The New York Mets (42-41) travel to face off against the Washington Nationals (39-46) on Wednesday, July 3rd. This game will be played at Nationals Park in Washington and televised on MASN. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Nationals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 5:45 CT.
Mets vs. Nationals Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Nationals (+112)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Nationals have scored 7 or more runs in 5 of their last 15 games, showing potential for high offensive output.
- In their last 15 games, the Nationals have a 5-3 record at home, indicating stronger performance when playing at home.
- Against the Mets in their last 15 games, the Nationals have scored an average of 4.5 runs per game, suggesting they can consistently put runs on the board against this opponent.
- The Nationals have won 3 out of their last 4 home games, demonstrating a recent trend of success at home.
- In their last 15 games, the Nationals have held their opponents to 3 runs or fewer in 6 games, indicating effective starting pitching and defense.
Mets vs Nationals
New York rallied for five runs in the 10th inning in the most recent game of this Mets vs. Nationals series. The Mets scored two runs in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up five in the top of the 10th, picking up a 7-2 win. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -145 on the money line.
Sean Manaea started for the Mets and picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued two walks. DJ Herz got the start for the Nationals, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up one run.
Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor each homered for the Mets, while Brandon Nimmo scored three times and drove in two runs while going 2/3. Mark Vientos also had a two-hit game at the plate.
Currently, the Mets are on a three-game winning streak and have a 42-41 overall record. They are 3rd in the NL East, 13 games behind the Phillies. In the NL East, the Mets have a 13-10 record. Their series record is 12-13-3, and they have won three straight series on the road.
For run line betting, the Mets have been more successful on the road with a 23-14 record. As underdogs, they are 24-15 against the run line. The Mets’ over/under record this season is 44-36, and when the O/U line is 8.5 runs, their record is 13-9. Today’s O/U line is set at 8.5 runs, with the Mets having an average of 9.7 runs per game.
Christian Scott Gets The Start For The Mets
Christian Scott will be making his 4th start of the season for the Mets, and it will be his 2nd road start. So far this year, Scott has yet to pick up a win, with a loss and two no-decisions. In his most recent start, he went 5 innings and gave up 2 earned runs on 4 hits.
Mets Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Mets are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.8 runs per contest. As a team, they are 4th in home runs and have a collective batting average of .251, which is 8th in the MLB. Pete Alonso has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/21 in his last five games with two homers.
Alonso’s 18 home runs are 9th in the league and the top mark on the team. He is also 2nd on the Mets with 48 RBIs. Brandon Nimmo has been the Mets’ top run producer so far, as his 52 RBIs are 11th in the league. This has come with 13 homers, which is 3rd on the team.
The Nationals need a win today to avoid a sweep, as they are down 0-2 in the series vs. the Mets. Washington has dropped three straight games and has a 2-8 record in their last 10. Overall, they are 39-46, placing them 4th in the NL East, 17 games behind the Phillies.
Washington has been a solid run line bet this season with a 48-37 record. Their games have averaged 8.5 runs, and their over/under record is 39-42. The Nationals’ run line record is 20-18 at home and 28-19 on the road. As underdogs, they are 31-39 straight up and 41-29 against the run line.
Mitchell Parker Gets The Start For The Nationals
Left-hander Mitchell Parker gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Mets at home. Parker has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 5-4 with a 3.32 ERA. In his last outing, he took the loss, going five innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Parker’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.12, and opponents are batting .229 off him this year. So far, he has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 7.21 strikeouts per nine innings.
Nationals Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Nationals offense has been one of the worst in the league in terms of home runs and are averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. As a team, they are batting just .235 and have a collective slugging percentage of .362, both of which are below the league average. However, they do have a few hitters who have been swinging the bat well of late, including CJ Abrams, who is 6/18 in his last six games and is batting .286 for the season.
Abrams also leads the Nationals with 43 RBIs and has gone deep 13 times this season, which is the best mark on the team and 14th in the league. Joey Meneses and Jesse Winker have also been driving in runs at a good rate, with each having 43 RBIs. Meneses is batting just .234 for the season, while Winker is at .257.
Mets vs Nationals Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Mets vs. Nationals game is to take the Nationals on the money line, with the payout sitting at +112. We actually have the Nationals winning this one 6-5, giving us some room to take the Nationals on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Mitchell Parker is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which would have him outside of the top 20 in terms of starters. As for Christian Scott, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which would have him right in the middle of the pack.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 3, 2024 Mets, Nationals