Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat Prediction 3/7/2025

The Minnesota Timberwolves (35-29) travel to face off against the Miami Heat (29-32) on Friday, March 7th. This game will be played at Kaseya Center in Miami and televised on FDSS. The Timberwolves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Heat are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Heat. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Timberwolves vs Heat

minnesota timberwolves nba

The Timberwolves Are Coming Off A Win

The Timberwolves improved to 35-29 with a 125-110 win over the Hornets on Wednesday. Minnesota, favored by 9 points, covered the spread with a 15-point victory. The game’s total of 235 points went over the line of 226.5.

A 10-0 run helped the Timberwolves take control early, turning a 29-22 deficit into a 32-29 lead. They led 39-28 after the 1st quarter. Charlotte won the 2nd quarter 30-26, but Minnesota responded by outscoring them 32-25 in the 3rd. Heading into the 4th with a 97-83 lead, the Timberwolves edged the Hornets 28-27 in the final quarter.

The Heat Are Coming Off A Win

Miami’s record fell to 29-32 after a 112-107 loss to the Cavaliers on Wednesday. The Heat, who were +13.5 point underdogs, managed to keep the game closer than expected. The total points for the game were 219, just under the 219.5-point line.

Miami started strong, going on a 10-0 run early, but Cleveland responded and led 36-32 after the 1st quarter. The teams played evenly in the 2nd and 3rd quarters, with both scoring 27 and 23 points, respectively. Miami entered the 4th quarter down 86-82 and was outscored 26-25 in the final period.

Timberwolves Offense Breakdown

In their win over the Hornets, the Timberwolves connected on 21 threes, shooting 42.9% from deep and 48.9% overall from the field. Jaden McDaniels and Anthony Edwards each scored 29 points, with Edwards hitting 6 threes at a 46.2% rate.

McDaniels added 10 rebounds, while Julius Randle contributed 25 points, 10 boards, and 9 assists. Donte DiVincenzo scored 11 of his 16 points in the 4th quarter, and Naz Reid added 12 of his 13 points in the opening period.

Heat Offense Breakdown

miami heat

Bam Adebayo led the Heat with 34 points, 12 rebounds, and 5 assists in their 112-107 loss to the Cavaliers, shooting 61.1% from the field and hitting 3 threes at a 60% clip. Duncan Robinson added 14 points, connecting on 4 threes at 50%, while Haywood Highsmith contributed 13 points, shooting 55.6%.

Miami made 13 threes at 36.1%, with an overall field goal percentage of 43.4%. Adebayo scored 12 points in the 4th quarter, adding to his 10 in the 1st, while Robinson chipped in 5 points in the final period. Highsmith also added 6 points in the 4th.

Timberwolves Team Defense

The Timberwolves held the Hornets to 110 points on Wednesday, giving up 28 points in the 1st quarter and 30 in the 2nd. They tightened up in the 3rd, allowing just 25 points, and finished strong in the 4th, giving up 27.

Defensively, Minnesota limited Charlotte to 44% shooting and just 12 made threes on 28% from beyond the arc. The Hornets went 14/18 from the free-throw line. The Timberwolves recorded 9 steals and 3 blocks in the game.

Heat Team Defense

Defensively, the Timberwolves held the Hornets to 110 points on Wednesday, giving up 28 points in the 1st quarter and 30 in the 2nd. They tightened up in the 3rd, allowing just 25 points, and finished strong in the 4th, giving up 27 points.

Minnesota limited Charlotte to 44% shooting, including just 28% from three-point range, where the Hornets made 12 threes. The Timberwolves also sent the Hornets to the line 18 times, where they hit 14 free throws. Defensively, Minnesota recorded 9 steals and 3 blocks.

Timberwolves vs Heat Trends

  • Across their last five road contests, Minnesota has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-2. Their overall mark in these games was 3-2, while averaging 118 points per game.
  • When looking at their past three home matchups, Miami has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 102 per game. The team went 0-3 overall in these games.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Miami has an ATS mark of 3-2 while going 1-4 straight up.
  • The Timberwolves have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 3-0 straight up and 3-0 against the spread.

Timberwolves vs Heat Prediction

The Timberwolves is our selection to secure the victory, with a projected score of 129-124. We also like them to cover the spread, so we suggest betting on the Timberwolves at -4.5.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 216, and our model projects the Timberwolves and Heat to reach a combined total of 253 points. Our bet is on taking the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.