The New York Mets (42-42) travel to face off against the Washington Nationals (40-46) on Thursday, July 4th. This game will be played at Nationals Park in Washington and televised on MLBN. The Nationals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Nationals. First pitch is set for 10:05 CT.

Mets vs. Nationals Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Nationals (-105)
• Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs

• The Nationals have scored 7 or more runs in 5 of their last 15 games, indicating a strong offensive performance.
• In their last 15 games, the Nationals have a 4-2 record at home, showing a recent trend of home-field advantage.
• Against the Mets in their last home series, the Nationals scored 7 runs in one of the games, demonstrating their capability to score against this specific opponent.
• The Nationals have won 3 of their last 5 home games, reflecting a positive trend in recent home performance.
• In their last 15 games, the Nationals have won 3 out of 4 games when scoring 5 or more runs, highlighting the importance of their offensive output.

Mets vs Nationals

It was a high-scoring game in the most recent game of this Mets and Nationals series. New York had a late rally but still fell short with the Nationals winning 7-5 at home. Heading into the game, the Nationals were at +109 on the money line.

Both teams scored two runs in the first inning, and the Mets could only muster one more run until they scored two in the 9th. As for the Nationals, they scored three runs in the 6th and added two insurance runs in the 8th.

Mitchell Parker got the win for the Nationals, going six innings and giving up five runs. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued three walks. Jacob Barnes got the save.

Currently, the Mets are 42-42 overall and 14 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. They have a 13-11 record in divisional games. The Mets have won three straight series on the road and have a series record of 12-13-3.

On the run line, the Mets are 23-15 on the road and 40-44 overall. Their games have averaged 9.7 runs this season, resulting in an over/under record of 45-36. When the total is set at 9 runs, their O/U record is 4-2-3.

Jose Quintana Gets The Start For The Mets

Jose Quintana gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Nationals on the road. So far this season, he has made 16 starts and has a record of 3-5 with an ERA of 4.57. Quintana’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.37. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going four innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had picked up the win in two straight outings. Opponents are batting .259 off Quintana this season, and his ERA on the road is 7.24 compared to 3.9 at home.

Mets Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Mets are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 6th in the majors. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.8 runs per game. Overall, they are the league’s 4th best home run hitting team and are batting a collective .249. New York has been one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts this season.

Francisco Lindor and Mark Vientos have been two of the Mets’ hottest hitters of late, with Lindor batting .310 over his last nine games and Vientos hitting .343 with five homers in this stretch. Lindor is also on a three-game hitting streak. For the season, Lindor is batting .249 with 15 homers, while Pete Alonso leads the team with 18 homers but is batting just .244.

Washington has struggled as underdogs this season, posting a 32-39 record in those games. They are 8-7 as favorites and have a 49-37 run line record. The Nationals are 4th in the NL East with a 40-46 overall record, trailing the Phillies by 17 games.

For the season, Nationals games have averaged 8.5 runs, and their over/under record is 40-42. When the total has been set at 9 runs, their O/U record is 3-5-2. Today’s O/U line is 9 runs, with 18.6% of their games having a total of 9 runs or more.

Jake Irvin Gets The Start For The Nationals

Jake Irvin gets the start for the Nationals today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. In that outing, he picked up the win. Looking back over his last four outings, he has given up no more than one earned run in three of them. Irvin’s record for the season is 6-6, and his ERA is 3.03. Out of his 17 starts, he has 11 quality starts. Per nine innings, Irvin is averaging 7.9 strikeouts and just 2.11 walks.

Nationals Offense Breakdown

Over the Nationals’ last eight games, CJ Abrams has been on fire, going 9/24 with a homer and four RBIs. This has helped him take over the team lead in RBIs, as he is batting .283 for the season. Joey Meneses is also batting just .235 this season, but he has gone deep three times and is currently on a three-game hitting streak.

As a team, the Nationals are 19th in scoring at 4.2 runs per game. They have been a bit better at home, averaging 4.2 runs per game. Overall, they are batting just .235, which is 15th in the league. As a team, they are 21st in home runs and have the 21st ranked OPS in the league.

Mets vs Nationals Prediction

Our prediction for this Mets vs. Nationals game is to take the Nationals on the money line at -105. We have the Nationals winning this one by a score of 6-5. With the over/under sitting at 9 runs, there isn’t a lot of wiggle room on either side.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Jose Quintana is projected to finish with five strikeouts, and for Jake Irvin, we have him finishing with six. However, we have Quintana finishing with more strikeouts, as he has a better chance of picking up the win.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.