The San Diego Padres (46-43) travel to face off against the Texas Rangers (39-46) on Wednesday, July 3rd. This game will be played at Globe Life Field in Arlington and televised on MLBN. The Rangers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Padres are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Rangers. First pitch is set for 7:05 CT.
Padres vs. Rangers Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Rangers (-143)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
- Rangers have won 4 out of their last 5 home games.
- Rangers have scored an average of 5.6 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
- Rangers have a 2-game winning streak at home.
- Rangers defeated the Padres 7-0 in their most recent head-to-head game.
- Rangers have a better home record (21-19) compared to the Padres’ away record (22-21).
Padres vs Rangers
Thanks to a two-home run performance from Nathaniel Lowe, the Rangers cruised to a 7-0 win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Rangers were at +100 on the money line.
Lowe wasn’t the only Rangers hitter to have a good game, as Leody Taveras went 2/3 with two doubles and two RBIs. Overall, the Rangers had just two more hits than the Padres in the game and struck out eight times.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Nathan Eovaldi for the Rangers and Dylan Cease for the Padres. Eovaldi went seven innings and didn’t give up a run, while Cease was tagged for two homers and six runs in just 3 2/3 innings of work.
San Diego is 46-43 overall and 2nd in the NL West, 8.5 games behind the Dodgers. The Padres have won three straight series and have an overall series record of 16-10-3. Their run line record on the road is 29-14, with an average run margin of 0.8.
This season, the Padres’ over/under record is 47-41, and their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their O/U record is 1-3. The under has hit in their last two games, and in 83.1% of their games, the total has been set below 9 runs.
Adam Mazur Gets The Start For The Padres
Adam Mazur and the Padres are on the road to take on the Rangers. Mazur has started 4 games this season, and he is coming off a win in his last outing, which came at home against the Nationals. In that game, he went 5 innings and gave up 4 runs on 6 hits. He has yet to have a start where he hasn’t given up a home run, as he has allowed 1 in each of his first 3 outings.
Padres Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Padres are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. They have been a good offensive team at home and on the road, and are one of the league’s top home run-hitting clubs. Overall, they are batting .261, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. San Diego has also been very good at avoiding strikeouts, as they have the 2nd fewest strikeouts in the league.
Jurickson Profar is leading the Padres in RBIs, and his 11 homers is the 3rd best mark in the league. He is also batting .311 for the season. Jake Cronenworth and Jackson Merrill are both batting in the low .200s for the season, but have 12 homers apiece. Merrill has been hot of late, going 8/21 with two homers over his last five games.
At home, the Rangers have a run line record of 20-20 and have covered the run line in six straight games at Globe Life Field. Their overall run line record is 40-45, and they are 23-19 as underdogs vs. the run line. The average run margin in their wins is 4.2, and in losses, it’s -3.6.
Currently, the Rangers are 39-46 and are in 3rd place in the AL West, seven games behind the Mariners. They have won two straight games and are looking to bounce back after dropping two consecutive series.
Jon Gray Gets The Start For The Rangers
Texas is sending Jon Gray to the mound today vs. the Padres, and he will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Orioles. In that start, he gave up 8 earned runs in 5 innings of work, taking the loss. Before that outing, Gray had pitched well, picking up the win vs. the Royals with 6 scoreless innings of work. He has made 14 starts this year and has a record of 3-4 with a 3.77 ERA. Opponents are batting .256 off Gray this season. Looking at his home/road splits, Gray is 3-2 at home with a 4.90 ERA compared to 0-2 with a 3.80 ERA on the road.
Rangers Offense Breakdown
For the season, the Rangers are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. Their batting average of .239 and slugging percentage of .380 are both below average, but they do come into the game as one of the league’s best teams at not striking out. Texas has been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.4 runs per game.
Adolis García and Corey Seager are the team’s top home run hitters this season, with 16 and 15 home runs, respectively. Seager is also batting .260 for the season, and Garcia comes into the game with a batting average of just .221. Marcus Semien leads the team with 45 RBIs but is batting just .234 for the season.
Padres vs Rangers Prediction
Getting the Rangers at -143 on the money line is a great payout, and we have them winning this one by a score of 6-5. Offensively, the Rangers are projected to finish with eight hits compared to the Padres, who are projected to finish with nine.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Jon Gray has the fourth-best chances of picking up a win and is projected to go six innings, finishing with five strikeouts. As for Adam Mazur, he is projected to finish with six K’s and has the Padres finishing with a combined seven.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 3, 2024 Padres, Rangers