New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 6/27/2024

The New York Yankees (52-30) travel to face off against the Toronto Blue Jays (36-43) on Thursday, June 27th. This game will be played at Rogers Centre in Toronto and televised on SNET. The Blue Jays are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Yankees are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 6:07 CT.

Yankees vs Blue Jays

new york yankees nba

The Yankees will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mets with a 12-2 loss. New York was actually the slight favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Mets scored three times in the third.

Luis Gil got the start for the Yankees and took the loss. He only lasted 4 1/3 innings, giving up five earned runs. Aaron Judge was hot at the plate, going 2/2 with a homer and two RBIs.

The Yankees are 52-30 overall this season, putting them 1.0 game ahead of the Orioles for the AL East lead. New York is on the road today, having dropped three straight games, including the final two games of their series vs. the Mets. So far, they are just 10-12 in divisional games.

As the favorite, the Yankees have gone 40-24 this year and 12-6 as the underdog. They have been really good at home, going 24-14, and they have been even better on the road, entering today with a record of 28-16. New York’s overall series record is 17-6-2, but they have dropped four straight series.

The Yankees have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 46-36 overall. They are 26-18 on the run line on the road, but have failed to cover in their last four road games. The Yankees have been a better bet as an underdog, going 14-4 on the run line in those games. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.8, while it drops to -3.4 in losses.

The New York Yankees are on the road against the Toronto Blue Jays today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Yankees have an over/under record of 41-39 this season, and their games have averaged a combined 8.8 runs per game. Their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 5-8, and the over has hit in two straight games for the Yankees.

Carlos Rodón Gets The Start For The Yankees

Carlos Rodón will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Blue Jays, as he gave up seven earned runs in just 3 2/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up three homers. Before that, he had been pitching well, going 7 innings and giving up just one earned run in the outing before that. Rodón’s record for the season is 9-4, and his ERA is 3.86. Looking at his WHIP, it is currently 1.21. So far, he has made 16 starts, and opponents are batting .235 vs. Rodón this season.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Yankees are the MLB’s top-scoring offense, averaging five runs per game. They have been even better on the road, putting up 5.2 runs per contest. New York’s offense is also 2nd in the league in home runs and is batting a combined .249, which is 8th in the league. The Yankees are also the league’s best team in terms of drawing walks.

Aaron Judge has been a big part of the Yankees’ offense this season, as he leads the league with 30 homers and is also 1st in the league with 77 RBIs. Judge has also been hot of late, going 6/17 in his last five games with three homers. Giancarlo Stanton is also on a 10-game hitting streak.

The Blue Jays’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Red Sox, closing out their series with a 9-4 win. After giving up two runs in the 2nd inning, the Blue Jays responded with seven runs of their own. Toronto went on to add another two runs in the 4th inning.

Kevin Gausman put together a good start for the Blue Jays, going six innings and giving up just three runs on five hits. He also issued only one walk and struck out five Red Sox batters. George Springer was hot at the plate, going 3/5 with a homer and two RBIs.

Toronto is 5th in the AL East, trailing the Yankees by 14.5 games. Overall, they are 36-43 as they get set to host the Yankees today. The Blue Jays are 3-7 across their last ten games and dropped the final game of their series vs. the Red Sox.

At home, the Blue Jays are 18-19 compared to 18-24 on the road. So far, they have really struggled as the underdog, going 7-23. As for their record as the favorite, the Blue Jays are 29-20. As home underdogs, the Blue Jays are 0-6 this year. Their overall series record is 8-12-5.

Despite a losing record on the run line overall, the Blue Jays have been a solid bet on the road, going 24-18. They have also been a good bet as the underdog, going 14-16. They have been outscored by an average of 0.6 runs per game this season.

The Blue Jays are at home today against the Yankees, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. Toronto has played 76 games this season, and the combined run average in those games is 8.5. The Blue Jays’ over/under record is 35-41, and their average over/under line is 8 runs. When the line is set at 8 runs, Toronto’s over/under record is 11-10-1. So far this season, 41.8% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs, and 30.4% have had lines set under 8 runs. The over has hit in each of Toronto’s last three games.

José Berríos Gets The Start For The Blue Jays

José Berríos will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing against the Guardians, as he gave up five earned runs in five innings of work. In that start, he gave up three walks and one homer. Before that outing, Berríos had pitched well, going 6 innings and giving up four earned runs in the outing before that. Berríos’ ERA for the season is 3.43, along with a record of 6-6. Looking at his home/away splits, he is 4-1 at home with a 2.48 ERA compared to 2-5 on the road with a 5.18 ERA.

Blue Jays Offense Breakdown

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After a slow start to the season, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has really picked things up of late, going 9/22 in his last five games with three homers and 10 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .288 with a team-high 40 RBIs and 10 homers, which is 2nd on the team. Daulton Varsho and Davis Schneider are also near the top of the team’s home run leaderboard, but both are batting below .220 for the season.

As a team, the Blue Jays are 26th in the league in scoring at 3.9 runs per game. They are also one of the league’s worst home run-hitting teams and are near the bottom of the league in terms of slugging percentage and OPS. Overall, they are batting just .233, which is 16th in the league.

Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Yankees vs. Blue Jays game is to take the Blue Jays on the money line, with the payout currently sitting at +118. We have the Blue Jays winning this one by a score of 6-5.

Looking at today’s starters, we actually have Carlos Rodón finishing with more strikeouts than José Berríos. However, we have Berríos finishing with a higher win percentage, as well as a better chance of picking up a win.

Offensively, the Yankees lineup is projected to finish with more runs than the Blue Jays, but we have the Blue Jays finishing with more hits. If you’re looking for a player prop bet, you could look at Berríos’ strikeout total, as we have him finishing with four K’s.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.