The Detroit Tigers (86-76) travel to face off against the Cleveland Guardians (92-69) on Monday, October 7th. This game will be played at Progressive Field in Cleveland and televised on None. The Guardians are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Tigers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Guardians. First pitch is set for 3:08 CT.
Tigers vs. Guardians Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Guardians (+110)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 6 Runs
- The Guardians have won 10 of their last 15 games, showcasing strong recent form.
- In their last 15 games, the Guardians have outscored their opponents by a total of 20 runs (73 runs scored vs. 53 runs allowed).
- The Guardians have a 5-1 record at home in their last 6 home games, indicating strong home-field advantage.
- In their last 15 games, the Guardians have scored 5 or more runs in 9 games, demonstrating consistent offensive production.
- The Guardians have won their last 3 head-to-head matchups against the Tigers, including a 7-0 victory in their most recent meeting.
Tigers vs Guardians
Cleveland cruised to a 7-0 win over the Tigers in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a huge 1st inning, scoring five of their seven runs. As for the Tigers, they had their best chance to score in the 6th, but could only muster two runs.
Tanner Bibee only went 4 2/3 innings for the Guardians but didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued one walk. On the other side, Tyler Holton got the start for the Tigers and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in just a third of an inning of work.
Lane Thomas was the only player in the game to homer, going 1/4 with three RBIs. David Fry also had a two-hit game and drove in two for Cleveland’s offense.
As the Tigers prepare for game two of their series against Cleveland, they find themselves needing a win to avoid falling behind 0-2. Detroit is on the road, where they went 43-38 during the regular season, matching their home record. They’ve lost two straight games overall and as the favorite, while their record as favorites is 40-26 this year.
Detroit’s run line record is 88-77, with an average run margin of +0.2 per game. On the road, their run line record is 53-31. The Tigers’ over/under record is 78-81, and today’s line of 6 runs is well below their season average of 8.1 runs.
Tarik Skubal Gets The Start For The Tigers
Tarik Skubal has been dominant this year, coming into the game with a record of 18-4 and an ERA of 2.39. Skubal has made 31 starts, and opponents are batting just .200 off the left-hander this year. He ranks first in the league in starter wins and has a total of 22 quality starts this year. Skubal’s WHIP for the season is .92, and he is averaging 10.69 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Skubal didn’t give up a run, getting the win and going six innings of work. He has won each of his last three starts.
Tigers Offense Breakdown
Riley Greene has been the Tigers’ top power threat this season, as he has 24 home runs and 74 RBIs, both of which are the best marks on the team. Greene is batting .262 for the season, and he comes into the game with an on-base percentage of .348. Detroit’s top batting average belongs to Kerry Carpenter, who is hitting .284 and is 2nd on the team with 18 homers.
Over his last eight games, Parker Meadows has gone 11/31 (.355) with two homers and six runs scored. Meadows is also on a four-game hitting streak. As a team, the Tigers are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. Their batting average of .234 is also 15th in the MLB.
As the Guardians prepare for game two of their series against the Tigers, they hold a 1-0 lead and look to extend their advantage at home. Cleveland finished the regular season with a 92-69 record, going 50-30 at home and 42-39 on the road. As favorites, they posted a 65-36 record but struggled as underdogs, going 28-33.
During the regular season, the Guardians had a run line record of 83-79, with a home run line mark of 40-41. As underdogs, their run line record was 36-25. Their over/under record was 68-82, and today’s line of 6 runs is the lowest they’ve seen all season, compared to their average line of 8 runs.
Matthew Boyd Gets The Start For The Guardians
Matthew Boyd will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Cardinals, as he gets the start for the Guardians today. In that September 21st start, he took the loss, going 4 innings and giving up 2 earned runs on 4 hits. Boyd also gave up 1 homer in that outing. Looking back over his last three starts, Boyd has finished with a no-decision in each outing. He has made three straight starts on the road. Boyd’s ERA for the season is 2.72, along with a record of 2-2. Opponents are batting .204 vs. Boyd this season.
Guardians Offense Breakdown
Jose Ramirez has been on a tear of late, going 13/29 in his last eight games with four homers and 12 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .279 with 39 homers and 118 RBIs. His 118 RBIs are 3rd in the league. Josh Naylor is also a big power threat for the Guardians, as he is 2nd on the team with 31 homers and is 6th in the league with 108 RBIs.
As a team, the Guardians are averaging 4.4 runs per game and are 11th in the league in home runs. They are batting just .238 for the season, which is 14th in the league. However, they have been good at avoiding strikeouts and are 4th in the league in this category.
Tigers vs Guardians Prediction
Getting the Guardians at +110 on the money line is a great value pick for today’s Tigers vs. Guardians matchup. We have the Guardians winning this one by a final score of 4-3.
Looking at some potential player props, we have Matthew Boyd finishing with five strikeouts compared to Tarik Skubal with five. As for the Tigers, you could look to take the over on their team strikeout total, as we have them finishing with nine.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:October 7, 2024 Guardians, Tigers