The New York Yankees (53-31) travel to face off against the Toronto Blue Jays (37-44) on Saturday, June 29th. This game will be played at Rogers Centre in Toronto and televised on SNET. The Yankees are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Blue Jays are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Yankees. First pitch is set for 2:07 CT.
Yankees vs Blue Jays
New York cruised to a 16-5 win over the Blue Jays in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a huge 6th inning, scoring six of their sixteen runs. As for the Blue Jays, they scored their final run in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Yankees were favored at -109.
Marcus Stroman got the start for the Yankees, going just 4 1/3 innings while giving up three runs and striking out three. Michael Tonkin came out of the bullpen for the win. Yusei Kikuchi had a rough outing for the Blue Jays, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work.
Juan Soto and Gleyber Torres each homered for the Yankees, while Aaron Judge went 3/5 with three runs scored. Jahmai Jones also had a good game at the plate, going 3/5 with two RBIs.
The Yankees are 53-31 overall this season, and they are tied with the Orioles for the AL East lead. New York is 2nd in the AL East, and they have gone 11-13 in divisional games this year. The Yankees have gone 24-14 at home compared to 29-17 on the road.
So far, the Yankees have really thrived as the favorite, going 41-25 this year. As the underdog, they are 12-6, and their overall series record is 17-6-2. However, the Yankees have dropped four straight series, and they have lost three straight series at home. New York is just 3-7 over their last 10 games.
When the Yankees win, they tend to win big, with an average run margin of 3.9 runs in those games. Their run line record is 47-37 overall, and they are 27-19 against the run line on the road. They have been an underdog in 18 games and have covered the run line in 14 of those contests.
The Yankees are on the road in Toronto tonight, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Yankees games this season is 8.9 runs, and their over/under record for the season is 43-39. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 22-14. Overall, 22.6% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher. Their over streak is currently at four games.
Nestor Cortes Gets The Start For The Yankees
New York is sending left-hander Nestor Cortes to the mound today vs. the Blue Jays. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 4-6 with an ERA of 3.40. Cortes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.07. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in seven innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Cortes has allowed at least one homer in each of his last three outings. Looking at his numbers, he has a record of 0-3 on the road with a 5.82 ERA compared to 4-3 at home with a 1.92 ERA.
Yankees Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. New York is also 2nd in home runs this season and lead the league in walks. As a team, they are batting .250, which is 9th in the league.
Aaron Judge has been the league’s best power hitter this season, as his 30 home runs are the most in the MLB. He is also 1st in the league with 79 RBIs. Judge has been hot of late, going 9/22 in his last six games, with three homers and 12 RBIs. Giancarlo Stanton comes into the game on a 10-game hitting streak.
Toronto is 37-44 overall, putting them 5th in the AL East, 14.5 games behind the Orioles for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 11-15 in AL East matchups. The Blue Jays have dropped eight of their last ten games and are 1-7 as home underdogs this year.
At home, the Blue Jays are 19-20 this year compared to 18-24 on the road. As the favorite, Toronto is 29-20 this year, and the are 8-24 as the underdog. Toronto’s overall series record is 8-12-5, and they will be looking to pick up a series win today with the Yankees.
When the Blue Jays win, they’re winning by an average of 3.3 runs per game. When they lose, they’re losing by an average of 3.9 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 38-43, with a run line record of 14-25 at home and 24-18 on the road. As the favorite, they’re 23-26 against the run line, and as the underdog, they’re 15-17.
The Blue Jays have been hitting the over frequently this season, with a 37-41 O/U record. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game, and the O/U line for today’s game is set at 8.5. Toronto has hit the over in 11 of 26 games when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, and their current O/U streak is at five games.
Chris Bassitt Gets The Start For The Blue Jays
Toronto is sending Chris Bassitt to the mound today vs. the Yankees, and he comes into the game with a record of 6-6 and an ERA of 3.45. Bassitt has made 16 starts this year and has pitched well, with a batting average allowed of .253. In his 16 appearances, he has turned in eight quality starts. Bassitt’s last outing came vs. the Red Sox, where he went seven innings, giving up two earned runs, and finished with a no-decision. He has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings.
Blue Jays Offense Breakdown
Over the past eight games, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been on a tear for the Blue Jays, going 14/37 with five home runs and 14 RBIs. This has helped him take over the team lead in homers and RBIs. Daulton Varsho is also near the top of the Blue Jays’ home run leaderboard, but he is batting just .200 for the season.
As a team, the Blue Jays are just 24th in the league in scoring, averaging four runs per game. This is a result of their team batting average of just .235 (18th) and on-base percentage of .312 (11th). Overall, they are 21st in home runs and have the 3rd fewest strikeouts in the league.
Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction
With the Blue Jays at +105 to win this one straight up, that’s the direction we recommend going. We actually have the Blue Jays taking this one 6-5, which would put you in a good spot if you wanted to take the over, as the line is sitting at 8.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Chris Bassitt is actually the best value to pick up a win today, and we have him finishing with five strikeouts. As for Nestor Cortes, his strikeout projection is also five, and we have him going six innings.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 29, 2024 Blue Jays, Yankees