The New York Mets (40-41) travel to face off against the Washington Nationals (39-44) on Monday, July 1st. This game will be played at Nationals Park in Washington and televised on SNY. Both the Mets and Nationals are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 5:45 CT.
Mets vs Nationals
Heading into their last game vs. the Astros, the Mets closed out the series with a 10-5 loss. New York was actually the slight favorite at -125 on the money line. Things really got away from the Mets in the 4th inning, as the Astros scored two runs in the inning to take the lead and added another two runs in the 5th to put things out of reach. New York’s offense scored their only run on a Brandon Nimmo homer in the 3rd.
Luis Severino had a rough outing, giving up four earned runs on eight hits and issuing a walk. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and took the loss. The Mets also used Matt Festa out of the bullpen, and he took the loss as well. Festa only lasted 1/3 of an inning, giving up five earned runs.
The Mets come into today’s road matchup vs. the Nationals with an overall record of 40-41, which has them 3rd in the NL East. They are 13.5 games behind the Phillies for the division lead and trail the Braves by 5.5 games for the second spot in the division. New York lost the first two games of their series vs. the Astros but took the final game of the series.
At home, the Mets are 21-25 this season, and they have gone 19-16 on the road. As the road favorite, the Mets are 6-6 this season, and they are an even 21-21 as the favorite overall. New York’s overall series record is 12-13-3, and they have won three straight series on the road.
When betting the run line, the Mets have been a better play on the road than at home, going 21-14 versus 17-29. Their average run margin on the road is +0.6, compared to -0.3 at home. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 24-15 compared to 14-28 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.5, while it’s -3.2 in losses.
The Mets are on the road against the Nationals today, with an over/under line of 8 runs. Their games have averaged 9.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 43-36. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 9-4, and they have had 37 games with higher lines this season, accounting for 45.7% of their games.
David Peterson Gets The Start For The Mets
David Peterson and the Mets are on the road to take on the Nationals. Peterson has started the season with a pair of wins, with his last start coming against the Yankees. In that outing, he went 4 1/3 innings, giving up just 1 earned run and striking out 8. Peterson’s first start of the year was against the Nationals, and he picked up the win, going 6 2/3 innings.
Mets Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Mets are the 6th highest-scoring team in the league at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.7 runs per game. Overall, they are 4th in home runs and have the league’s 8th best team batting average. Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo have been the team’s top power threats, as Alonso’s 17 homers are the best on the team and 2nd in the league, while Nimmo is also 2nd on the team with 13 homers.
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have both been swinging the bat well of late, with Lindor going 12/37 in his last eight games and Alonso batting .300 over the same stretch. Mark Vientos has also been a strong power threat of late, going 4/27 in his last seven games, with four homers.
Washington closed out their series vs. the Rays with a 5-0 loss. Heading into the game, the Nationals were the +163 underdog on the money line. Things really got away from the Nationals in the 2nd inning, as the Rays scored three runs in the inning. Washington’s offense didn’t score their first run until the 4th.
Patrick Corbin got the start for the Nationals and took the loss. He went six innings, giving up four earned runs on eight hits. Corbin also issued three walks and hit a batter. Washington’s offense scored their only run on a double by Trea Turner. He also had a single and stole a base.
Washington is 39-44 overall and trail the Phillies by 15.5 games in the NL East. Heading into today’s game vs. the Mets, they are 4th in the division and have gone 14-10 in divisional games. The Nationals have struggled at home this year, going 17-19, and they are just above .500 at 22-25 on the road.
The Nationals dropped two of three in their series vs. the Rays and are just 3-7 across their last 10 games. So far, they have gone 8-7 as the favorite and 31-37 as the underdog. Washington’s overall series record is 11-14-1, and they have lost two straight series.
Washington is a team that has been a bit better than average in terms of run differential this season, as they have a run differential of -0.2 runs per game. They have been a good team to bet on the run line this season, as they are 48-35 on the run line. They have been even better on the run line on the road, going 28-19. They have been a good team to bet on the run line when they are the underdog, as they are 41-27 on the run line in those games.
The Washington Nationals are hosting the New York Mets today in a game with an over/under line of 8 runs. The combined run average for Nationals games this season is 8.4, and their over/under record is 38-42. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 5-6-1. So far this season, 59.0% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.
MacKenzie Gore Gets The Start For The Nationals
Washington is sending left-hander MacKenzie Gore to the mound today vs. the Mets. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 6-7 with a 3.60 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Gore has a WHIP of 1.39 and opponents are batting .256 this season. In his last outing, Gore took the loss, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One concerning trend for Gore is that he has allowed at least one homer in four straight outings. So far, he has given up seven homers at home and seven on the road.
Nationals Offense Breakdown
Washington’s offense has been one of the worst home run hitting teams in the league this season and is also near the bottom of the league in terms of slugging percentage and OPS. Overall, they are averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. However, they do come into the game with the 16th best batting average in the league at .235.
CJ Abrams has been on a tear of late, going 15/32 in his last nine games with two homers and six RBIs. For the season, he is batting .283 and leads the team with 42 RBIs. Abrams also has 13 homers, which is the best mark on the team and 13th in the league. Jesse Winker is 2nd on the team with nine homers and is batting .256 for the season.
Mets vs Nationals Prediction
Our predictions for this Nationals vs. Mets matchup is that the Nationals will pick up a 6-5 win at home. Given that you can get the Nationals on the money line at -107, this is the bet that we would recommend making.
Looking at the starting pitchers, MacKenzie Gore is projected to finish with the highest strikeout total among starters with six. As for David Peterson, we have him finishing with five strikeouts, which is the second-best projection among today’s starters.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 1, 2024 Mets, Nationals