The Seattle Mariners (45-36) travel to face off against the Tampa Bay Rays (39-40) on Tuesday, June 25th. This game will be played at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg and televised on BSSUN. The Rays are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mariners are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Rays. First pitch is set for 5:50 CT.
Mariners vs Rays
Tampa Bay picked up a 4-3 win over the Mariners in the most recent game of this series. The Rays had a late rally, scoring three runs in the 8th and picking up the win in the 9th. Heading into the game, they were favored at -113 on the money line.
Seattle wasted a good outing from Bryan Woo, as he gave up just one run in three innings of work for the Mariners. Austin Voth took the loss. Phil Maton got the win out of the bullpen for the Rays as Taj Bradley went five and gave up one earned run.
Offensively, the Rays were led by Yandy Diaz and Jose Siri, as they were the only two Rays hitters to have more than one hit. Diaz. Seattle’s top hitter was Mitch Garver, who went 1/4 with a home run.
Seattle heads into today’s road matchup vs. the Rays with an overall record of 45-36, which has them leading the AL West by 5.5 games over the Astros. The Mariners have dropped two straight games, and this comes after winning four in a row. So far, they have been really good against other teams in the AL West, putting together a record of 17-5.
At home, the Mariners have gone 27-12, and they are just above .500 at 18-24 on the road. This season, the Mariners are 29-20 as the favorite and an even 16-16 as the underdog. Seattle’s overall series record is 13-10-2, but they have dropped two straight series.
Seattle is 39-42 against the run line this season, including 18-24 on the road. The Mariners have been a better bet at home, going 21-18 against the run line. Seattle’s average run margin is +0.2 runs per game, but they have been outscored by 0.5 runs per game on the road. The Mariners have a run line record of 21-28 when favored and 18-14 when the underdog.
The Mariners have an over/under record of 33-44 this season, and their games have averaged 7.6 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 9-15. Overall, 42% of their games have had over/under lines set at 7.5 runs, with the average line for their games being set at 8 runs.
Luis Castillo Gets The Start For The Mariners
Luis Castillo gets the start for the Mariners today as he faces the Rays on the road. So far this season, he has made 16 starts and has a record of 6-8. Castillo’s ERA is 3.62, and his WHIP for the season is 1.19. In his 16 appearances, he has turned in 10 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Castillo took the loss, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One positive note is that he has a shutout outing mixed in over his last four starts.
Mariners Offense Breakdown
Cal Raleigh comes into the game as the Mariners’ top power threat, as his 13 home runs are 12th in the league and leads the team. However, he is batting just .201 for the season and has gone 2/12 in his last five games. Julio Rodriguez and Luke Raley are also near the top of the team’s home run leaderboard, with Rodriguez batting .257 and Raley at .258. Raley has nine homers, and Rodriguez has gone deep seven times.
Seattle’s offense has been one of the league’s worst so far, averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 26th in the MLB. They are also near the bottom of the league in batting average and on-base percentage. Overall, the Mariners have the league’s worst strikeout rate and have been one of the worst home hitting teams in the league.
The Rays are 39-40 overall and trail the Yankees by 12.5 games in the AL East. Currently, they are 4th in the division and have gone just 10-17 in AL East matchups. Tampa Bay has won two straight games, and they are 6-4 over their last 10 games overall.
At home, the Rays are 20-23 this season and have gone 19-17 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 43 of their games, and they are 23-20 in those matchups. As for their games as the underdog, the Rays are 16-20 this season. Tampa Bay has won two straight series, and their overall series record is 12-11-2 this year.
When the Rays win, they win big. Tampa Bay’s average run differential in wins is +2.3, while their average run differential in losses is -3.8. This is reflected in their run line record, which is 35-44 overall, but 22-14 on the road. They are just 13-30 against the run line at home, but have covered in six straight games as the underdog.
When the Tampa Bay Rays are at home this season, the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs in 67.1% of their games. The combined run average in their games is 8.7 runs, and their over/under record is 40-36. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 13-9. The Rays have had just four games with lines lower than 7.5 runs, and their games have gone over the line in 53 of their 79 games.
Zack Littell Gets The Start For The Rays
Tampa Bay is sending Zack Littell to the mound today vs. the Mariners, and he will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Braves, where he gave up six earned runs in just two innings of work. In his most recent outing, Littell went five innings, giving up two earned runs, and he finished with a no-decision in the game vs. the Twins. Littell has a record of 2-5 this season and an ERA of 4.21. Opposing batters are hitting .289 off Littell this season. Out of his 15 appearances, he has turned in six quality starts.
Rays Offense Breakdown
Yandy Diaz and Isaac Paredes have been the Rays’ top power threats this season, with Paredes leading the team with 11 homers and Diaz coming in with six homers and a batting average of .273. Paredes also leads the team with 39 RBIs, and Diaz is 2nd with 38. Diaz is also on a 17-game hitting streak and has gone 15/41 in his last nine games.
As a team, the Rays are batting just .236 and are near the bottom of the league in scoring, at 4 runs per game. They are also one of the league’s worst home run-hitting teams and have a collective OPS of just .674. However, they have been swinging the bats better of late, with Yandy Diaz and Josh Lowe both hitting over .300 in their last nine games.
Mariners vs Rays Prediction
With the Rays currently sitting at +108 on the money line, that is the direction we would recommend going for this Mariners vs. Rays matchup. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Rays, giving us some nice value with them on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Zack Littell is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which has him coming in 19th among all starters. As for Luis Castillo, he is projected to finish with seven K’s, which has him coming in third. However, we have Castillo finishing with a loss and Littell and the Rays picking up the win.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 28, 2024 Mariners, Rays