The Toronto Blue Jays (67-75) travel to face off against the Atlanta Braves (77-64) on Saturday, September 7th. This game will be played at Truist Park in Atlanta and televised on BSSE. The Braves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Blue Jays are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Braves. First pitch is set for 6:20 CT.
Blue Jays vs. Braves Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Braves (-178)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Braves have won 10 of their last 15 games.
- In their last 15 games, the Braves have scored an average of 4.8 runs per game.
- The Braves have a home record of 39-29 this season.
- The Braves have won 6 of their last 8 home games.
- The Blue Jays have lost 7 of their last 10 games.
Blue Jays vs Braves
The most recent game o of this Braves vs Blue Jays series came right down to the end, as the Blue Jays rallied late but still fell short with the Braves winning 3-1 at home. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -171 on the money line.
Toronto wasted a good outing from Kevin Gausman, as he gave up just three earned runs in six innings of work for the Blue Jays. Max Fried was excellent for the Braves, picking up a win after going seven innings and not giving up a run.
Atlanta got on the board with three runs in the 2nd inning and didn’t score another run until the 9th. On the other side, the Blue Jays got on the board with one run in the 3rd and had their best scoring chance in the 7th, but could only muster one run.
On the road, the Blue Jays have a 46-27 record against the run line with an average scoring margin of -0.1 runs per game. Overall, they are 67-75 and have lost two straight series. Toronto is 41-28 as the favorite but only 26-47 as the underdog.
Looking at the AL East standings, the Blue Jays are in 5th place, 15 games behind the Orioles. In the division, they have a 20-26 record. So far this season, their games have averaged 8.8 runs, and the under has hit in two consecutive games.
José Berríos Gets The Start For The Blue Jays
Toronto is sending right-hander José Berríos to the mound today vs. the Braves. He has made 28 starts this season and has a record of 14-9 with a 3.59 ERA. Berríos has made 18 quality starts this year and is coming off a game in which he didn’t allow a run. In that outing vs. the Twins, he went six innings, giving up three hits and a walk. Looking back at his last four outings, Berríos has allowed just two earned runs in each start. He has been especially tough on right-handed hitters, holding them to a .210 batting average this season.
Blue Jays Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Blue Jays offense has been pretty average, as they are 19th in the league in scoring at 4.2 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .241, which is 13th in the league, and are also among the league leaders in home runs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been a huge bright spot for the team, as he is hitting .327 for the season and is 8th in the league with 93 RBIs. He also has a team-high 28 homers.
Guerrero Jr. has also been hot of late, going 9/22 in his last five games. During this stretch, he has one home run and five RBIs. Addison Barger has also been swinging the bat well for the Blue Jays, going 4/15 in his last four games with two homers and four RBIs.
Atlanta is currently in 3rd place in the NL East, eight games behind the Phillies, who lead the division. The Braves’ overall record is 77-64, and they are 6-4 in their last 10 games, coming into today’s matchup with the Blue Jays.
Against the run line, the Braves are 51-62 as favorites and 17-11 as underdogs, with an overall run line record of 68-73. Their games have averaged 8.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 51-85. The under has hit in six straight games for Atlanta, heading into today’s game with the O/U line set at 8.5 runs.
Spencer Schwellenbach Gets The Start For The Braves
Through 16 starts, Spencer Schwellenbach has a record of 5-6 and an ERA of 3.69. Overall, he has made eight quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t give up a run. In that August 27th start vs. the Twins, Schwellenbach went 4 2/3 innings and didn’t give up a run. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Against the Phillies on September 1st, he went 5 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, and finished with a no-decision. Schwellenbach has only allowed one homer in his last three outings.
Braves Offense Breakdown
Marcell Ozuna has been on a tear of late for the Braves, hitting 13/39 in his last 10 games. For the season, he is batting .309 with 37 homers and 98 RBIs, which both rank 5th in the league. Ozuna is also on a five-game hitting streak. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 25 homers but is batting just .230 this season.
Overall, the Braves are 5th in home runs this season and are averaging 4.3 runs per game. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.6 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .241, which is 13th in the league, and their team on-base percentage is just 16th in the league.
Blue Jays vs Braves Prediction
Our prediction for this Blue Jays vs. Braves matchup is to take the over, with the line currently sitting at 8.5 runs. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Braves, giving us some nice cushion on the over/under line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Spencer Schwellenbach actually has a lower projected strikeout total than Jose Berrios, but we still have Schwellenbach finishing with six K’s. If you’re looking for a money line pick, the Braves are our predicted winner, but we would take the over at -103.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 7, 2024 Blue Jays, Braves