San Diego Padres vs Texas Rangers MLB Betting Prediction

MLB San Diego Padres vs Texas Rangers Prediction 7/4/2024

The San Diego Padres (47-43) travel to face off against the Texas Rangers (39-47) on Thursday, July 4th. This game will be played at Globe Life Field in Arlington and televised on None. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rangers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 1:35 CT.

Padres vs. Rangers Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Padres (+117)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
  • The Padres have won 10 of their last 15 games.
  • In the last 15 games, the Padres have scored an average of 6.2 runs per game.
  • The Padres have a 7-3 record in their last 10 games.
  • The Padres have won 4 of their last 5 road games.
  • The Padres have outscored their opponents by 25 runs in the last 15 games.

Padres vs Rangers

san diego padres nba

San Diego picked up a 6-4 road win over the Rangers in the most recent game of this series. The Padres offense got off to a fast start, scoring two runs in the first and adding three more in the 3rd. On the other side, the Rangers got on the board with one run in the 4th and added their final three runs in the 5th.

Manny Machado and David Peralta each homered for the Padres, while Jackson Merrill scored three times and drove in a run while going 2/5. Jurickson Profar also had a two-hit game and drove in a run.

Adam Mazur only went four innings for the Padres but gave up just four hits and four earned runs. Adrian Morejon got the win out of the bullpen, and Robert Suarez got the save. Dane Dunning had a rough outing for the Rangers, taking the loss.

San Diego has a 47-43 overall record and trails the Dodgers by 7.5 games in the NL West. They are 2nd in the division and have gone 14-15 in divisional games so far. The Padres have won three straight series and have a 16-10-3 series record this season.

On the run line, the Padres are 30-14 on the road and 26-11 as underdogs. Their overall run line record is 47-43, and their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game with a 48-41 over/under record. Today’s O/U line is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than usual, as 60.0% of their games have had O/U lines higher than 7.5 runs.

Michael King Gets The Start For The Padres

Right-hander Michael King gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Rangers on the road. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 6-5 with a 3.61 ERA. King’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.27, and opponents are batting .229 off him this year. In his last outing, King picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. King has made seven quality starts this year and is averaging 10.38 strikeouts per nine innings.

Padres Offense Breakdown

San Diego has one of the league’s most potent offenses, as they are 2nd in batting average and have the 8th most home runs in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.6 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. The Padres have been swinging the bats well of late, as Jackson Merrill has gone 9/22 in his last five games, including two homers, and Luis Arraez is hitting .310 for the season.

Jurickson Profar and Fernando Tatis Jr. have been the Padres’ top power threats so far this season, with Profar hitting 11 homers and Tatis Jr. hitting 14. Profar’s 55 RBIs are the best mark on the team, and Tatis Jr. is 6th in the league in RBIs. Jake Cronenworth also has 12 homers this season and is 2nd on the team with 53 RBIs.

As the home favorite, the Rangers have a 17-14 record straight up, but they are just 20-21 against the run line at home. Overall, their run line record is 40-46, and they have gone 23-21 straight up when favored. Texas is 39-47 overall and has lost two straight games, entering today’s matchup with the Padres.

When the Rangers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.2 runs per game, but their average run margin in losses is -3.6 runs. This season, their games have averaged 8.6 runs, resulting in a 34-49 over/under record. The over has hit in 84.9% of their games with higher totals than today’s line of 7.5 runs.

Max Scherzer Gets The Start For The Rangers

Max Scherzer and the Rangers are at home for his start against the Padres. Scherzer is coming off a win in his last start, where he went 5 innings, striking out 4 and only allowing 1 hit. He did take a loss in his first start of the season, giving up 2 earned runs in 5 1/3 innings against the Orioles.

Rangers Offense Breakdown

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Adolis Garcia and Corey Seager have been the Rangers’ top power threats this season, with Garcia’s 16 homers leading the team and Seager’s 15 long balls ranking 2nd on the team. Garcia is 2nd on the team with 44 RBIs, while Seager is 3rd with 38. Seager comes into the game on an eight-game hitting streak and has gone deep three times in his last five games.

Over his last five games, Nathaniel Lowe has gone 9/20 with three homers and eight RBIs. This has helped him move into the team’s 2nd spot in RBIs (41) and put his season-long batting average at .258. Marcus Semien is just batting .231 for the season but does have 11 homers, which is 3rd on the team.

Padres vs Rangers Prediction

Our pick for this Padres vs. Rangers matchup is to take the Padres on the money line, with the payout being +117. We have the final score at 5-4 in favor of the Padres, and with the payout, we feel this is the best way to play this one.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Michael King finishing with five strikeouts compared to Max Scherzer with six. Scherzer is projected to go for six innings, while King is projected for five.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.