Arizona State Sun Devils vs Texas State Bobcats NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Arizona State Sun vs Texas State Prediction 9/12/2024

The Arizona State Sun Devils (2-0) face off against the Texas State Bobcats (2-0) on Thursday, September 12th. This game will be played at UFCU Stadium in San Marcos and televised on ESPN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 7:30 ET.

Arizona State Sun Devils vs Texas State Bobcats

 

Arizona State Offense Breakdown

Arizona State’s offense was powered by their ground game in their 30-23 win, with the team rushing for 359 yards and two touchdowns. The Sun Devils picked up 26 first downs and finished with 428 total yards. Their passing game, however, was limited to just 69 yards, with Sam Leavitt completing 10 of 20 passes. Leavitt did not throw any touchdowns or interceptions and ended the game with a passer rating of 58.12.

Cam Skattebo was the standout performer for Arizona State, rushing for 262 yards on 33 carries. He also led the team in receiving with three catches for 35 yards.

Texas State Offense Breakdown

Quarterback Jordan McCloud orchestrated an explosive Texas State offense, throwing for 309 yards and two touchdowns while completing 66.7% of his passes. The Bobcats’ offense was balanced, with 202 rushing yards and 309 passing yards, totaling 511 yards of offense. McCloud’s passer rating for the game was 114.58.

Lincoln Pare led the ground game with 109 yards on 11 carries, averaging 9.9 yards per attempt, and scoring two rushing touchdowns. The receiving corps was led by Chris Dawn Jr., who hauled in five catches for 150 yards and two touchdowns.

Arizona State Team Defense

Arizona State’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed just 30 rushing yards on 26 attempts. However, they did give up 268 passing yards and two touchdowns to Mississippi State. The Sun Devils’ defense allowed a total of 298 yards in the game, but they were able to come out on top, with a final score of 30-23.

Arizona State Team Defense

In their 49-10 win over UTSA, Texas State’s defense allowed just 82 rushing yards on 30 attempts. UTSA was forced to rely heavily on their passing game, throwing the ball 50 times. The Bobcats’ secondary held up well, limiting UTSA to 252 passing yards and one touchdown while picking off one pass. Overall, Texas State gave up 334 total yards and 16 first downs.

Arizona State vs Texas State Trends

  • Through their last ten road contests, the Arizona State Sun Devils offense has averaged 19 points per game while allowing an average of 29. Arizona State posted an overall record of 2-8 while going 6-4 ATS.
  • Through their last three home games, Texas State has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 33 points per game.
  • Going back to their last three games as the underdog, the Texas State Bobcats have a straight up record of 1-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-2.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Arizona State Sun Devils have gone 5-5 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 8-2.

Sun Devils vs Bobcats Prediction

Our projections have Texas State winning this matchup 35-28, and with Arizona State coming in as -1.5 point favorites, we see a lot of value in taking the Bobcats to win straight-up. For this week three college football matchup, we like Texas State as the home underdog.

With the over/under line sitting at 58.5 points, our model is projecting 63 combined points, making the over the best play for the total.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.