New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Prediction

MLB York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 8/28/2024

The New York Mets (69-63) travel to face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks (75-57) on Wednesday, August 28th. This game will be played at Chase Field in Phoenix and televised on SNY. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Diamondbacks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 8:40 CT.

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Diamondbacks (-126)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • Diamondbacks have won 10 of their last 15 games.
  • Diamondbacks have scored 10 or more runs in 5 of their last 15 games.
  • Diamondbacks have a 6-2 record at home in their last 8 home games.
  • Diamondbacks have outscored their opponents by 30 runs in their last 15 games.
  • Diamondbacks have a 6-4 record against teams with a winning record in their last 10 games.

Mets vs Diamondbacks

new york mets nba

New York cruised to an easy 8-3 win over the Diamondbacks in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 5th inning, scoring six of their eight runs. As for the Diamondbacks, they scored all three of their runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -108.

Sean Manaea started for the Mets and picked up the win, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just three earned runs. He finished the game with 11 strikeouts and didn’t issue a walk. Brandon Pfaadt had a rough outing for the Diamondbacks, taking the loss after going just 4 2/3 innings and giving up six earned runs.

Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo each homered for the Mets, while Mark Vientos went 2/5 with two RBIs and two runs scored. J.D. Martinez also had a two-hit game for New York, driving in two runs.

Currently, the Mets are 35-33 at home and 34-30 on the road. As the favorite, they have a 43-35 record, while as the underdog, they are 26-28. Overall, the Mets have a 21-16-8 series record and are 6-4 in their last 10 games.

On the road, the Mets have been a good run line bet with a 35-29 record. Their games have averaged 9.3 runs per game, resulting in a 67-61 over/under record for the season. Today, the Mets are leading their series with the Diamondbacks 1-0 and are nine games behind the Phillies in the NL East.

Luis Severino Gets The Start For The Mets

Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today as he faces off against the Diamondbacks on the road. So far this season, he has made 25 starts and has a record of 9-6. Severino’s ERA is 3.84, along with a WHIP of 1.24. In his 25 appearances, he has turned in 10 quality starts and is averaging 7.44 strikeouts per nine innings. One of his complete games this year was a shutout. In his last outing, Severino went five innings, giving up one earned run, and got the win. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight starts.

Mets Offense Breakdown

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been swinging the bats well for the Mets of late, with Lindor hitting .353 over his last eight games, including three home runs. For the season, Alonso is batting .245, and his 28 home runs are the best mark on the team and 8th in the league. Lindor’s 78 RBIs are the best on the team, and he is also 2nd on the team with 27 homers.

Overall, the Mets are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are 5th in home runs and are batting a collective .249.

Arizona’s overall series record is 24-14-4, and they are three games behind the Dodgers in the NL West with a 75-57 record. The Diamondbacks have a 37-27 home record and are 6-4 in their last 10 games. This season, they have a 41-25 record as favorites and 34-32 as underdogs.

On the run line, Arizona is 40-28 on the road and 42-24 as underdogs. Their games have averaged 10.0 runs, and the over has hit in 73 of 125 games. Heading into today’s game, the over has hit in two straight games, and the average total line for their games is 9 runs.

Eduardo Rodriguez Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks

Eduardo Rodriguez is set to make his third start of the season, and it will be his first at home. He has a win in each of his first two outings, with his most recent start coming against the Marlins, where he went 5 1/3 innings and struck out 5.

Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown

arizona diamondbacks

Arizona comes into the game as the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5.3 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.4 runs per game. Overall, the Diamondbacks are 2nd in team batting average at .261 and have the league’s best on-base percentage and OPS. They have also done a good job of avoiding strikeouts this season.

Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have been the Diamondbacks’ top power threats this season, with Marte’s 30 homers leading the team and Walker’s 23 homers being the 2nd most on the team. Marte also comes into the game with a team-high 81 RBIs. Both Corbin Carroll and Geraldo Perdomo have been swinging the bat well of late, with Carroll currently on a six-game hitting streak.

Mets vs Diamondbacks Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Mets vs. Diamondbacks matchup is to take the Diamondbacks on the money line at -126. We have the Diamondbacks winning this one by a score of 6-5, which would give us a push on the over/under line of 8.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Eduardo Rodriguez is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, and Luis Severino is projected to finish with six. Rodriguez is also projected to finish with fewer earned runs than Severino.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.