The Miami Heat (21-21) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Bucks (24-17) on Thursday, January 23rd. This game will be played at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee and televised on TNT. The Bucks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Heat are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Heat. Tip-off is set for 7:30 ET.
Heat vs Bucks
The Heat Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
Miami fell to 21-21 on the season after a 116-107 home loss to Portland on Tuesday. The Heat, favored by nine points, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The game’s total score of 223 points went over the 218.5-point line.
Miami went on an 11-0 run early, but a poor 2nd and 3rd quarter saw them outscored 63-39. They entered the 4th quarter down 97-77 but made a push by winning the final period 30-19.
The Bucks Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
Milwaukee improved to 24-17 on the season with a 123-109 win over the 76ers on Sunday. The Bucks were favored by 13 points at home and covered the spread, while the game’s total of 232 points went over the 226-point line.
After the 76ers went on a 10-0 run early, Milwaukee responded by winning the 1st quarter 30-21. The teams played evenly in the 2nd and 3rd quarters, with both scoring 29 and 31 points, respectively. Heading into the 4th with a 90-81 lead, the Bucks outscored the 76ers 33-28 to close out the game.
Heat Offense Breakdown
Duncan Robinson hit 6 threes and led the Heat with 22 points in their 116-107 loss to the Trail Blazers, shooting 50% from deep. Kel’el Ware contributed 20 points and 15 rebounds, while Jimmy Butler added 13 points and 8 assists.
As a team, the Heat made 14 threes, but shot just 33.3% from beyond the arc and 44.1% overall. Robinson scored 11 points in the 1st quarter, while Pelle Larsson added 9 of his 11 points in the 4th.
Bucks Offense Breakdown
Giannis Antetokounmpo dominated in the Bucks’ 123-109 win over the 76ers, scoring 34 points with 15 rebounds and 6 assists, shooting 76.5% from the field. Damian Lillard added 25 points, hitting 4 threes, and Khris Middleton chipped in 13 points and 8 assists.
Antetokounmpo scored 12 points in the 1st quarter and 10 in the 3rd, while Lillard poured in 16 points in the 4th. The Bucks hit 14 threes at a 37.8% rate, shooting 49.4% overall from the field.
Heat Team Defense
Defensively, the Heat struggled in the 1st and 3rd quarters, giving up 34 and 36 points, respectively, in their 116-107 loss to the Trail Blazers. However, they tightened up in the 4th quarter, allowing just 19 points. Overall, Miami allowed Portland to shoot 49% from the field.
From beyond the arc, the Heat held the Trail Blazers to 34% shooting, with Portland hitting 15 threes. Miami also sent Portland to the line 23 times, where they made 15 free throws. The Heat finished with 33 defensive rebounds, while allowing 11 offensive boards, and recorded 2 steals and 3 blocks.
Bucks Team Defense
The Heat struggled defensively in the 1st and 3rd quarters, giving up 34 and 36 points, respectively, in their 116-107 loss to the Trail Blazers. However, they tightened up in the 4th, allowing just 19 points. Overall, Miami allowed Portland to shoot 49% from the field.
From beyond the arc, the Heat held the Trail Blazers to 34% shooting, with Portland making 15 threes. Miami also sent Portland to the free-throw line 23 times, where they made 15. The Heat finished with 33 defensive rebounds, allowed 11 offensive boards, and recorded 2 steals and 3 blocks.
Heat vs Bucks Trends
- In their last three games away from home, the Heat have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 108 points per game in these contests.
- In their last ten games at home, the Bucks have a straight up record of 6-4 while going 5-5 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 113 points per game in these contests.
- Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Heat have gone 1-4 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-4.
- Milwaukee has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS in their last three games.
Heat vs Bucks Prediction
We’re calling a win for the Bucks, with a final score of 140-112, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Bucks at -7.
As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 223.5 and our model has the Heat and Bucks finishing with a combined 252 points. Our pick is to take the over.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:January 23, 2025 Bucks, Heat