Texas Rangers vs Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Texas Rangers vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 6/27/2024

The Texas Rangers (37-43) travel to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (50-30) on Thursday, June 27th. This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore and televised on BSSW. The Orioles are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rangers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Brewers. First pitch is set for 5:35 CT.

Rangers vs Orioles

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The Rangers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Brewers with a 6-5 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 4th inning before the Brewers scored four runs in the inning. Texas was the -118 favorite on the money line going into the game.

Nathan Eovaldi had a rough outing, giving up five earned runs on nine hits and issuing a walk. The Rangers also wasted a big game from Nathaniel Lowe, who homered in the 2nd inning, going 2/5.

Texas is on the road today vs. the Orioles, and they are looking to snap a three-game losing streak, as they are 37-43 overall this season. The Rangers are 3rd in the AL West, trailing the Mariners by 7.5 games. So far, they are 9-14 in divisional games.

At home, the Rangers are 20-19 compared to 17-24 on the road. As the underdog, the Rangers have an 11-17 record this season, and they have dropped two straight as the underdog. Texas’ series record is 11-14-1, and they were swept in their most recent series vs. the Brewers.

When the Rangers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.0 runs per game. When they lose, it’s usually close, with an average run margin of -3.6 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 36-44, but they are 19-20 at home and 17-24 on the road. They have failed to cover the run line in five straight road games and are 17-26 as the favorite.

The Rangers have been involved in high-scoring games this season, as their combined run average is 8.6 runs per game. Their over/under record is 30-47, and the average over/under line for their games is 9 runs. When the line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 4-8-2. Overall, 68.8% of their games have had over/under lines set at more than 8 runs.

Jon Gray Gets The Start For The Rangers

Right-hander Jon Gray is starting for the Rangers today as he faces the Orioles on the road. He has made 13 starts this year and has a record of 3-3 with a 3.03 ERA. Gray’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.23. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. Before that, he had allowed at least one homer in three straight starts. Gray’s ERA at home is 4.9 compared to 2.03 on the road.

Rangers Offense Breakdown

Adolis García and Corey Seager have been the Rangers’ top power threats this season, as they are both tied for the team lead with 14 home runs. Seager is batting .255 overall, while García is hitting just .218. Marcus Semien has also been a key power source, as his 11 homers is 2nd on the team and 15th in the league. Semien has also driven in the most runs for the Rangers this season.

Overall, the Rangers are 17th in scoring at 4.2 runs per game. This season, they are batting .237 as a team, which is 14th in the league. Currently, they have three hitters with a batting average under .220. Corey Seager is currently on a four-game hitting streak and is 5/20 over his last six games.

Gunnar Henderson and the Orioles are coming off a big game vs. the Guardians to close out their series. Henderson went 3/4 with a homer and two RBIs. The Orioles really broke things open with a three-run 2nd inning. Cedric Mullins scored the team’s other run, going 2/3 with a homer.

Grayson Rodriguez started for the Orioles, going seven innings and giving up just two runs on five hits. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

Baltimore is 50-30 overall, putting them just one game behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. The Orioles lost two of three in their most recent series vs. the Guardians. So far, they have gone 19-7 in AL East matchups.

At home, the Orioles are 26-16 this season compared to a 24-14 mark on the road. As the favorite, the Orioles are 40-24 this season, and they are 10-6 as the underdog. Baltimore’s overall series record is 17-6-3, but they have dropped two straight series.

When the Orioles win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.9 runs per game. They have been a good bet on the run line, going 47-33 overall. They have been even better on the run line on the road, going 24-14. They have been a good bet as the favorite, going 35-29. They have been a great bet as the underdog, going 12-4.

At Camden Yards, the Orioles have seen a combined average of 9.0 runs per game, and their over/under record is 40-30 on the season. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, they are 9-5-3 in those games. Overall, 52.5% of their games have had over/under lines set at over 8 runs.

Corbin Burnes Gets The Start For The Orioles

Through 16 starts, Corbin Burnes has a record of 8-3 and an ERA of 2.35. This year, he has made 12 quality starts and is coming off a rough outing in which he gave up four earned runs in seven innings of work. Burnes took the loss in that game against the Astros. Before that outing, he had won three straight starts. Burnes has been tough to beat at home, going 4-1 with a 1.92 ERA. On the road, his record is 4-2 with a 3.03 ERA. So far, he has allowed 10 homers this season.

Orioles Offense Breakdown

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Not only are the Orioles the top home run hitting team in the league this season, but they are also the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. As a team, the Orioles are batting .254, which is the 5th best mark in the league.

Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson have been the Orioles’ top two run producers this season, with Rutschman driving in 53 runs and Henderson leading the team with 57 RBIs. Henderson also has 26 homers, which is 2nd in the league. Henderson has gone 6/17 in his last 5 games, with two homers and four RBIs. Jordan Westburg and Henderson both have three-game hitting streaks coming into the game.

Rangers vs Orioles Prediction

Our predicted final score for this game is 5-4 in favor of the Orioles, and with the money line payout being -215, we would recommend taking the over, as there is a lot of value with the over/under line being 8 runs.

Looking at some of the starting pitcher projections, Corbin Burnes is predicted to finish with six strikeouts, compared to Jon Gray, who is projected to finish with six as well. As for the Orioles and Rangers’ lineups, the Orioles are predicted to finish with 10 strikeouts compared to the Rangers with seven.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.