Baylor Bears vs West Virginia Mountaineers NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Baylor Bears vs West Virginia Prediction 11/16/2024

The Baylor Bears (5-4) face off against the West Virginia Mountaineers (5-4) on Saturday, November 16th. This game will be played at Milan Puskar Stadium in Morgantown and televised on ESPN2. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 4:00 ET.

Baylor Bears vs West Virginia Mountaineers

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Baylor Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 12, Baylor’s offense ranks 26th in points per game, averaging 33.6. They are 36th in our offensive power rankings. Sawyer Robertson leads the passing game with 1,783 yards and 17 touchdowns, posting a passer rating of 101. Baylor is 37th nationally in passer rating.

The Bears are 46th in rushing, averaging 185.2 yards per game. Bryson Washington has 576 rushing yards, seven touchdowns, and averages 6 yards per carry. Josh Cameron leads the receivers with 424 yards and seven touchdowns.

West Virginia Offense Breakdown

West Virginia’s offense is averaging 29 points per game heading into week 12, placing them 46th nationally, but they are ranked 28th in our offensive power rankings. The Mountaineers have focused on their ground game, averaging 193.2 rushing yards per game on 38.4 attempts.

Jahiem White leads the team with 572 rushing yards, five touchdowns, and an average of 5 yards per carry. Quarterback Garrett Greene has thrown for 1,352 yards with nine touchdowns and eight interceptions. West Virginia ranks 95th in passing yards per game.

Baylor Team Defense

Baylor’s defense has allowed an average of 26.8 points per game this season, including 34 points in their recent win over TCU. They gave up 468 total yards, with 293 yards through the air and 175 rushing yards, while forcing no turnovers.

Opponents have averaged 229.4 passing yards per game against Baylor, completing 56.8% of their passes. On the ground, Baylor has allowed 145.9 rushing yards per game on 39.1 attempts.

Baylor Team Defense

West Virginia’s defense allowed 24 points in their recent game against Cincinnati, giving up 436 total yards. Cincinnati rushed 43 times for 157 yards and threw for 279 yards on 25 completions. West Virginia’s defense also forced an interception in the game.

On the season, West Virginia is allowing 27.9 points per game. Opponents are averaging 263 passing yards per game and 128.6 rushing yards. Quarterbacks have completed 63.3% of their passes against West Virginia’s defense.

Baylor vs West Virginia Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Baylor has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 37 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • West Virginia has played well in their previous three home games, going 3-0 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 33 points per game while allowing 21. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-0.
  • The West Virginia Mountaineers have played well in their last five games as the betting underdog, going 3-2 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.
  • The last ten games that Baylor was favored, they have an ATS mark of 4-6 while going 5-5 straight up.

Bears vs Mountaineers Prediction

Our projections have Baylor winning this week 12 matchup against West Virginia by a score of 32-30. With the Bears coming in as -2.5 point favorites, we like West Virginia to pull off the upset and cover the spread at home.

For the over/under, with the line sitting at 59 points, our model suggests taking the over, as we have these teams combining for 62 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.