Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction 2/23/2025

The Dallas Mavericks (31-26) travel to face off against the Golden State Warriors (29-27) on Sunday, February 23rd. This game will be played at Chase Center in San Francisco and televised on ABC. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 3:30 ET.

Mavericks vs Warriors

dallas mavericks nba

The Mavericks Are Coming Off A Win

On Friday, the Mavericks improved to 31-26 with a 111-103 home win over the Pelicans. Dallas, favored by 5.5 points, covered the spread, while the game’s total of 214 points fell well short of the 235.5 O/U line.

Dallas jumped out to a 32-22 lead after the 1st quarter, but the Pelicans responded with a 12-0 run, taking the score from 37-27 to 49-27. The Mavericks regained control by edging New Orleans 30-29 in the 3rd quarter and closing out the game by winning the 4th quarter 25-21.

The Warriors Are Coming Off A Win

The Warriors improved to 29-27 on the season with a 132-108 road win over the Kings on Friday. Golden State, favored by 2 points, covered the spread with the victory. The game’s total of 240 points narrowly exceeded the over/under line of 237.

Golden State took control with a 37-25 second quarter and pulled away after an 11-0 run brought them within a point. They outscored the Kings 32-25 in the final quarter to seal the win.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

Kyrie Irving led the Mavericks to a win over the Pelicans with 35 points, hitting 5 threes at 41.7% efficiency. P.J. Washington added 24 points, scoring 10 in both the 1st and 2nd quarters, and Max Christie contributed 16 points, shooting 85.7% from the field.

Dallas made 16 threes, shooting 36.4% from deep and 43% overall. Irving scored 13 points in the 3rd quarter, while Naji Marshall added 7 of his 15 points in the 4th.

Warriors Offense Breakdown

golden state warriors

The Warriors shot 53.8% from the field and knocked down 20 threes at a 46.5% clip in their win over the Kings. Moses Moody and Buddy Hield each hit 5 threes, finishing with 22 points apiece.

Brandin Podziemski added 21 points, while Stephen Curry contributed 20. Podziemski scored 8 points in the 3rd quarter, and Hield had 10 in the 1st.

Mavericks Team Defense

The Mavericks’ defense was strong on Friday, holding the Pelicans to 103 points and just 21 in the 4th quarter. Dallas limited New Orleans to 41% shooting from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Mavericks were even better, allowing only 8 threes on 29% shooting. They also recorded 8 steals and 4 blocks in the game.

Warriors Team Defense

The Mavericks’ defense shined in their win over the Pelicans, holding them to 103 points on 41% shooting. They were particularly strong in the 1st and 4th quarters, where they allowed just 22 and 21 points, respectively.

Dallas did a great job defending the three-point line, as New Orleans made only 8 threes on 29% shooting. The Mavericks also came up with 8 steals and 4 blocks in the game.

Mavericks vs Warriors Trends

  • In their last five games away from home, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 2-2-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 116 points per game in these contests.
  • When looking at their past three matchups at home, Golden State has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 114 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Mavericks have a strong straight up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 3-0 in these scenarios.
  • As the betting favorite, the Warriors have an ATS record of 2-1 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 2-1.

Mavericks vs Warriors Prediction

For a point-spread wager in this Warriors vs. Mavericks game, we suggest taking the Mavericks at +8. Even though our predictions have the Warriors winning 109-105, we see the Mavericks as the better choice on the point-spread.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 228, and our model projects the Mavericks and Warriors to reach a combined total of 214 points. Our bet is on taking the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.