New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles MLB Prediction Prediction

MLB York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 7/14/2024

The New York Yankees (58-39) travel to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (57-38) on Sunday, July 14th. This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore and televised on None. The Yankees are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Orioles are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Yankees. First pitch is set for 10:35 CT.

Yankees vs. Orioles Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Orioles (-115)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 9.5 Runs
  • The Orioles have a higher home win percentage (29-22) compared to the Yankees’ away win percentage (33-20).
  • In the last 15 games, the Orioles have scored 6 or more runs in 4 games, showing potential for high offensive output.
  • The Orioles have won 3 out of their last 4 home games against the Yankees.
  • The Orioles have a better overall record against division opponents (19-9) compared to the Yankees (16-18).
  • The Orioles have a higher league rank (2nd) compared to the Yankees (3rd), indicating better overall performance this season.

Yankees vs Orioles

new york yankees nba

New York cruised to a 6-1 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a huge 1st inning, scoring four of their six runs. As for the Orioles, they scored their only run in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Yankees were at +119 on the money line.

Luis Gil pitched well for the Yankees in this one, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued one walk. Grayson Rodriguez struggled on the mound for the Orioles, giving up six runs in five innings of work.

Aaron Judge and Juan Soto each homered for the Yankees, while Austin Wells went 1/4 with three RBIs. Gleyber Torres also had a three-hit game at the plate.

Currently, the Yankees are tied with the Orioles for the AL East lead with a 58-39 record, having won two straight games. They lead the series against the Orioles 2-0 after winning the opener. New York’s overall series record is 17-9-3, and they are looking to snap a three-series losing streak.

On the road, the Yankees have a 33-20 record straight up and a 31-22 record against the run line. Their average run margin on the road is +1.4, better than their overall +1.1 run margin. The over/under line for today’s game is 9.5 runs, which is higher than their season average of 8.9 runs per game. This season, their O/U record when the line is set at 9.5 runs is 4-3, and their overall O/U record is 49-44.

Carlos Rodón Gets The Start For The Yankees

Carlos Rodón gets the start for the Yankees today as he faces the Orioles on the road. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 9-7 with a 4.63 ERA. Rodón’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.26. The left-hander has turned in 10 quality starts this year and is coming off a rough outing vs. the Rays, where he took the loss and gave up four earned runs in four innings of work. Rodón has lost each of his last three starts and has given up at least three earned runs in each outing.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

For the season, the Yankees are 2nd in the league in scoring at 5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. New York’s offense has been led by Aaron Judge and Juan Soto, who are both hitting over .300 and have combined for 57 home runs. Judge’s 85 RBIs are the best in the league, and Soto is 5th with 66.

Judge and Soto have also been swinging the bat well of late, with Judge going 5/16 in his last five games with two homers and Soto going 8/21 with two homers. Giancarlo Stanton is also on a 10-game hitting streak for the Yankees.

As the favorite, the Orioles are 46-31 straight up, but their run line record is 38-39. When they are the underdog, they have a 13-5 run line record. The under has hit in 96.8% of Baltimore’s games this season, including their last four games.

Overall, the Orioles are 57-38 and lead the AL East by one game over the Yankees. They have lost five straight games and trail the Yankees 2-0 in their current series. Baltimore’s series record this season is 19-7-3, and they have won two straight series on the road.

Dean Kremer Gets The Start For The Orioles

Dean Kremer gets the start for the Orioles today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Cubs. In that start, which came on July 9th, he took the loss after giving up five earned runs in four innings of work. Looking back further, Kremer has given up at least three earned runs in each of his last three starts. Kremer’s ERA for the season is 4.42, along with a record of 4-5. Opponents are batting .212 off the right-hander this season. So far, he has made 11 starts, three of which were quality starts.

Orioles Offense Breakdown

baltimore orioles

So far this season, the Orioles have been the best home run hitting team in the league, and they have also been one of the top scoring teams in the league, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Not only are they the top home run hitting team in the league, but they also lead the MLB in isolated power. As a team, they are batting .253, which is the 6th best mark in the league.

Gunnar Henderson has been the Orioles’ top hitter this season, batting .288 with a team-leading 27 home runs and 61 RBIs. He has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/42 over his last 10 games. Anthony Santander is 2nd on the team with 23 homers, but he is batting just .234 for the season. Santander and Ryan Mountcastle come into the game on four-game hitting streaks.

Yankees vs Orioles Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Yankees vs. Orioles game is to take the Orioles on the money line at -115. We have the Orioles winning this one by a score of 6-5, and with the payout of -115, we feel this is the best way to play this one.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Dean Kremer going 7 innings for the Orioles and Carlos Rodón going 4 innings for the Yankees. In terms of strikeouts, Rodón is projected to finish with eight, while Kremer is predicted to finish with five.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.