San Diego Padres vs Texas Rangers MLB Betting Prediction

MLB San Diego Padres vs Texas Rangers Prediction 7/2/2024

The San Diego Padres (46-42) travel to face off against the Texas Rangers (38-46) on Tuesday, July 2nd. This game will be played at Globe Life Field in Arlington and televised on None. The Rangers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Padres are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Red Sox. First pitch is set for 7:05 CT.

Padres vs. Rangers Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Padres (-103)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
  • Padres have scored 5 or more runs in 10 of their last 15 games, showing strong offensive performance.
  • Padres have won 10 of their last 15 games, indicating a positive trend in recent performance.
  • Padres have a higher league rank (5th) compared to the Rangers (10th), suggesting overall better performance this season.
  • Padres have an 8-2 record in their last 10 games, demonstrating strong recent form.
  • Padres have scored 9 or more runs in 6 of their last 15 games, highlighting their ability to produce high-scoring games.

Padres vs Rangers

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The Rangers Took The Last Game Of This Series

The Padres will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Red Sox with a 4-1 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 7th inning before the Red Sox scored three runs in the bottom of the 7th. San Diego was the -106 favorite on the money line going into the game.

Matt Waldron got the start for the Padres and took the loss. He only lasted 4 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs on six hits. The Padres also wasted a big game from Jackson Merrill, who went 3/4 with a run scored.

San Diego has a 46-42 overall record and is 2nd in the NL West, 7.5 games behind the Dodgers. They have won three straight series and are coming off a series win against the Red Sox. As the favorite, the Padres are 28-24, and they have a 24-22 record at home and 22-20 on the road.

On the run line, the Padres have been much more successful on the road, with a 29-13 record, compared to 17-29 at home. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs this season, and their over/under record is 47-40. When the total line is 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 15-13, and the average total line in their games has been 8 runs.

Dylan Cease Gets The Start For The Padres

Dylan Cease gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Rangers on the road. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 7-6 with a 3.84 ERA. Cease’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.06. In his last outing, Cease picked up the win, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He finished with nine strikeouts in that outing. Cease has made nine starts on the road, and his record is 4-2 with a 5.01 ERA. So far, he has allowed 11 home runs on the road compared to just nine at home.

Padres Offense Breakdown

San Diego’s offense has been one of the league’s best this season, as they come into the game with the 2nd best batting average in the league and are also among the league leaders in home runs. Overall, they are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. The Padres have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest.

Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth are both in the top 15 in the league in home runs, and Profar’s 55 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 8th best in the league. Manny Machado and Kyle Higashioka have been swinging the bat well of late, with Machado coming into the game on a seven-game hitting streak and having gone 10/28 in his last seven games.

The Rangers Are Coming Off A Win

The Rangers’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Orioles, closing out their series with an 11-2 win. After scoring two runs in the 2nd inning, the Rangers added another three runs in the 4th to take a 5-1 lead. Texas really broke things open with a three-run 8th inning, and they closed things out with another three runs in the 9th.

Starting for the Rangers was Andrew Heaney, who picked up the win while tossing seven innings of two-run ball. Heaney gave up just five hits and issued only one walk. He also finished with 10 K’s and got the win.

At home, the Rangers have a 20-19 record, and their run line record is 19-20. As underdogs, they are 22-19 against the run line. Texas has an overall series record of 11-15-1 and they are currently on a four-game winning streak at home.

For the season, the Rangers are 23-20 as favorites and 15-26 as underdogs. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs, resulting in a 33-48 over/under record. Texas is 38-46 overall and sits 3rd in the AL West, eight games behind the Mariners.

Nathan Eovaldi Gets The Start For The Rangers

Texas is sending Nathan Eovaldi to the mound today vs. the Padres. He has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 4-3 with a 3.45 ERA. Eovaldi’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.16, and opponents are batting .216 off the right-hander this year. Eovaldi’s last outing came on June 26th vs. the Brewers, where he finished with a no-decision. In that start, he gave up five earned runs in seven innings of work. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts. Eovaldi has been much better at home, coming in with a 2.41 ERA compared to 6.2 on the road.

Rangers Offense Breakdown

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Adolis Garcia and Corey Seager have been the Rangers’ most consistent power threats this season, as Garcia’s 16 homers lead the team and is 10th in the league, while Seager is 11th in the MLB with 15 homers. Garcia is batting just .221 this season, while Seager has a batting average of .260. Marcus Semien has also been a solid power threat, as he is 3rd on the team with 11 homers but is batting just .235.

Recently, Adolis Garcia has been swinging a hot bat, going 9/31 over his last eight games with three homers and eight runs scored. Derek Hill has also been swinging the bat well, going 5/14 with three homers over his last four games. Nathaniel Lowe has also been hitting the ball well of late, hitting .312 with two homers over his last eight games.

Padres vs Rangers Prediction

With the Padres listed at -103 on the money line, this is the way we recommend playing this one. We have the Padres winning this one by a score of 6-4. If you’re looking for a parlay, we would recommend pairing the Padres with another game, as there isn’t a ton of value on the over/under line, which is sitting at 7.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Dylan Cease finishing with eight strikeouts compared to Nathan Eovaldi with five. However, Eovaldi is projected to have a better ERA, and if you’re looking for a player prop, you could look at Cease’s strikeout total.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.