The New York Mets (41-41) travel to face off against the Washington Nationals (39-45) on Tuesday, July 2nd. This game will be played at Nationals Park in Washington and televised on MASN. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Nationals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 5:45 CT.
Mets vs. Nationals Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Nationals (+117)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
- The Nationals have scored 7 or more runs in 6 of their last 15 games.
- The Nationals have a 5-2 record in their last 7 home games.
- The Nationals have won 3 of their last 4 home games against the Mets.
- The Nationals have outscored their opponents 38-24 in their last 6 home games.
- The Nationals have a higher home win percentage (.459) compared to the Mets’ away win percentage (.444).
Mets vs Nationals
New York rallied for six runs in the 10th inning in the most recent game of this Mets vs. Nationals series. The Mets scored two runs in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up three in the top of the 10th, picking up a 9-7 win. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -119 on the money line.
David Peterson started for the Mets and went 6 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs and striking out two. Jake Diekman got the win out of the bullpen, and Reed Garrett got the save. Hunter Harvey took the loss for the Nationals out of the bullpen.
Offensively, the Mets were led by J.D. Martinez, who homered and drove in three runs. Francisco Alvarez also had a two-hit game with three RBIs. Mark Vientos also scored three times and drove in a run while going 2/4.
Heading into today’s game, the Mets are at a .500 record of 41-41 and are 13 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. They have a 12-10 record against NL East teams this season. The Mets have a 20-16 road record and have covered the run line in two straight road games, bringing their road run line record to 22-14.
The over has hit in six straight Mets games, bringing their over/under record to 44-36 for the season. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their O/U record is 3-2-2. Mets games have gone over the total in 80.5% of games with totals below 9 runs.
Sean Manaea Gets The Start For The Mets
Left-hander Sean Manaea gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Nationals on the road. He has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 5-3 with a 3.89 ERA. Manaea’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.30. In his 15 appearances, he has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 8.96 strikeouts per nine innings. Manaea’s most recent outing came against the Yankees, where he picked up the win, going five innings and not allowing a run. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight outings.
Mets Offense Breakdown
Brandon Nimmo and Francisco Lindor have both been swinging the bat well of late, with Nimmo hitting .294 with four homers in his last nine games, and Lindor is batting .304 over his last 10 games. For the season, Nimmo and Lindor are both batting .247, with Nimmo leading the Mets with 50 RBIs and Lindor is 3rd on the team with 40 runs batted in.
As a team, the Mets are 6th in the league in runs per game at 4.9, and they have been even better on the road, averaging 5.8 runs per contest. Overall, they are 4th in home runs and are among the league leaders in on-base percentage and OPS.
Washington is 39-45 overall and 3-7 in their last 10 games, including two straight losses. They are in 4th place in the NL East, 16 games behind the Phillies. The Nationals’ series record this season is 11-14-1, and they have dropped two consecutive series.
Against the run line, the Nationals are 41-28 as underdogs, with an overall run line record of 48-36. Their average run margin is -0.2 runs per game, and they have a two-game run line losing streak at home and as favorites. When the over/under line is 9 runs, their O/U record is 2-5-1, and only 19% of their games have had totals of 9 runs or higher.
DJ Herz Gets The Start For The Nationals
Getting the start for the Nationals today is DJ Herz. Herz is coming off a loss in his last outing against the Padres, where he went 3 1/3 innings and gave up 4 runs. In his first start of the year, he was dominant, striking out 13 Marlins hitters in 6 innings of work.
Nationals Offense Breakdown
The Nationals offense has been one of the worst home run hitting teams in the league this season and are just 20th in the league in scoring at 4.1 runs per game. However, they do come into the game with a few hitters who have been swinging the bat well of late. CJ Abrams is hitting .284 for the season and has gone 4/13 in his last five games with a homer and two RBIs. Abrams is also on a three-game hitting streak. Joey Meneses has just a .233 batting average this season but does lead the team with 43 RBIs.
As a team, the Nationals are batting just .236, which is 16th in the league, and have a collective on-base percentage of just .304. Their team slugging percentage of .364 is also one of the worst marks in the league. Overall, they are 23rd in the league in OPS.
Mets vs Nationals Prediction
There is a lot of value in taking the Nationals on the money line at +117. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Nationals, meaning you could also look to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 9 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have DJ Herz finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the second-best among all starters today. As for Sean Manaea, he is projected to finish with five K’s, which is good for 14th.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 2, 2024 Mets, Nationals