The Miami Heat (33-41) travel to face off against the Washington Wizards (16-58) on Monday, March 31st. This game will be played at Capital One Arena in Washington and televised on MNMT. The Heat are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Wizards are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Wizards. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.
Heat vs Wizards
The Heat Are Coming Off A Win
Miami improved to 33-41 on the season with a 118-95 win over the 76ers on Saturday. The Heat, who were -8 point favorites, covered the spread with the win. The total score of 213 points was just under the O/U line of 215.
Miami took control early, leading 34-29 after the 1st quarter and extending their lead by outscoring the 76ers 28-24 in the 2nd quarter. A 10-0 run by the Heat pushed the score from 90-75 to 100-85, and they closed out the game by winning the 4th quarter 22-20.
The Wizards Are Coming Off A Win
The Wizards’ season record dropped to 16-58 after a 115-112 home loss to the Nets on Saturday. Washington, favored by 2 points, failed to cover the spread. The game’s total score of 227 points exceeded the O/U line of 222.5 by 4.5 points.
Washington led 59-51 at halftime but couldn’t hold on, as the Nets outscored them 31-26 in the 3rd quarter and 33-27 in the 4th.
Heat Offense Breakdown
In their win over the 76ers, the Heat connected on 20 threes, shooting 46.5% from beyond the arc. Tyler Herro led the way with 30 points, hitting 5 threes at 55.6%, while Alec Burks added 6 threes, finishing with 20 points.
Herro scored 10 points in the 1st quarter and added 8 more in the 4th. Burks had 12 of his points in the 3rd, and Bam Adebayo also added 9 of his 16 points in that quarter.
Wizards Offense Breakdown
In their 115-112 loss to the Nets, the Wizards struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 9 threes at a 26.5% rate. Overall, they shot 43.5% from the field.
AJ Johnson and Colby Jones led the Wizards with 20 points each. Johnson scored 14 of his points in the 4th quarter, while Jones added 7 in the final period.
Heat Team Defense
Despite giving up 29 points in the 1st quarter, the Heat’s defense tightened up, allowing just 24 in the 2nd, 22 in the 3rd, and 20 in the 4th, holding the 76ers to 95 points. Miami’s defense was effective, even with Philadelphia shooting 50% from the field.
The Heat allowed 13 threes on 40% shooting but limited the 76ers’ trips to the free-throw line, where they went 6/14. Miami also controlled the boards, giving up just 6 offensive rebounds, and added 12 steals and 4 blocks.
Wizards Team Defense
Despite allowing 29 points in the 1st quarter, the Heat tightened up defensively, giving up just 24 points in the 2nd, 22 in the 3rd, and 20 in the 4th, holding the 76ers to 95 points. Miami sent Philadelphia to the line 14 times, where they converted only 6 free throws.
The Heat allowed the 76ers to shoot 50% from the field, including 40% from deep, with 13 made threes. Miami grabbed 31 defensive rebounds, allowing 6 offensive boards, and recorded 12 steals and 4 blocks.
Heat vs Wizards Trends
- Although Miami has a straight up record of 1-2 in their last three road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 1-2. The team averaged 101 points per game in these games.
- Through their last ten home contests, the Wizards offense has averaged 110 points per game while allowing an average of 118. Washington posted an overall record of 4-6 while going 4-6 ATS.
- Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Washington has an ATS mark of 3-7 while going 3-7 straight up.
- Through their last five games as the favorite, the Heat have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 3-2.
Heat vs Wizards Prediction
We’re calling a win for the Heat, with a final score of 98-75, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Heat at -9.
As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 220.5, and our model projects the Heat and Wizards to reach a combined total of 173 points. Our bet is on taking the under.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:April 1, 2025 Heat, Wizards