Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Michigan Wolverines NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Arkansas State Red vs Michigan Prediction 9/14/2024

The Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-0) face off against the Michigan Wolverines (1-1) on Saturday, September 14th. This game will be played at Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor and televised on BTN. Arkansas State is coming off a win in their previous game, while Michigan is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Texas. Kickoff is set for 12:00 ET.

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Michigan Wolverines

 

Arkansas State Offense Breakdown

Arkansas State’s offense, led by quarterback Jaylen Raynor, put up 405 yards of total offense in their 28-24 win over Tulsa. Raynor threw for 255 yards and two touchdowns, completing 65.6% of his passes. His top target, Reagan Ealy, caught six passes for 68 yards.

The Red Wolves’ offense moved the chains 24 times, with 150 rushing yards and a touchdown on the ground. Zak Wallace led the rushing attack with 78 yards on 16 carries.

Michigan Offense Breakdown

Michigan’s offense, led by quarterback Davis Warren, finished with 286 total yards in their 31-12 loss to Texas. Warren completed 22 of 33 passes for 204 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions. Colston Loveland was his top target, hauling in eight passes for 70 yards.

The Wolverines’ ground game was limited to 82 yards on 22 carries, with Donovan Edwards leading the way with 41 yards on eight attempts. Michigan’s lone touchdown came through the air, but the offense struggled to move the ball consistently, converting just 13 first downs.

Arkansas State Team Defense

Arkansas State’s defense allowed 362 total yards in their most recent game, with Tulsa picking up 199 yards through the air. The Red Wolves’ secondary gave up one passing touchdown and 199 yards, while the run defense allowed 163 yards and two rushing touchdowns. Arkansas State’s defense did come up with one interception in the game.

Arkansas State Team Defense

Michigan’s defense will be looking to improve after giving up 389 total yards and 31 points in their most recent game. The Wolverines struggled to stop the pass, allowing 246 yards through the air, including three touchdowns. On the ground, they gave up 143 yards and one rushing touchdown. Michigan’s defense will need to make adjustments to avoid a similar outcome in their next game.

Arkansas State vs Michigan Trends

  • Through their last five road contests, the Arkansas State Red Wolves offense has averaged 18 points per game while allowing an average of 27. Arkansas State posted an overall record of 1-4 while going 2-3 ATS.
  • The Michigan Wolverines are 2-1 ATS in their last three home games and 3-0 straight-up.
  • Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Arkansas State Red Wolves have gone 3-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-3.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Michigan Wolverines have a straight up record of 10-0. But, their mark vs the spread was just 7-3.

Red Wolves vs Wolverines Prediction

Michigan is favored by -22.5 points in their week three matchup against Arkansas State. We have a projected final score of 34-10 in favor of the Wolverines, and with this, we are backing Michigan to cover the spread.

For the over/under, with the line set at 45.5 points, our projection of 44 points suggests that taking the under is the best play.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.