New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 10/19/2024

The New York Yankees (94-68) travel to face off against the Cleveland Guardians (92-69) on Saturday, October 19th. This game will be played at Progressive Field in Cleveland and televised on None. The Yankees are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Guardians are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Yankees. First pitch is set for 7:08 CT.

Yankees vs. Guardians Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Yankees (-118)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Under 7.5 Runs
  • The Yankees have won 4 of their last 5 road games, showcasing strong performance away from home.
  • In their last 15 games, the Yankees have scored an average of 5.6 runs per game, indicating a potent offense.
  • The Yankees have a league-leading away record of 50-31, demonstrating their ability to perform well on the road.
  • In the last 3 head-to-head games against the Guardians, the Yankees have won 2, showing recent success against this opponent.
  • The Yankees have outscored the Guardians 19-16 in their last 3 matchups, highlighting their offensive edge.

Yankees vs Guardians

new york yankees nba

New York rallied for two runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Yankees vs. Guardians series. The Yankees scored two runs in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up three in the top of the 9th, picking up an 8-6 win. Heading into the game, the Yankees were favored at -124 on the money line.

Luis Gil started for the Yankees, going just four innings while giving up two runs and striking out three. Mark Leiter Jr. got the win out of the bullpen, and Tommy Kahnle got the save. Emmanuel Clase took the loss for Cleveland out of the bullpen.

Giancarlo Stanton and Juan Soto each homered for the Yankees, while Anthony Rizzo went 2/4 with two RBIs. Anthony Volpe also had a two-hit game and drove in a run for New York’s offense.

As the Yankees head into game five of their series against Cleveland, they hold a 3-1 lead and are looking to close out the series on the road. New York finished the regular season with a 94-68 record, going 50-31 on the road and 44-37 at home. As road favorites, they posted a 36-26 mark this year.

New York’s run line record for the season is 88-82, including 51-34 on the road. When favored, they went 66-78 against the run line. Their games have averaged 9.1 total runs this season, while today’s over/under line sits at 7.5 runs. The Yankees have hit the over in three straight games.

Carlos Rodón Gets The Start For The Yankees

Carlos Rodón will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced off against the Guardians and picked up the win. In that October 14th outing, he went 6 innings and gave up just one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Rodón has made 32 starts and has a record of 16-9. His ERA for the season is 3.96, along with a WHIP of 1.22. Opposing batters have hit .226 off the left-hander this season. Rodón has turned in 16 quality starts, and his ERA at home is 3.84 compared to 5.25 on the road.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Yankees are the top home run hitting team in the league and are 3rd in the league in runs scored at 5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. New York has also been very patient at the plate, leading the league in walks. The Yankees are also near the top of the league in OBP, slugging percentage, and OPS.

Over his last nine games, Giancarlo Stanton has gone 9/31 with four home runs, and Gleyber Torres has also been swinging a hot bat, going 11/35 with a homer. Aaron Judge and DJ LeMahieu both have good batting averages for the season and are on hitting streaks of three and five games, respectively.

Facing a must-win game five, the Guardians are looking to avoid elimination, trailing the Yankees 3-1 in their series. Cleveland is back at home, where they posted a 50-30 regular season record, compared to 42-39 on the road. They’ve lost two straight games and went 92-69 during the regular season.

During the regular season, Cleveland’s run line record was 85-85, with a +0.7 run-scoring margin at home and +0.3 on the road. At home, their run line record was 42-43. As favorites, they went 47-56 against the run line, while they were 38-29 as underdogs. The Guardians’ over/under record is 73-85, and the over has hit in their last three games. Today’s 7.5-run line is below their season average of 8.3 runs.

Tanner Bibee Gets The Start For The Guardians

Cleveland is sending Tanner Bibee to the mound today vs. the Yankees, and he will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing. In his most recent start, Bibee took the loss, going just 1 1/3 innings vs. the Yankees and giving up three runs (two earned). Before that outing, he had pitched well, going at least 4 2/3 innings in three straight starts and not giving up more than two earned runs in any of those outings. Bibee’s ERA for the season is 3.47, along with a record of 12-8. Opponents are batting .225 off the right-hander this season.

Guardians Offense Breakdown

cleveland guardians

Jose Ramirez has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 39 homers are 5th in the league and the most on the Guardians. His 118 RBIs are also 3rd in the league. Over his last 10 games, Ramirez has gone 9/34 with three homers. Josh Naylor is also a power threat in the lineup, as he is 2nd on the team with 31 homers and is 6th in the league with 108 RBIs.

As a team, the Guardians are averaging 4.4 runs per game and are batting .238 for the season. Their team batting average is 14th in the league, and they are 11th in home runs. Cleveland is also near the top of the league in fewest strikeouts per game.

Yankees vs Guardians Prediction

Our prediction for this Yankees vs. Guardians matchup is that the Yankees will pick up a 4-2 road win. With the Yankees on the money line at -118, this is the best way to play this one.

Looking at some potential player props, we have Carlos Rodón finishing with six strikeouts compared to Tanner Bibee with six as well. As for the home runs, we actually have the Yankees finishing with more home runs than the Guardians.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.