Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 7/22/2024

The Detroit Tigers (49-51) travel to face off against the Cleveland Guardians (59-39) on Monday, July 22nd. This game will be played at Progressive Field in Cleveland and televised on BSGL. Both the Tigers and Guardians are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.

Tigers vs. Guardians Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Guardians (+101)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
  • The Guardians have won 4 out of their last 5 home games.
  • The Guardians have scored an average of 5.2 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
  • The Guardians have a 3-1 record against the Tigers in their last 4 home games.
  • The Guardians have a higher league rank (2nd) compared to the Tigers (10th).
  • The Guardians have a better home record (31-13) compared to the Tigers’ away record (25-27).

Tigers vs Guardians

detroit tigers nba

The Guardians Took The Last Game Of This Series

Justyn-Henry Malloy had a big game for the Tigers in their most recent game vs. the Blue Jays, but Detroit still took the loss. Malloy went 1/3 with four RBIs, and his only hit was a home run. The Tigers scored four runs in the 5th inning to take the lead but couldn’t hold on, and the Blue Jays scored two runs in the 3rd to tie things up and added another two in the 6th to put things out of reach. Detroit was the +142 underdog going into this road game.

Keider Montero had a rough outing, giving up five earned runs on eight hits and issuing three walks. He only lasted json 5 1/3 innings and took the loss. Detroit’s bullpen was able to keep things scoreless for the final 3 2/3 innings, but the Tigers couldn’t complete the comeback.

As the favorite, the Tigers are 21-20 straight up and 29-23 against the run line on the road. They have won four straight series and are 7-3 in their last ten games. Detroit’s overall record is 49-51, and they are currently 4th in the AL Central, 11 games behind the Guardians.

This season, Tigers games have averaged 8.6 runs, and their over/under record stands at 54-43. The over has hit in 16 of their 26 games with a total of 7.5 runs, and their current over streak is at three games.

Tarik Skubal Gets The Start For The Tigers

Tigers starter Tarik Skubal comes into the game with a record of 10-3 and an ERA of 2.40. So far this year, he has made 19 starts, and opponents are batting .188 off the left-hander. Skubal has made 14 quality starts this year and is averaging 10.86 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up two earned runs on eight hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Tigers Offense Breakdown

Riley Greene has been on a tear at the plate of late, going 13/31 (.419) over his last eight games. During this stretch, he has driven in six runs but has yet to hit a home run. Greene’s 51 RBIs this season is the best mark on the team, and his 17 homers is also the best on the Tigers and 10th in the league. Matt Vierling is 2nd on the team with 41 RBIs and has 12 homers this season.

Andy Ibanez has two homers in his last seven games while going 5/15 overall, and Colt Keith and Justyn-Henry Malloy have also gone deep twice in their last nine and eight games, respectively. Keith is hitting .308 in this stretch, and Malloy is batting .292.

The Guardians Took The Last Game Of This Series

Cleveland closed out their series vs. the Padres with a 2-1 loss. Heading into the game, the Guardians were the slight favorite at -112 on the money line. It was the Padres who got on the board first, scoring two runs in the 2nd inning. Cleveland’s offense scored their only run in the 3rd.

Ben Lively got the start for the Guardians and took the loss. He only lasted 5 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on six hits. Cleveland’s offense scored their only run off a single by Amed Rosario. The Guardians had a chance to tie things up in the 8th, but Josh Naylor struck out to end the inning.

Cleveland is favored in today’s game, and when they are the favorite, they hold a 43-22 straight-up record. The Guardians have struggled against the run line this season, posting a 29-36 record. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs, and the under has hit in their last six games.

The Guardians lead the AL Central by five games over the White Sox, but they have lost two straight and are 3-7 in their last ten games. Cleveland’s overall series record is 19-10-2, but they did drop three straight series at one point this season.

Carlos Carrasco Gets The Start For The Guardians

Carlos Carrasco gets the start for the Guardians today and comes in with a record of 3-7 and an ERA of 5.02. So far this year, he has made 17 starts, and opponents are batting .263. Carrasco has made four quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up one earned run in five innings of work. In that start, he took the loss. Carrasco has not won a game since May 30th. At home, he is 2-3 with a 5.01 ERA compared to 1-4 with a 5.53 ERA on the road.

Guardians Offense Breakdown

cleveland guardians

Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been the Guardians’ top power threats this season, as Ramirez’s 23 homers are 5th in the league, and Naylor’s 22 round-trippers are 6th in the MLB. Ramirez also has the 2nd most RBIs in the league, with 79, while Naylor is right behind him with 71 RBIs. As a team, the Guardians are 10th in runs per game (4.7) and are batting a combined .241.

Over his last six games, Jose Ramirez has gone 6/24 with two RBIs, but he has yet to go deep in that stretch. Angel Martinez has also struggled of late, hitting just .217 in his last six games. However, he did hit a home run during that stretch. Jhonkensy Noel has gone 2/6 in his last four games, including a homer and two RBIs.

Tigers vs Guardians Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Tigers vs. Guardians game is to take the Guardians on the money line at +101. Our predicted final score is 7-6 in favor of the Guardians, making them a great value pick with a payout of +101.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our model has Carlos Carrasco finishing with five strikeouts compared to Tarik Skubal with six. However, Carrasco is projected to go just five innings, while Skubal is projected to go seven.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.