Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction 7/22/2024

The Tampa Bay Rays (50-49) travel to face off against the New York Yankees (59-42) on Monday, July 22nd. This game will be played at Yankee Stadium in New York and televised on BSSUN. The Rays are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Yankees are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Rays. First pitch is set for 12:05 CT.

Rays vs. Yankees Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Yankees (-168)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • Yankees have a higher overall win percentage (.584) compared to the Rays (.505).
  • Yankees have won 4 out of their last 6 home games.
  • Yankees scored an average of 5.5 runs per game in their last 6 home games.
  • Yankees have a 3-2 record against the Rays in their last 5 head-to-head matchups.
  • Yankees have a better home record (26-21) compared to the Rays’ away record (23-22).

Rays vs Yankees

tampa bay rays nba

Tampa Bay rallied for two runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this series, picking up a 6-4 win over the Yankees. The Rays scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up two in the top of the 7th. As for the Yankees, they scored one run in the 4th inning and added three more in the 5th.

Shane Baz started for the Rays, going just 3 1/3 innings while giving up four hits and striking out five. Garrett Cleavinger got the win out of the bullpen, and Pete Fairbanks got the save. Marcus Stroman had a rough outing for the Yankees, taking the loss after going 5 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs.

Jose Caballero and Jose Siri each homered for the Rays, while Aaron Judge went deep for the Yankees. Caballero, Siri, Randy Arozarena, and Richie Palacios each had two RBIs for Tampa Bay’s offense.

As the underdog, the Rays have a 22-24 record and they are 28-25 as the favorite. They have covered the run line in 27 of 46 games when playing on the road. Tampa Bay is 47-52 overall and they have won two straight games coming into today’s matchup.

For the season, the over/under record in Rays games is 47-47. When the total line is 8.5, their O/U record is 14-14. The over has hit in two straight games for Tampa Bay, and their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game this year.

Zack Littell Gets The Start For The Rays

Zack Littell gets the start for the Rays today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 3-6 with an ERA of 4.26. Littell’s WHIP for the season is 1.37, and opponents are batting .288 off the right-hander this year. In his 19 appearances, Littell has turned in seven quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, he finished with a no-decision against the Guardians, giving up one earned run in six innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings.

Rays Offense Breakdown

Over his last nine games, Randy Arozarena has been swinging a hot bat for the Rays, going 11/35 (.314) with four homers and six RBIs. Arozarena’s 15 homers this season is 2nd on the team and 12th in the league. Isaac Paredes has been the team’s top power threat, as his 16 homers leads the team and is 11th in the MLB. He also leads the team with 51 RBIs.

Overall, the Rays are just 27th in the league in runs scored this season, averaging 4 runs per game. At home, they are even worse, averaging just 3.7 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .236, which is 18th in the league, and are also near the bottom of the league in terms of slugging percentage and isolated power.

When playing at home, the Yankees have a run line record of 22-25, but their overall run line record stands at 53-48. New York’s games this season have averaged 8.9 runs, and their over/under record is 52-45. In games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, the over has hit in 25 out of 42 matchups.

Currently, the Yankees are 59-42 overall and trail the Orioles by two games in the AL East. They are down 1-2 in the series vs. the Rays and have lost five straight series at home. As the favorite, the Yankees have a 45-36 record, and as the underdog, they are 14-6.

Carlos Rodón Gets The Start For The Yankees

Carlos Rodón gets the start for the Yankees today vs. the Rays and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Orioles. In that start, he went 4 innings and gave up 2 earned runs, 7 hits, and 1 homer. Rodón finished with a no-decision in the outing. Before that, he had taken the loss in three straight starts. Rodón’s record for the season is 9-7, and his ERA is 4.63. Out of his 20 starts, he has turned in 10 quality starts and is averaging 9.42 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 20 homers.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

new york yankees

Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are 4th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are the 2nd ranked home run hitting team in the league and have the league’s top two home run hitters in Aaron Judge and Juan Soto. Judge is also leading the MLB in RBIs, while Soto is 6th in the league in that category.

Both Judge and Soto have been swinging hot bats of late, with Judge hitting .412 over his last six games with three homers, and Soto has gone 12/28 in his last six games. Giancarlo Stanton is also on a 10-game hitting streak for the Yankees.

Rays vs Yankees Prediction

For the Yankees vs. Rays matchup, we see the Yankees coming away with a 5-4 win. However, with the money line payout for the Yankees being -168, we actually like the over at 8.5 runs, as our predicted score has this one going over.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Carlos Rodón finishing with seven strikeouts compared to Zack Littell with just four. As for the Yankees and Rays’ lineups, the Yankees are projected to finish with eight hits compared to the Rays with just five.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.