Seattle Mariners vs Miami Marlins MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Seattle Mariners vs Miami Marlins Prediction 6/22/2024

The Seattle Mariners (44-34) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (26-49) on Saturday, June 22nd. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on RSNW. The Marlins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mariners are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Marlins. First pitch is set for 3:10  CT.

Mariners vs Marlins

seattle mariners nba

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Marlins vs Mariners series. Miami went into the matchup as +144 underdogs and squeaked out a 3-2 win. The Marlins had a two-run 6th inning, and the Mariners could only muster one run in the 10th inning. Heading into the game, the Marlins had Trevor Rogers on the mound, and he went 6 1/3 innings while giving up just two runs and striking out five.

Seattle wasted a good outing from George Kirby, who gave up just two earned runs across seven innings of work. Kirby finished the game with five strikeouts and didn’t issue a walk. Austin Voth got the loss out of the bullpen for the Mariners.

Miami’s two homers came from Bryan De La Cruz and Josh Bell. De La Cruz, Tim Anderson, and Ryan Bliss each had two RBIs for the Marlins’ offense.

Seattle currently leads the AL West with a record of 44-34, which includes an AL-best 17-5 mark in divisional games. The Mariners hold a seven-game lead over the Astros in the division. However, the Mariners are coming into today’s game having lost three straight games, and they dropped the first game of this series vs. the Marlins.

At home, the Mariners have been strong this year, going 27-12, but they are just one game over .500 at 17-22 on the road. As the favorite, the Mariners are 28-19 this year and 16-15 as the underdog. Seattle’s overall series record is 13-9-2, and they are 6-4 in their last 10 games overall.

Seattle is 16-23 against the run line on the road this season, and they’ve failed to cover in three straight road games. The Mariners are just 20-27 against the run line as the favorite, but they are 17-14 against the run line as the underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.9, but that drops to -3.5 in losing games.

The Mariners are on the road today against the Marlins, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. Seattle’s games have averaged 7.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 31-44. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 7-15. So far this season, 43.6% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.

Logan Gilbert Gets The Start For The Mariners

Seattle is sending right-hander Logan Gilbert to the mound today vs. the Marlins. Gilbert has made 15 starts this year and has a record of 4-4 with a 2.93 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .194 this year, and Gilbert has turned in 12 quality starts. In his most recent outing, Gilbert was fantastic, going eight innings and not giving up a run. He finished with nine strikeouts in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. Gilbert has a 2.8 ERA at home compared to 4.1 on the road.

Mariners Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Mariners are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 26th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.8 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .219, which is the worst mark in the league, and are also last in the league in strikeouts. However, they do come into the game with the 7th most home runs in the league.

Cal Raleigh has been the Mariners’ top power threat this season, as he has gone deep 12 times, which is 1st on the team and 12th in the league. However, he is batting just .198. Julio Rodríguez has been a bright spot for the team, as he is hitting .264 with seven homers. He is also on a three-game hitting streak. Dylan Moore, who is 2nd on the team with eight homers, has gone just 3/19 in his last six games.

Miami is 26-49 overall, putting them 5th in the NL East, and they trail the Phillies by 23 games in the division. The Marlins are just 5-17 in divisional games this year. They have won three straight games, and their most recent win came in the first game of this series vs. the Mariners.

At home, the Marlins are 15-26 this year and 11-23 on the road. So far, they are 3-12 when favored and 23-37 as the underdog. Miami’s overall series record is 6-17-1, and they are 4-6 over their last 10 games.

When betting the run line, the Miami Marlins have been a better bet as the underdog this season, going 31-29. They have been a particularly strong bet on the run line at home, where they are 15-26. The Marlins are currently on a four-game run line win streak at home, and they have been the underdog in each of those games.

The Miami Marlins are playing at home against the Seattle Mariners today. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Marlins have had a combined run average of 8.6 runs per game this season. Their over/under record for the season is 39-35, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, their record is 11-6. Overall, 69.3% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs. Their current under streak is at 2 games.

Shaun Anderson Gets The Start For The Marlins

Shaun Anderson will be making his first start of the season for the Marlins after starting the year in the bullpen. His first outing was a 2-inning loss to the Nationals, and he also came out of the pen against the Twins and Angels. In his last outing, he went 3 innings and gave up 2 earned runs on 5 hits.

Marlins Offense Breakdown

miami marlins

So far this season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3 runs per contest. Miami’s offense has been the worst in the league in terms of home runs and have the worst isolated power (ISO) in the league at just .119. However, they do come into the game with three of their key hitters on five-game hitting streaks.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Bryan De La Cruz have been the Marlins’ top power threats so far this season, with Chisholm Jr. leading the team with 36 RBIs and De La Cruz’s 14 homers being the best mark on the team and 10th in the league. De La Cruz is also batting .252 for the season and has three homers over his last nine games, while going 10/37 (.270) in that stretch. Tim Anderson has also been hot of late, going 15/38 in his last nine games.

Mariners vs Marlins Prediction

Getting the Marlins at +143 on the money line is a great value, and we have them winning this one by a score of 5-4. With the payout, you could also look to get them on the run line, as the Marlins are +155 on the -1.5 line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Logan Gilbert going four innings and finishing with six strikeouts. As for Shaun Anderson, he is projected to go five innings and finish with four strikeouts.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.