Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 9/1/2024

The Toronto Blue Jays (67-71) travel to face off against the Minnesota Twins (73-62) on Sunday, September 1st. This game will be played at Target Field in Minneapolis and televised on SNET. The Blue Jays are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Twins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Blue Jays. First pitch is set for 1:10 CT.

Blue Jays vs. Twins Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Twins (-193)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • The Twins have scored 5 or more runs in 7 of their last 15 games.
  • The Twins have won 4 of their last 5 home games.
  • The Twins have a home record of 38-30 compared to the Blue Jays’ away record of 33-38.
  • The Twins have a recent head-to-head win against the Blue Jays, winning 2-0 on August 30th.
  • The Twins have a higher league rank (6th) compared to the Blue Jays (11th).

Blue Jays vs Twins

toronto blue jays nba

Toronto cruised to a 15-0 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Blue Jays had a huge 1st inning, scoring seven of their fifteen runs. As for the Twins, they were held in check all game and finished with just four hits.

Jose Berrios started for the Blue Jays and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued just one walk. On the other side, Zebby Matthews got the start for the Twins and took the loss, going just two innings and giving up nine runs.

At the plate, Toronto was led by a huge game from Will Wagner, who went 5/6 with a home run. Wagner scored three times and drove in two runs. Spencer Horwitz also had a good game at the plate, going 3/5 with three RBIs.

As the underdog, Toronto has a 20-31 straight-up record on the road, and against the run line, they are 45-26. Overall, their run line record is 70-68, with an average run differential of -0.4 runs per game. The Blue Jays are 7-3 in their last ten games and are 1.5 games behind the Rays for 4th place in the AL East.

When the total is 8.5 runs, Toronto’s over/under record is 22-19 this season. The average total in their games is 8.8 runs, and their overall O/U record is 73-62. In wins, their average run differential is +3.3 runs per game, while in losses, it is -3.8 runs per game.

Yariel Rodríguez Gets The Start For The Blue Jays

Yariel Rodríguez gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Twins on the road. So far this season, he has made 16 starts and has a record of 1-6. Rodríguez’s ERA is 4.82, and he has a WHIP of 1.36. In his 16 appearances, he has turned in two quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Rodríguez took the loss after giving up six earned runs in five innings of work. He gave up one homer in that outing. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up a homer. Opponents are batting .229 off Rodríguez this season.

Blue Jays Offense Breakdown

Over the past nine games, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been on fire, going 14/34 (.412) with six runs and six RBIs. For the season, he is batting .324 with 27 homers and 89 RBIs. Guerrero Jr. is also on a nine-game hitting streak. George Springer is also one of the league’s top home run hitters, but he is batting just .216 for the season.

As a team, the Blue Jays are 19th in the league in scoring at 4.2 runs per game. They have been a bit better on the road, averaging 4.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are 11th in batting average and have the 6th fewest strikeouts in the league.

Minnesota has an overall series record of 24-16-3 this season, and they are 28-17 against other teams in the AL Central. The Twins are 3.5 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central with a 73-62 record. They have a 38-30 home record and are 35-32 on the road.

When the O/U line is set at 8.5 runs, the over has hit 50% of the time in Twins games this season. Their games have averaged 9.2 runs, and their overall O/U record is 69-62. Against the run line, the Twins are 65-70, with a 36-31 record on the road. In games where they are the favorite, the Twins are 57-36 straight up, and as underdogs, they are 16-26.

Bailey Ober Gets The Start For The Twins

Minnesota is starting Bailey Ober today vs. the Blue Jays, and he comes into the game with a record of 12-6 and an ERA of 4.06. This year, opponents are batting .213 off Ober, and he has a total of 15 quality starts. Per nine innings, Ober is averaging 9.32 strikeouts and just 2.28 walks. Looking back at his last outing, Ober took the loss vs. the Braves, giving up nine earned runs in just two innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without taking the loss. Ober has given up at least one homer in three straight outings.

Twins Offense Breakdown

minnesota twins

Over the past six games, Willi Castro has gone 6/20 with a homer and three RBIs, and he is batting .255 for the season. Castro is also 7th on the team with 11 homers. Ryan Jeffers and Carlos Santana are the top two home run hitters for the Twins this season, with Jeffers leading the way with 20 homers, and Santana is 2nd with 18. Jeffers also leads the team with 59 RBIs.

Collectively, the Twins are 6th in batting average and 6th in slugging percentage. They are also 7th in both on-base percentage and OPS. As a team, they are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. Currently, the Twins have a team batting average of .252.

Blue Jays vs Twins Prediction

Our predicted final score for this Blue Jays vs. Twins matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Twins. However, with the Twins being -193 on the money line, we would recommend taking the over at 8.5 runs.

Looking at some potential starting pitcher props, we have Yariel Rodríguez finishing with six strikeouts compared to Bailey Ober with five. However, we have Ober finishing with a better ERA compared to Rodriguez.

Offensively, we have the Twins finishing with eight hits compared to the Blue Jays with nine. However, the Blue Jays are projected to finish with more home runs than the Twins.

On the money line, the payout for the Twins is not high enough to warrant a bet, and we would recommend taking the over at -110.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.