The Minnesota Twins (43-36) travel to face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks (39-40) on Wednesday, June 26th. This game will be played at Chase Field in Phoenix and televised on None. The Diamondbacks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Twins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Diamondbacks. First pitch is set for 8:40 CT.
Twins vs Diamondbacks
Arizona picked up a 5-4 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Diamondbacks had a two-run lead going into the 7th inning, and the Twins could only muster one run in the 8th inning. As for the Twins, they scored three runs in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up one in the 5th.
Ketel Marte and Corbin Carroll each had two hits and scored a run for the Diamondbacks. Ryan Jeffers did the same for the Twins, and Byron Buxton went 3/4 with a home run.
Brandon Pfaadt only went 6 1/3 innings for the Diamondbacks but gave up just two earned runs and struck out two. He picked up a win in the game, while Kevin Ginkel got the save. Jorge Alcala took the loss for Minnesota out of the bullpen.
Minnesota is 43-36 overall, putting them nine games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. So far, they have gone 15-11 in divisional games. The Twins dropped the first game of this series vs. the Diamondbacks and are 14-9-2 in series this year.
At home, the Twins have gone 23-16 this year, and they are an even 20-20 on the road. Minnesota has been good as the favorite this year, going 34-20, but they are just 9-16 as the underdog.
When the Twins win, they do so by an average of 3.5 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.6 runs per game. Minnesota is 35-44 against the run line this season, including a 20-20 mark on the road. They are 23-31 vs. the run line as the favorite and 12-13 as the underdog.
The Twins are on the road in Arizona tonight, where the over/under line is set at 9 runs. Minnesota’s games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 37-40. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 9 runs, they have gone over 5 times and under 2 times. Only 2.5% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, while 88.6% have been set below that number.
Simeon Woods Richardson Gets The Start For The Twins
Right-hander Simeon Woods Richardson gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. He has made 12 starts this year and has a record of 2-1 with a 3.26 ERA. Woods Richardson’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.14. In his 12 appearances, he has turned in four quality starts and is averaging 7.71 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he took the mound, Woods Richardson finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. He finished with four strikeouts in that outing.
Twins Offense Breakdown
Minnesota comes into the game as the 5th best home run hitting team in the league and is averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 9th in the MLB. Their team batting average of .246 is 11th in the league, and they also have the 4th best isolated power mark in the league. Willi Castro has been hot of late, going 15/41 in his last 10 games, and is batting .271 for the season. Ryan Jeffers and Carlos Santana are the Twins’ top power threats, with Jeffers leading the team with 13 homers and Santana’s 12 homers being the 2nd most on the team.
Jeffers and Castro are both on solid hitting streaks, with Jeffers having hits in six straight games and Castro having an eight-game streak. Over his last nine games, Royce Lewis has five homers and is batting .278.
Arizona is 39-40 overall and trail the Dodgers by 10 games in the NL West. Currently, they are 3rd in the division, two games behind the Padres for the 2nd spot in the division. The Diamondbacks are 15-12 against other NL West teams this year.
So far, the Diamondbacks have won two straight games at home, and they are 20-18 at home this year. Arizona has gone 19-22 on the road. As for how they have fared as the favorite, the Diamondbacks are 20-16 and 19-24 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 10-12-3 this year.
Arizona has been a .500 team against the run line this season, going 38-41. The Diamondbacks have been better on the road, going 21-20, compared to 17-21 at home. Arizona has won its last two games against the run line at home, but overall, the team is just 14-22 vs. the run line as the favorite.
Arizona’s over/under record is 38-39, and the average over/under line for their games is 9 runs. When the line is set at 9 runs, their record is 6-10-1. The Diamondbacks have played 16 games with an over/under line set higher than 9 runs, which accounts for 20.3% of their games. Their combined run average is 9.5 runs per game.
Ryne Nelson Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks
Ryne Nelson will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win and went seven innings. In that outing, he gave up two earned runs, walked three, and didn’t allow a homer. Looking back further, Nelson has finished with a record of 5-5 and an ERA of 5.18. Opposing batters are hitting .300 this season off Nelson, and his ERA at home is 7.34 compared to 4.75 on the road. So far, he has made four quality starts and has a BB/9 figure of 2.52.
Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown
Arizona comes into today’s game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.7 runs per game. They have been especially good at home, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Overall, their team batting average is .251 (8th) and they are 6th in on-base percentage. The Diamondbacks have also been good at making contact this season, as they are 9th in the league in strikeouts.
Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have been the Diamondbacks’ top power hitters this season, with Walker leading the team with 17 homers and Marte right behind him at 16. Walker has also driven in 50 runs, which is 10th best in the league. However, Walker has struggled at the plate of late, going just 4/20 in his last five games. Marte has also gone deep in his last four games, but he is just 4/16 in that stretch.
Twins vs Diamondbacks Prediction
Given that the Diamondbacks are the underdogs at +101, this is a great value pick for today’s Twins vs. Diamondbacks matchup. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Diamondbacks, and with the Diamondbacks being the underdogs, we recommend taking them on the money line.
Looking at today’s starting pitchers, we have Ryne Nelson finishing with five strikeouts compared to Simeon Woods Richardson with four. Nelson is also projected to finish with more earned runs than Richardson, but his strikeout numbers are better.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 26, 2024 Diamondbacks, Twins