The Detroit Tigers (78-73) travel to face off against the Kansas City Royals (82-69) on Tuesday, September 17th. This game will be played at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City and televised on BSKC. The Tigers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Royals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Tigers. First pitch is set for 6:40 CT.
Tigers vs. Royals Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Tigers (+142)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
- The Tigers have won 7 of their last 10 games, indicating strong recent form.
- In their last 15 games, the Tigers have scored 7 or more runs in 6 games, showcasing their offensive capability.
- The Tigers have a winning record on the road in their last 15 games, with 5 wins and 3 losses.
- In their last 3 head-to-head games against the Royals, the Tigers have won 2, including a recent away win.
- The Tigers have outscored their opponents by a total of 20 runs in their last 15 games, demonstrating effective run production.
Tigers vs Royals
Detroit rallied for three runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Tigers vs. Royals series. The Tigers scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up three in the top of the 9th, picking up a 7-6 win. Heading into the game, the Tigers were at +117 on the money line.
Kansas City wasted a good outing from Seth Lugo, as he gave up just four hits and four earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work for the Royals. Sam Long took the loss.
Reese Olson only went 2 1/3 innings for the Tigers but gave up just four hits and four earned runs. He didn’t factor into the decision, as Brenan Hanifee got the win out of the bullpen. Jason Foley got the save.
As the underdog on the run line, the Tigers have been profitable, boasting a 59-33 record. Detroit has covered the run line in two straight games and has an average run margin of 3.6 in wins and -3.3 in losses. Overall, the Tigers are 78-73 and are 7-3 in their last 10 games, the best in the AL Central over that span.
Heading into today’s game, the Tigers have won three straight series and have an overall series record of 23-19-5. Their over/under record for the season is 75-72, and when the total is set at 8 runs, their O/U record is 18-20-2. The total has gone over in 54 of their games this season, which is 35.8% of their total games played.
Casey Mize Gets The Start For The Tigers
Casey Mize will be looking to build off his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. Against the Rockies on September 11th, he went 4 2/3 innings, giving up four earned runs, and six hits. Looking at his overall numbers, Mize has a record of 2-6 and an ERA of 4.47. Opponents are batting .278 off the right-hander this season. Mize has made six quality starts this year and is averaging 6.75 strikeouts per nine innings. So far, he has allowed a total of 11 home runs. Per nine innings, Mize is giving up 2.19 walks on the year.
Tigers Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Tigers are 17th in the league in runs scored at 4.3 runs per game. This is just below their season average of 4.4 runs per game on the road. As a team, they are batting just .235 and have the 20th ranked on-base percentage in the league. Detroit’s team slugging percentage of .388 is also 18th in the MLB.
Riley Greene comes into the game as the Tigers’ top power threat, with 23 homers this season. However, he has gone just 4/18 in his last five games. Greene is also the team’s leader in RBIs, with 69. Matt Vierling and Colt Keith are also near the top of the league in home runs and have been two of the Tigers’ most consistent hitters this season.
At home, the Royals are 45-31 this season, but they have dropped two straight games, and are five games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. Their overall series record is 21-24-2, and they are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
This season, the Royals have an over/under record of 15-15-3 when the total line is set at 8 runs. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game, and 60.9% of their games have had higher total lines than today’s 8 runs.
Cole Ragans Gets The Start For The Royals
Cole Ragans is looking to build off his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. Against the Yankees, he went six innings, giving up two earned runs, and seven hits. Looking back further, Ragans has made 30 starts and has a record of 11-9. His ERA for the season is 3.32, along with a WHIP of 1.15. Ragans has turned in 19 quality starts this year and is averaging 10.96 strikeouts per nine innings. Overall, he has 211 strikeouts, which ranks fourth in the league. One area of concern is that he has allowed 15 homers this year.
Royals Offense Breakdown
For the season, the Royals are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .253, which is 6th in the league, and are also one of the best teams in terms of avoiding strikeouts. Kansas City’s team on-base percentage of .310 is 12th in the league.
Bobby Witt Jr. has been one of the league’s top hitters this season, as he is batting .332 with 32 homers and 108 RBIs. He is also on a bit of a hot streak, going 7/26 in his last six games with two homers. Salvador Perez is also having a strong season, hitting .275 with 27 homers and 102 RBIs.
Tigers vs Royals Prediction
Our pick for today’s Tigers vs. Royals matchup is to take the Tigers on the money line, with the payout sitting at +142. We actually have the Tigers winning this one by a score of 6-5, giving you some wiggle room to also take the over, as the line is set at 8 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Casey Mize is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is actually higher than Cole Ragans, who we have finishing with six as well. Offensively, the Tigers lineup is projected to finish with 11 strikeouts, which is the highest in the league today.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 17, 2024 Royals, Tigers