New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Prediction

MLB York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 8/27/2024

The New York Mets (68-63) travel to face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks (75-56) on Tuesday, August 27th. This game will be played at Chase Field in Phoenix and televised on SNY. The Diamondbacks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 8:40 CT.

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Diamondbacks (-115)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • Diamondbacks have won 12 of their last 15 games, showcasing strong recent form.
  • Diamondbacks have a 7-1 record in their last 8 home games, indicating strong home-field advantage.
  • Diamondbacks have scored 10 or more runs in 5 of their last 15 games, demonstrating offensive firepower.
  • Diamondbacks have a +40 run differential over their last 15 games, highlighting their overall dominance.
  • Diamondbacks have a 7-3 record in their last 10 games, compared to the Mets’ 6-4, showing better recent performance.

Mets vs Diamondbacks

new york mets nba

The Diamondbacks Took The Last Game Of This Series

The Mets will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Padres with a 3-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 7th inning before the Padres scored two runs in the bottom of the 8th. New York was the +102 underdog on the money line going into the game.

Jose Quintana put together a good start for the Mets, going 6 1/3 innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out three. However, the Mets couldn’t close things out, and Edwin Diaz took the loss out of the bullpen. The Mets also wasted a big game from J.D. Martinez, who homered in the 2nd inning, going 2/4.

On the road, the Mets have a 34-29 record vs. the run line, while their overall series record for the season is 21-16-8. They are 6-4 in their last 10 games and are currently in 3rd place in the NL East, nine games behind the Phillies.

When the total line is 8.5, the over has hit 24 times in 32 games, and the under has hit 17 times. This season, the Mets’ over/under record is 66-61, with their games averaging 9.3 runs per game.

Sean Manaea Gets The Start For The Mets

Left-hander Sean Manaea gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. He has made 25 starts this season and has a record of 9-5 with a 3.48 ERA. Manaea’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.17, and opponents are batting .207 off him this year. In his last outing, Manaea finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in seven innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Manaea has a total of 10 quality starts this year and is averaging 9.07 strikeouts per nine innings.

Mets Offense Breakdown

Francisco Lindor has been swinging the bat well of late, going 11/34 in his last eight games, including three home runs. He also has a six-game hitting streak coming into today’s game. Lindor’s 78 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 15th in the league. Pete Alonso has also gone deep 27 times this season, which is tied with Lindor for the team lead, but he has just a .245 batting average for the season.

As a team, the Mets are averaging 4.8 runs per game and have been even better on the road, putting up 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 5th in home runs and have the league’s 9th best team batting average. New York comes into the game as one of the league’s top offenses, as they are 10th in runs scored.

The Diamondbacks Are Coming Off A Win

The Diamondbacks’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Red Sox, closing out their series with a 7-5 win. After allowing one run to the Red Sox in the bottom of the first, the Diamondbacks responded with three runs of their own. Arizona went on to add another three runs in the 5th inning.

Merrill Kelly put together a good start for the Diamondbacks, going six innings and giving up just four earned runs, and picking up the win. Arizona’s offense was carried by Eugenio Suarez, who went 4/4 with a homer and three RBIs.

Arizona is on a six-game winning streak and has won two straight series. They have an overall series record of 24-14-4 and are three games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Diamondbacks are 41-24 when favored and 34-32 as underdogs.

This season, Diamondbacks games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs have gone over 27-17, contributing to their overall over/under record of 72-52. The total for today’s game is 8.5 runs, lower than their average line of 9 runs per game.

Eduardo Rodriguez Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks

Eduardo Rodriguez will be on the mound for the Diamondbacks today, as they host the Mets. In his first three starts of the season, Rodriguez has a 1-0 record and has gone 5 1/3 innings in each of his first two outings. He is coming off a win over the Marlins in which he struck out 5 and gave up just 1 earned run.

Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown

arizona diamondbacks

Arizona comes into the game as the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5.4 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. Not only do the Diamondbacks lead the league in on-base percentage, but they also have the league’s top team slugging percentage and OPS. As a team, they are batting .261, which is the 2nd best mark in the league.

Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have been the team’s top power hitters this season, with Marte’s 30 homers leading the team and Walker’s 23 homers coming in as the 2nd most on the team. Over his last five games, Eugenio Suarez has gone 8/21 with two homers, and Geraldo Perdomo is also on a four-game hitting streak, going 7/19 in his last five games.

Mets vs Diamondbacks Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Mets vs. Diamondbacks matchup is to take the Diamondbacks on the money line at -115. We have the Diamondbacks winning this one by a score of 6-5. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also take the over, as we have the final score going over the 8.5 run line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Eduardo Rodriguez is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, and he is our pick for the second-best strikeout total among all starters. As for Sean Manaea, we have him finishing with six K’s, which would have him as the 12th best among all starters.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.