Dallas Mavericks vs Milwaukee Bucks NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Dallas Mavericks vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction 3/5/2025

The Dallas Mavericks (32-30) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Bucks (35-25) on Wednesday, March 5th. This game will be played at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee and televised on FDSW. The Bucks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mavericks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mavericks. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Mavericks vs Bucks

dallas mavericks nba

The Mavericks Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Dallas dropped to 32-30 on the season after a 122-98 loss to the Kings on Monday. The Mavericks were +2 point underdogs at home and failed to cover the spread, losing by 24 points. The game’s total of 220 points fell short of the 231.5-point O/U line.

The Kings took control with a 16-0 run, turning a 65-54 deficit into a 70-65 lead. They outscored Dallas 34-16 in the 3rd quarter, and while the Mavericks won the 4th quarter 32-28, it was too late to mount a comeback.

The Bucks Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Milwaukee improved to 35-25 on the season with a 127-121 road win over the Hawks on Tuesday. The Bucks, who were favored by five points, covered the spread with the win. The combined score of 248 points went over the pre-game total of 244.

Atlanta went on a 10-0 run early, but Milwaukee responded by outscoring the Hawks 35-26 in the 4th quarter to close out the game strong.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

In their 122-98 loss to the Kings, the Mavericks struggled offensively, managing just 98 points. They shot 45.5% from the field and hit only 7 threes, connecting at a rate of 26.9% from beyond the arc.

Kai Jones led the way for Dallas with 21 points and 8 rebounds, shooting 90% from the field. Naji Marshall added 18 points and 6 assists, scoring 8 of his points in the 3rd quarter.

Bucks Offense Breakdown

milwaukee bucks

In their win over the Hawks, the Bucks shot 51% from the field, but struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 29.7% of their threes, making 11 in total. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the way with 26 points, 12 rebounds, and 10 assists, shooting 50% from the field. Damian Lillard added 23 points, though he connected on only 20% of his three-point attempts, making 2 threes.

Kyle Kuzma contributed 17 points, shooting 70% from the field. Kevin Porter scored 12 of his 15 points in the 4th quarter, while Lillard added 5 points in the final period. Giannis scored 9 points in the 2nd quarter, and Lillard had 12 points in the 1st.

Mavericks Team Defense

Defensively, the Mavericks struggled against the Kings, giving up 122 points on 52% shooting. Dallas allowed 27 points in the 1st quarter, 33 in the 2nd, 34 in the 3rd, and 28 in the 4th.

The Mavericks also had trouble defending the three, with the Kings hitting 16 threes at a 47% rate. Dallas sent Sacramento to the line 12 times, with the Kings making all their free throws. The Mavericks finished with 5 steals and 1 block.

Bucks Team Defense

The Mavericks struggled defensively against the Kings, giving up 122 points on 52% shooting. Dallas allowed 27 points in the 1st quarter, 33 in the 2nd, 34 in the 3rd, and 28 in the 4th.

From beyond the arc, the Kings hit 16 threes at a 47% clip. The Mavericks sent Sacramento to the line 12 times, where they made all their free throws. Dallas finished with 30 defensive rebounds, allowing 9 offensive boards, while adding 5 steals and 1 block.

Mavericks vs Bucks Trends

  • In their last three road games, Dallas has averaged 109 points per game while allowing 117. The team’s record in this stretch was 1-2 while going 2-1.
  • The Bucks are 2-1 ATS in their last three home games and 2-1 straight-up.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Mavericks have gone 6-4 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 3-7.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Bucks have a straight up record of 6-4. Their record vs the spread in these games was 4-6.

Mavericks vs Bucks Prediction

Not only do we have the Bucks winning this one by a score of 131-63, but we see them covering the spread. Our pick is to grab the Bucks at -10.5.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 225.5, and our model predicts the Mavericks and Bucks to score a combined 194 points. We recommend betting on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.