 on the road, but have failed to cover the run line in their last game. They have a run line record of 19-9 as an underdog this season.
The San Diego Padres have had a high-scoring season, with a combined run average of 8.6 runs per game. Their over/under record is 36-37, and when the line is set at 7 runs, they have gone over in five of six games. Overall, 91.9% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7 runs, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. Their last two games have gone under the total.
Dylan Cease Gets The Start For The Padres
Dylan Cease is looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Athletics and picked up the win. In that June 10th outing, Cease went six innings and gave up just one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Cease has made 14 starts, and opponents are batting .198 this season. Cease’s ERA is 3.36, and his record for the season is 6-5. So far, Cease has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 10.95 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, Cease has a total of 101 strikeouts. Out of his nine home runs allowed, one came in his last outing.
Padres Offense Breakdown
San Diego comes into the game as the top-hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .259. They are also one of the top home run hitting teams in the league and are averaging 4.4 runs per game. The Padres have been even better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per contest.
Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth are tied for 2nd on the team with 10 homers apiece, and they are also tied for the team lead in RBIs at 45. Fernando Tatis Jr. has also been a big power threat for the Padres, as his 13 homers are the best on the team and 9th in the league. Over his last six games, Jackson Merrill is hitting .364 with four homers.
The Mets are on a four-game winning streak, and they are 32-37 overall this season. In the NL East, they trail the Phillies by 14.5 games. So far, they are 11-10 in divisional matchups. New York has won four straight at home, and they are 17-23 at home this season.
New York has been playing well lately, as they are 8-2 across their last 10 games. This season, the Mets are 19-17 as the favorite and 13-20 as the underdog. They have an overall series record of 9-12-3 and have won two straight series overall and two straight series on the road.
When betting the run line on the Mets this season, it’s been more profitable to take them on the road, where they are 18-11. They’ve been a better bet overall when they are the underdog, as they are 18-15 against the run line in those games. They have a negative run differential overall, but they’ve been a good bet to cover the run line in their wins, as their average run differential in those games is +2.8 runs.
When the New York Mets play at home, the over/under line is typically set higher than seven runs, as 85.5% of their games have had higher lines than that. The Mets have gone over the total in 34 of their 67 games this season, but they have gone under in their last three games.
Tylor Megill Gets The Start For The Mets
Tylor Megill is getting the start for the Mets at home against the Padres. He has started 3 games so far this season, and he has a 1-1 record. In his most recent start, he took the loss vs. the Marlins, going 4 2/3 innings and giving up 3 earned runs. He also has a win and a no-decision on the year.
Mets Offense Breakdown
Overall, the Mets are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. However, they have been much better on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .241, and their team on-base percentage of .313 is 10th in the league. So far, they are 10th in home runs and have the league’s 7th fewest strikeouts.
Brandon Nimmo is leading the Mets in RBIs this season, but he is hitting just .224. Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor are also near the top of the team’s RBI list, with Alonso leading the team with 14 homers. Starling Marte has been a solid addition to the lineup, batting .286 with seven homers. J.D. Martinez has been hot of late, going 9/30 in his last eight games with three homers.
Padres vs Mets Prediction
Our prediction for this Padres vs. Mets matchup is that the Padres will pick up a 5-4 road win. With the Padres starting Dylan Cease, we see him finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the second-best among all starters.
For the Mets, their starter, Tylor Megill, is projected to finish with four strikeouts. However, we have the Mets finishing with the second-worst team in the league, and we would recommend taking the Padres on the money line at -124.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 16, 2024 Mets, Padres