New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Prediction

MLB York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 6/30/2024

The New York Yankees (53-32) travel to face off against the Toronto Blue Jays (38-44) on Sunday, June 30th. This game will be played at Rogers Centre in Toronto and televised on SNET. The Blue Jays are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Yankees are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Blue Jays. First pitch is set for 12:37 CT.

Yankees vs Blue Jays

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Toronto cruised to a 9-3 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Blue Jays had a huge 6th inning, scoring five of their nine runs. As for the Yankees, they scored their only two runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Blue Jays were at +107 on the money line.

Chris Bassitt pitched well for the Blue Jays in this one, going six innings and striking out eight without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Nestor Cortes had a rough outing for the Yankees, taking the loss.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hit the game’s only home run while going 3/5 with six RBIs. Isiah Kiner-Falefa also had a four-hit game for Toronto. As for the Yankees, Austin Wells went 2/4 with a homer.

The Yankees are 53-32 overall this season, putting them just one game behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. New York is 2-8 over their last 10 games and have lost three straight series. So far, they are 11-14 in AL East matchups.

At home, the Yankees have gone 24-14 this season, and they have been really good on the road, coming in with a mark of 29-18. As the favorite, the Yankees are 41-26 this year, and they are 12-6 as the underdog.

When betting on the Yankees, it’s been profitable to take the run line, as they have covered it in 47 of 85 games. They have been especially good at covering the run line on the road, going 27-20. When they win, they do so by an average of 3.9 runs, while their losses have come by an average of 3.6 runs.

The New York Yankees are on the road in Toronto tonight, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, and they have a 44-39 over/under record. When the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 6-8. Overall, 64.7% of their games have had higher lines than 8 runs, and they are currently on a 5-game over streak.

Gerrit Cole Gets The Start For The Yankees

Gerrit Cole and the Yankees are on the road to take on the Blue Jays. Cole is coming off a start against the Mets in which he took the loss, going 4 innings and giving up 6 runs. He did have 7 strikeouts in that outing, but he also gave up 4 home runs. In his first start of the season, he went 4 innings and gave up 2 runs on 3 hits.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

Yankees outfielder Aaron Judge is leading the MLB in both home runs and RBIs this season, with 30 and 80, respectively. He is also batting an impressive .313 for the season. Judge has been even hotter of late, going 10/21 in his last six games, with two homers and 10 RBIs. Juan Soto is also near the top of the league in home runs, as his 20 homers are 6th best in the MLB. He is batting .302 for the season but has gone just 4/16 in his last five games.

Currently, the Yankees are 3rd in scoring, averaging 5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. As a team, the Yankees are the league’s top home run-hitting team and also lead the league in walks. So far, they have been a good on-base team, with a team OBP of .331.

The Blue Jays are 38-44 overall and trail the Orioles by 14.5 games in the AL East. So far, they are 12-15 in divisional games. Toronto has taken two of three games in this series vs. the Yankees and will be the home team today. The Blue Jays are just 20-20 at home this year and 18-24 on the road.

As the favorite, the Blue Jays have gone 29-20 this year and just 9-24 as the underdog. When playing at home as the underdog, they are 2-7 this year. Toronto’s overall series record is 8-12-5, and they are just 3-7 in their last ten games overall.

When the Blue Jays win, they win big, with an average run margin of +3.4 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose by an average of -3.9 runs per game. Their run line record is 39-43, with a -0.5 run differential per game. Toronto is 15-25 against the run line at home, while they are 24-18 on the road.

When the Toronto Blue Jays are at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 38-41 overall. When the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 12-10-1. Toronto has played 35 games with over/under lines set above 8 runs, which accounts for 42.7% of their games. They have played 24 games with over/under lines set below 8 runs, which accounts for 29.3% of their games. The over has hit in their last six games.

Kevin Gausman Gets The Start For The Blue Jays

Kevin Gausman has made 16 starts this year and has a record of 6-6 with an ERA of 4.26. His WHIP for the season is 1.27. In his last outing, Gausman gave up three earned runs in six innings of work. He picked up the win in that start vs. the Red Sox. Before that, he had taken the loss in two straight outings. Gausman has given up at least one homer in three straight starts. This year, he has allowed a total of 13 homers. Gausman has a batting average allowed of .252 this season.

Blue Jays Offense Breakdown

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Over the past seven games, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been on fire for the Blue Jays, going 14/33 with five homers and 19 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .296 with a team-high 13 homers and 50 RBIs. Daulton Varsho is also near the top of the Blue Jays’ home run and RBI leaderboards, but he is batting just .202 this season.

As a team, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They are also just 19th in home runs and have the league’s 15th best batting average. Overall, they are 8th in walks and 3rd in strikeouts.

Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction

With the Blue Jays being the underdogs in this one, we really like their payout at +104. We have the Blue Jays winning this one by a score of 6-5, and with the over/under sitting at 8 runs, there’s not a lot of wiggle room there.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Gerrit Cole does have a better chance of picking up a win than Kevin Gausman. However, we have Gausman finishing with more strikeouts and Cole giving up more earned runs.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.